Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 21VK27

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 21VK27    
# Created Tue Apr 16 01:18:40 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     38 observations of     38
# Arc:   3.24y
# First observation: 2020/09/09
#  Last observation: 2023/12/07
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.432925   0.942111   0.137901  -0.277258   0.159392   0.000000
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after  13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# WARNING Fitting with energy constraint
# WARNING MRQMIN stopped after  13 iterations -- oscilliatory solution
# WARNING -- MRQMIN stopped after  13 iterations
# Chi-squared of fit:  9999.99 DOF:     71 RMS: 99.99
# Min/Max residuals: -9999.99 9999.99
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
 -1.416371E-01  4.162542E-01  4.467152E-02 -1.232779E-01  6.831946E-02 -2.006217E-01
# Covariance matrix:
  1.6773E-13 -1.3286E-13 -3.0441E-14  3.6375E-14  3.6709E-14 -3.0519E-14
 -1.3286E-13  1.3629E-13  3.2835E-14 -3.7884E-14 -2.7941E-15  2.7713E-14
 -3.0441E-14  3.2835E-14  7.3798E-14 -3.8732E-14 -5.8019E-15  8.5175E-15
  3.6375E-14 -3.7884E-14 -3.8732E-14  2.9546E-14  1.0580E-14 -1.0530E-14
  3.6709E-14 -2.7941E-15 -5.8019E-15  1.0580E-14  1.0632E-13 -1.9868E-14
 -3.0519E-14  2.7713E-14  8.5175E-15 -1.0530E-14 -1.9868E-14  9.8969E-15
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -9.061775   18.193393    0.512483   -0.135326   -0.847906  2459102.088340
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2459100.5000  =  2020/09/08
Mean Anomaly:          355.40171 +/-     0.046
Argument of Peri:      236.08830 +/-     0.000
Long of Asc Node:      170.34995 +/-     0.000
Inclination:            18.68152 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:        15.23017656 +/-    0.0002
Semi-Major Axis:     -0.89782613 +/-    0.0000
Time of Perihelion: 2460416.0130 +/-      13.2
Perihelion:          12.77622433 +/-    0.0002
Aphelion:           -14.57187659 +/-    0.0003
Period (y)              281.9752 +/-      0.00
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           15.45851743 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic Y            2.35030214 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic Z           -1.65962269 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.01348242 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.01313009 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00361257 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   15.72399532 +/-    0.0001
Geocenter to KBO     14.79766030 +/-    0.0001
# Hcoef:   NaN

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 21VK27. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (21VK27) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2020 09  09.587539 01 20 52.687  -01 15 08.63  22.6G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2P      
2020 09  09.596593 01 20 52.600  -01 15 10.52  23.1G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2P      
2020 09  09.605637 01 20 52.456  -01 15 11.75  22.7G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2P      
2020 09  09.614684 01 20 52.341  -01 15 13.28  22.6G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2P      
2020 09  13.507615 01 20 02.245  -01 26 32.67  23.0G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2P      
2020 09  13.519548 01 20 02.057  -01 26 34.68  23.1G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2P      
2020 09  13.531482 01 20 01.900  -01 26 36.80  22.5G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2P      
2021 09  09.589701 02 50 22.285  +01 46 29.21  22.3G 21VK27    F52  C~5G2P      
2021 09  09.598104 02 50 22.259  +01 46 27.79  22.5G 21VK27    F52  C~5G2P      
2021 09  09.606433 02 50 22.210  +01 46 26.65  22.9G 21VK27    F52  C~5G2P      
2021 09  09.614767 02 50 22.186  +01 46 25.00  22.7G 21VK27    F52  C~5G2P      
2021 09  28.434656 02 48 07.500  +00 50 55.39  23.4G 21VK27    F52  C~5G2P      
2021 09  28.446642 02 48 07.347  +00 50 52.79  22.2G 21VK27    F52  C~5G2P      
2021 09  28.458684 02 48 07.198  +00 50 50.59  21.7G 21VK27    F52  C~5G2P      
2021 09  28.470780 02 48 07.042  +00 50 48.35  22.8G 21VK27    F52  C~5G2P      
2021 10  03.552763 02 47 03.225  +00 35 05.05  22.0G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2Q      
2021 10  03.564701 02 47 03.059  +00 35 02.87  21.9G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2Q      
2021 10  03.576579 02 47 02.881  +00 35 00.60  22.7G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2Q      
2021 10  03.588448 02 47 02.732  +00 34 58.39  22.1G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2Q      
2021 10  04.562636 02 46 49.308  +00 31 57.42  22.7G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2Q      
2021 10  04.568342 02 46 49.225  +00 31 56.34  22.4G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2Q      
2021 10  04.574012 02 46 49.137  +00 31 55.26  22.0G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2Q      
2021 10  04.579925 02 46 49.060  +00 31 54.18  22.7G 21VK27    F51  C~5G2Q      
2021 11  11.358375 02 35 13.568  -01 09 44.07  22.4w 21VK27    F51  C~5G2Q      
2021 11  11.371039 02 35 13.311  -01 09 45.50  22.4w 21VK27    F51  C~5G2Q      
2021 11  11.383852 02 35 13.047  -01 09 47.06  22.0w 21VK27    F51  C~5G2Q      
2021 11  13.14956  02 34 38.23   -01 13 06.4   22.4G 21VK27    807  C~5G2Q      
2021 11  13.16064  02 34 38.02   -01 13 07.5   22.3G 21VK27    807  C~5G2Q      
2021 11  13.17171  02 34 37.77   -01 13 08.9   22.1G 21VK27    807  C~5G2Q      
2021 11  13.286688 02 34 35.53   -01 13 23.2   21.9G 21VK27    H01  C~5G2Q      
2021 11  13.290510 02 34 35.45   -01 13 23.5   22.0G 21VK27    H01  C~5G2Q      
2021 11  13.300220 02 34 35.26   -01 13 24.6   22.2G 21VK27    H01  C~5G2Q      
2021 11  13.308583 02 34 35.09   -01 13 25.7   22.0G 21VK27    H01  C~5G2Q      
2022 09  22.584192 04 34 12.627  +04 19 02.94  22.5w 21VK27    F51  C~5oXz      
2022 09  22.595595 04 34 12.690  +04 19 00.96  22.4w 21VK27    F51  C~5oXz      
2022 09  22.606889 04 34 12.740  +04 18 59.01  22.4w 21VK27    F51  C~5oXz      
2023 12  07.438780 06 18 05.985  +04 07 35.25  21.9G 21VK27    G37  C~7dND      
2023 12  07.477760 06 18 05.171  +04 07 33.99        21VK27    G37  C~7dND      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00 29233.47       0.00 -9219.68
     2   0.0000     -1.92 29231.63      -1.26 -9220.24
     3   0.0000     -4.39 29229.24      -1.58 -9219.86
     4   0.0001     -6.56 29227.14      -2.34 -9219.93
     5   0.0107   -958.85 28309.18    -347.42 -9261.92
     6   0.0108   -962.22 28305.99    -348.22 -9261.81
     7   0.0108   -965.20 28303.19    -349.29 -9261.98
     8   0.9993  83001.60 11584.62  -21541.98 -1136.83
     9   0.9993  83000.58 11582.46  -21543.23 -1136.90
    10   0.9994  82999.30 11580.05  -21544.05 -1136.56
    11   0.9994  82998.22 11577.84  -21545.55 -1136.89
    12   1.0509  79419.37  5994.37  -23995.96 -1068.46
    13   1.0509  79415.81  5989.95  -23997.55 -1068.58
    14   1.0510  79412.49  5985.76  -23998.78 -1068.32
    15   1.0510  79409.04  5981.43  -23999.99 -1068.06
    16   1.0649  77987.93  4210.51  -24523.10  -973.98
    17   1.0650  77984.35  4206.25  -24524.18  -973.68
    18   1.0650  77980.54  4201.75  -24525.28  -973.39
    19   1.0650  77977.23  4197.75  -24526.51  -973.23
    20   1.0677  77686.26  3847.44  -24618.94  -950.86
    21   1.0677  77684.48  3845.35  -24619.47  -950.73
    22   1.0677  77682.62  3843.17  -24619.97  -950.58
    23   1.0677  77680.93  3841.16  -24620.54  -950.47
    24   1.1712  64238.79-10895.90  -26124.83   992.70
    25   1.1712  64234.25-10900.79  -26124.58   993.74
    26   1.1712  64229.55-10905.84  -26124.41   994.71
    27   1.1761  63612.55-11580.99  -26095.42  1134.42
    28   1.1761  63608.87-11584.99  -26095.15  1135.36
    29   1.1761  63604.46-11589.73  -26094.91  1136.27
    30   1.1765  63564.20-11633.53  -26094.48  1144.54
    31   1.1765  63562.85-11634.99  -26094.26  1144.99
    32   1.1765  63559.48-11638.65  -26094.12  1145.72
    33   1.1765  63556.42-11641.97  -26094.10  1146.24
    34   2.0342 225751.25-28275.76  -61920.42 14076.31
    35   2.0342 225752.08-28279.92  -61923.88 14075.97
    36   2.0343 225752.50-28284.44  -61927.16 14075.78
    37   3.2412 706396.18-31335.81 -223733.65  8861.64
    38   3.2413 706233.38-31476.30 -223684.97  8903.99

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

21VK27    quality flag:3

Type:       CENTAURR  CENTAURR  CENTAURR

axisobj        12.717    12.718    12.717
ecceobj         0.487     0.487     0.487
incobj         17.122    17.122    17.122
qmin            6.482     6.482     6.482
qmax           18.916    18.916    18.916
amean          12.414    12.414    12.414
amin           12.110    12.110    12.110
amax           12.717    12.717    12.717
emean           0.476     0.476     0.476
emin            0.465     0.465     0.465
emax            0.487     0.487     0.487
imean          16.617    16.617    16.617
imin           16.377    16.377    16.377
imax           16.857    16.857    16.857
excite_mean     0.555     0.555     0.555
fracstop        0.000     0.000     0.000
cjmean          3.509     3.509     3.509

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       270.9     270.9     270.9
kozaiamp          0.7       0.7       0.7