Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 17ES51

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 17ES51    
# Created Mon May  6 01:17:59 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     17 observations of     17
# Arc:  38.96d
# First observation: 2017/01/26
#  Last observation: 2017/03/06
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000001   0.052040   0.000001   0.003746   0.035304   0.000000
# WARNING Fitting with energy constraint
# Chi-squared of fit:     7.52 DOF:     29 RMS:  0.12
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.24    0.20
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  2.369246E-05  5.011011E-02  2.004734E-06  3.709756E-03  3.493773E-02 -4.043663E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  4.3925E-13  6.6624E-10  1.1135E-13  1.1513E-11  1.1308E-10  2.1460E-09
  6.6624E-10  1.7277E-06  2.7909E-10  2.8828E-08  2.8274E-07  2.0615E-06
  1.1135E-13  2.7909E-10  1.8299E-13  3.3219E-12  4.5980E-11  4.4143E-10
  1.1513E-11  2.8828E-08  3.3219E-12  5.2050E-10  4.7505E-09  4.5934E-08
  1.1308E-10  2.8274E-07  4.5980E-11  4.7505E-09  4.6606E-08  4.5558E-07
  2.1460E-09  2.0615E-06  4.4143E-10  4.5934E-08  4.5558E-07  4.4175E-05
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
  -13.514860  149.344772    0.388329   -0.211642   -0.881324  2457779.957981
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457770.5000  =  2017/01/17
Mean Anomaly:          356.52647 +/-     4.640
Argument of Peri:      301.92963 +/-    20.749
Long of Asc Node:      221.13910 +/-     0.465
Inclination:            13.71023 +/-     0.036
Eccentricity:         0.56510928 +/-    0.0631
Semi-Major Axis:     67.02091593 +/-    8.3213
Time of Perihelion: 2459704.1725 +/-    2557.7
Perihelion:          29.14677436 +/-    5.5636
Aphelion:           104.89505751 +/-   13.6922
Period (y)              548.6858 +/-    102.19
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -24.52598624 +/-    0.1479
Ecliptic Y           14.98110913 +/-    0.0877
Ecliptic Z           -6.68894521 +/-    0.0413
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00179271 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00350720 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00035665 +/-    0.0001
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   29.50761969 +/-    0.1311
Geocenter to KBO     28.62235453 +/-    0.1769
# Hcoef:  9.17

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 17ES51. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (17ES51) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2017 01  26.45718  09 47 06.72   -00 59 10.9   23.7z 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 01  26.46663  09 47 06.68   -00 59 10.6   23.7z 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 01  26.47468  09 47 06.64   -00 59 10.6   23.8z 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 01  26.48271  09 47 06.58   -00 59 10.6   23.6z 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 01  26.49344  09 47 06.52   -00 59 10.2   23.3z 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 01  26.50952  09 47 06.43   -00 59 09.9   23.3z 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 01  26.57764  09 47 06.04   -00 59 08.2   24.2z 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 01  28.42233  09 46 55.48   -00 58 28.2   24.8g 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 01  28.44025  09 46 55.36   -00 58 28.1   24.7g 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 01  28.45292  09 46 55.30   -00 58 27.7   24.6g 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 01  28.46760  09 46 55.20   -00 58 27.2   24.2g 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 03  04.39457  09 43 27.09   -00 39 24.5   23.5i 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 03  04.39725  09 43 27.08   -00 39 24.5   23.4i 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 03  04.43238  09 43 26.89   -00 39 23.0   23.4i 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 03  06.35845  09 43 16.17   -00 38 04.9   23.3i 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 03  06.40280  09 43 15.93   -00 38 03.2   23.5i 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      
2017 03  06.41622  09 43 15.86   -00 38 02.7   23.5i 17ES51    T09  C~7xU7      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.21       0.00    -0.07
     2   0.0000     -0.67    -0.03       0.08     0.11
     3   0.0000     -1.23     0.12      -0.13    -0.02
     4   0.0001     -2.08    -0.01      -0.44    -0.24
     5   0.0001     -3.06    -0.04      -0.37    -0.07
     6   0.0001     -4.43     0.02      -0.55    -0.08
     7   0.0003    -10.51     0.01      -0.95     0.20
     8   0.0054   -173.01     0.09     -17.57     0.20
     9   0.0054   -174.73    -0.01     -18.09    -0.16
    10   0.0055   -175.72     0.16     -18.03     0.03
    11   0.0055   -177.30    -0.09     -18.07     0.12
    12   0.1011  -3501.55    -0.16     -13.04    -0.04
    13   0.1011  -3501.69    -0.05     -13.09    -0.11
    14   0.1012  -3504.89     0.09     -12.66     0.03
    15   0.1065  -3682.75    -0.11       5.65     0.07
    16   0.1066  -3686.72     0.06       6.02     0.02
    17   0.1067  -3687.88     0.16       6.13     0.01

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

17ES51    quality flag:0

Type:      ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE ERR2LARGE

axisobj         0.000     0.000     0.000
ecceobj        -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
incobj         -1.000    -1.000    -1.000
qmin            0.000     0.000     0.000
qmax            0.000     0.000     0.000
amean           0.000     0.000     0.000
amin            0.000     0.000     0.000
amax            0.000     0.000     0.000
emean           0.000     0.000     0.000
emin            0.000     0.000     0.000
emax            0.000     0.000     0.000
imean           0.000     0.000     0.000
imin            0.000     0.000     0.000
imax            0.000     0.000     0.000
excite_mean     0.000     0.000     0.000
fracstop        0.000     0.000     0.000
cjmean          0.000     0.000     0.000

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean         0.0       0.0       0.0
kozaiamp          0.0       0.0       0.0