Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 18HK14

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 18HK14    
# Created Wed May 21 01:11:13 2025
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     20 observations of     20
# Arc:  10.24y
# First observation: 2015/01/25
#  Last observation: 2025/04/23
# Chi-squared of fit:     8.00 DOF:     34 RMS:  0.11
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.27    0.29
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.422909E-05  2.059968E-02  3.093383E-07  5.357595E-04  2.251034E-02  5.811664E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  3.6000E-13 -1.3584E-13  5.0704E-15 -3.2571E-15 -1.2268E-14 -5.4330E-13
 -1.3584E-13  1.3325E-13 -6.0728E-15  3.0226E-15  2.1492E-13  5.2009E-13
  5.0704E-15 -6.0728E-15  1.8463E-13 -2.9443E-14 -1.0555E-14 -2.5051E-14
 -3.2571E-15  3.0226E-15 -2.9443E-14  7.7394E-15  3.7909E-15  1.3346E-14
 -1.2268E-14  2.1492E-13 -1.0555E-14  3.7909E-15  7.0692E-13  6.8647E-13
 -5.4330E-13  5.2009E-13 -2.5051E-14  1.3346E-14  6.8647E-13  2.2760E-12
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    1.928034  176.219884    0.766368    0.020823   -0.614049  2457048.074250
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457048.5000  =  2015/01/26
Mean Anomaly:          161.36374 +/-     0.095
Argument of Peri:      248.61979 +/-     0.091
Long of Asc Node:      123.87097 +/-     0.005
Inclination:             2.43319 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.04055557 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     43.37388128 +/-    0.0051
Time of Perihelion: 2410280.9848 +/-      28.8
Perihelion:          41.61482898 +/-    0.0063
Aphelion:            45.13293358 +/-    0.0066
Period (y)              285.6608 +/-      0.05
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -44.86779409 +/-    0.0017
Ecliptic Y            3.73241198 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic Z            1.49461093 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00023730 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00250090 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00006760 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   45.04756357 +/-    0.0016
Geocenter to KBO     44.42403090 +/-    0.0017
# Hcoef:  7.31

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 18HK14. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (18HK14) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 01  25.573472 11 49 11.44   +03 16 19.5         18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2015 01  25.583865 11 49 11.41   +03 16 19.7         18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2015 01  25.630699 11 49 11.30   +03 16 20.4         18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2015 01  25.636989 11 49 11.28   +03 16 20.6         18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2018 03  10.508383 11 59 55.29   +02 13 48.6         18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2018 03  14.324555 11 59 39.391  +02 15 35.17  23.6g 18HK14    W84  C~8MgL      
2018 03  18.45265  11 59 22.04   +02 17 30.4   23.7i 18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2018 03  18.49758  11 59 21.84   +02 17 31.7   23.5i 18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2018 03  18.50025  11 59 21.83   +02 17 31.5   23.6i 18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2018 03  18.57070  11 59 21.51   +02 17 33.4   23.7i 18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2018 04  24.36552  11 56 56.70   +02 32 55.0   23.5z 18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2018 04  24.39333  11 56 56.60   +02 32 55.7   23.6z 18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2018 04  24.48001  11 56 56.30   +02 32 57.5   23.8z 18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2019 02  05.531075 12 06 18.03   +01 33 12.0         18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2019 02  05.665186 12 06 17.66   +01 33 14.7         18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2019 04  04.478301 12 02 36.87   +01 58 15.6         18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2019 04  06.317055 12 02 29.41   +01 59 03.3         18HK14    T09  C~8MgL      
2025 04  23.262460 12 27 41.355  -00 34 33.54  23.9G 18HK14    G37  C~8swO      
2025 04  23.299990 12 27 41.223  -00 34 32.67        18HK14    G37  C~8swO      
2025 04  23.338420 12 27 41.094  -00 34 31.49        18HK14    G37  C~8swO      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.01
     2   0.0000      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.01
     3   0.0002      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.12
     4   0.0002      0.00    -0.07       0.00    -0.03
     5   3.1210      0.00    -0.10       0.00    -0.05
     6   3.1314      0.00    -0.04       0.00     0.04
     7   3.1427      0.00     0.09       0.00     0.24
     8   3.1428      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.29
     9   3.1429      0.00     0.00       0.00     0.02
    10   3.1430      0.00    -0.27       0.00    -0.04
    11   3.2438      0.00     0.13       0.00    -0.16
    12   3.2439      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.02
    13   3.2441      0.00    -0.04       0.00     0.03
    14   4.0300      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.01
    15   4.0304      0.00     0.13       0.00    -0.03
    16   4.1887      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.04
    17   4.1937      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.06
    18  10.2414      0.00    -0.19       0.00    -0.13
    19  10.2416      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.11
    20  10.2417      0.00     0.21       0.00     0.19

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

18HK14    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        43.031    43.031    43.031
ecceobj         0.049     0.049     0.049
incobj          2.437     2.437     2.437
qmin           39.900    39.889    39.883
qmax           46.728    46.716    46.673
amean          43.191    43.191    43.191
amin           42.850    42.852    42.848
amax           43.542    43.543    43.541
emean           0.056     0.056     0.056
emin            0.034     0.034     0.034
emax            0.073     0.073     0.073
imean           1.991     1.992     1.991
imin            0.811     0.811     0.811
imax            2.873     2.875     2.876
excite_mean     0.066     0.066     0.066
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.087     3.087     3.087

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       181.1     181.0     181.0
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     180.0