Occultation event with (4867) Polites, event index number 4408
Regions able to see the event: Japan,Australia
Geocentric closest approach at 2026/10/15 18:39:44 UTC
J2000 position of star is 05:52:11.3 +52:37:49
Equinox of date position of star is 05:54:20.6 +52:38:05
Star is 154 degrees from the moon. Moon is 24% illuminated.
Stellar brightness G=15.6, apparent brightess of occulting body is G=15.4
Use an exposure time of 1.30 seconds with the standard RECON-QHY system.
SNR of 7.6 per integration for unocculted signal
Expected flux drop is 47% with SNR of 3.6 for the occulted depth (per occulted point)
Apparent velocity is 10.8 km/sec on the sky relative to the star, or, 11.1 arcsec/hr.
Position angle of asteroid motion is 179.7 degrees
The recommended exposure time corresponds to 14.1 km per image.
The 1-sigma error in the time of the event is 2.8 seconds.
The 1-sigma cross-track error in the shadow position is 5.2 km.
The sky-plane scale is 3508.8 km/arcsec.
Diameter estimates:
62.5 km assuming a 5% albedo, maximum of 5.8 sec for a central chord
25.5 km assuming a 30% albedo, maximum of 2.4 sec for a central chord
Cross-track diameter of 57.3 km used for deployment plan.
Star training set for 4867_Polites, (2026/10/15 18:40UT) Object RA Dec mag sep mel Pollux 07:46:57.1 +27:57:33 1.1 32.30 148 34Bet Aur 06:01:29.7 +44:56:50 1.9 7.78 161 PPM 030180 06:01:59.9 +55:19:10 6.5 2.91 152 PPM 030095 05:55:04.9 +52:46:51 8.5 0.18 154 4867_Polites 05:54:20.6 +52:38:05 15.4 154 Positions are for equinox of date
This table contains the target star visibility for registered Japan sites that are relevant for this occultation. This list has been filtered to only those sites that can see the field and are within range of the shadow given the uncertainties. The observing time range has been calculated to cover the time of the event at each site with allowances for the event timing uncertainty plus time for obtaining a pre and post event baseline lightcurve. This set of stations has a 100.0 % chance of getting at least one chord. There is a 100.0% chance of 2 or more chords assuming clear weather for all.
| Site Name | Site mid-time (UT) |
Sun alt (deg) |
Sky | Moon | Star alt (deg) |
Star az (deg) |
Target | Observing Time | Xtrack (km) |
Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kumamoto | 18:37:14 | -35.1 | Dark | Down | 67.8 | 22.4 | Up | 18:34:03-18:40:03 | 14.7 | 0.971 | Fukuoka | 18:37:22 | -35.2 | Dark | Down | 68.5 | 23.6 | Up | 18:34:14-18:40:14 | -1.9 | 1.000 | Kagoshima | 18:37:03 | -35.6 | Dark | Down | 66.7 | 21.6 | Up | 18:35:09-18:41:09 | -21.0 | 0.760 |
Star training set for 4867_Polites, (2026/10/15 18:40UT) Object RA Dec mag sep mel Pollux 07:45:17.7 +28:01:33 1.1 32.30 148 34Bet Aur 05:59:31.6 +44:56:51 1.9 7.78 161 PPM 030180 05:59:45.8 +55:19:12 6.5 2.91 152 PPM 030095 05:52:55.4 +52:46:37 8.5 0.18 154 4867_Polites 05:52:11.3 +52:37:49 15.4 154 Positions are for J2000