Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 16CP433

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 16CP433   
# Created Wed May 21 01:10:47 2025
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     27 observations of     27
# Arc:   6.94y
# First observation: 2016/01/15
#  Last observation: 2022/12/23
# Chi-squared of fit:    21.00 DOF:     48 RMS:  0.16
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.35    0.40
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  2.237947E-05  6.518720E-02 -8.480880E-06 -2.312188E-02  4.899196E-02 -2.268264E-02
# Covariance matrix:
  1.5431E-13 -2.0290E-13 -2.4576E-14  6.0020E-14  1.1832E-13 -2.9104E-13
 -2.0290E-13  4.6624E-13  5.7365E-14 -1.4790E-13 -1.7560E-13  7.1036E-13
 -2.4576E-14  5.7365E-14  7.4289E-14 -3.1457E-14 -2.5816E-14  8.9000E-14
  6.0020E-14 -1.4790E-13 -3.1457E-14  5.8799E-14  4.8042E-14 -2.3151E-13
  1.1832E-13 -1.7560E-13 -2.5816E-14  4.8042E-14  3.1768E-13 -2.4610E-13
 -2.9104E-13  7.1036E-13  8.9000E-14 -2.3151E-13 -2.4610E-13  1.1102E-12
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
  -12.431172  139.904971    0.426485   -0.190583   -0.865477  2457402.899639
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457402.5000  =  2016/01/15
Mean Anomaly:          319.43274 +/-     0.005
Argument of Peri:      292.62283 +/-     0.007
Long of Asc Node:      288.80459 +/-     0.000
Inclination:            22.91817 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.37962032 +/-    0.0000
Semi-Major Axis:     26.40834013 +/-    0.0018
Time of Perihelion: 2462988.2723 +/-       4.6
Perihelion:          16.38319754 +/-    0.0012
Aphelion:            36.43348272 +/-    0.0026
Period (y)              135.7125 +/-      0.01
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -15.65553469 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic Y           13.73312128 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic Z           -4.39411928 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00118722 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00377008 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00098895 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   21.28401808 +/-    0.0002
Geocenter to KBO     20.41168693 +/-    0.0002
# Hcoef: 11.98

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 16CP433. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (16CP433) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2016 01  15.39885  09 13 41.87   +03 01 11.4   25.1z 16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2016 01  15.40229  09 13 41.84   +03 01 10.8   24.9z 16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2016 01  15.41379  09 13 41.77   +03 01 11.5   24.7z 16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2016 01  15.44365  09 13 41.50   +03 01 11.7   24.3z 16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2016 01  15.45754  09 13 41.40   +03 01 11.4   24.4z 16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2016 02  06.51074  09 10 23.67   +03 08 12.2   25.2i 16CP433   T09  C~8ne4      
2016 02  06.52424  09 10 23.55   +03 08 12.7   25.0i 16CP433   T09  C~8ne4      
2016 02  08.45714  09 10 05.71   +03 09 07.6   25.4r 16CP433   T09  C~8ne4      
2016 02  08.48123  09 10 05.48   +03 09 08.4   26.0r 16CP433   T09  C~8ne4      
2016 02  08.53022  09 10 05.01   +03 09 09.8   25.0r 16CP433   T09  C~8ne4      
2016 03  07.33641  09 06 06.77   +03 25 39.9   25.8g 16CP433   T09  C~8ne4      
2016 03  07.36199  09 06 06.57   +03 25 41.0   25.6g 16CP433   T09  C~8ne4      
2016 03  07.38615  09 06 06.40   +03 25 42.0   25.1g 16CP433   T09  C~8ne4      
2016 03  07.39349  09 06 06.35   +03 25 42.0   25.5g 16CP433   T09  C~8ne4      
2016 03  07.41935  09 06 06.14   +03 25 43.1   25.5g 16CP433   T09  C~8ne4      
2016 11  28.52476  09 30 34.03   +00 50 39.6   25.5r 16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2016 11  28.56332  09 30 33.99   +00 50 38.1   25.8r 16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2016 11  28.58230  09 30 33.97   +00 50 36.6   25.1r 16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2016 11  28.63097  09 30 33.90   +00 50 34.6   25.6r 16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2016 11  29.506897 09 30 32.90   +00 49 52.2         16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2016 11  29.63007  09 30 32.70   +00 49 46.7   25.4z 16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2016 11  29.64415  09 30 32.68   +00 49 45.8   25.7z 16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2017 02  01.495147 09 23 59.94   +00 37 49.7         16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2017 02  01.503426 09 23 59.87   +00 37 49.8         16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2017 02  01.544598 09 23 59.48   +00 37 50.9         16CP433   T09  C~8r7V      
2022 12  23.618595 11 01 18.51   -16 01 49.2         16CP433   T14  C~8r7V      
2022 12  23.621887 11 01 18.50   -16 01 49.4         16CP433   T14  C~8r7V      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.20       0.00     0.28
     2   0.0000      0.00    -0.21       0.00    -0.35
     3   0.0000      0.00     0.21       0.00     0.25
     4   0.0001      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.17
     5   0.0002      0.00     0.27       0.00    -0.26
     6   0.0605      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.11
     7   0.0606      0.00     0.14       0.00     0.02
     8   0.0659      0.00     0.08       0.00    -0.13
     9   0.0659      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.03
    10   0.0661      0.00    -0.14       0.00    -0.06
    11   0.1422      0.00    -0.15       0.00     0.00
    12   0.1423      0.00    -0.22       0.00     0.09
    13   0.1423      0.00    -0.00       0.00     0.14
    14   0.1424      0.00     0.08       0.00    -0.15
    15   0.1424      0.00    -0.11       0.00    -0.07
    16   0.8710      0.00    -0.06       0.00     0.03
    17   0.8711      0.00     0.04       0.00     0.40
    18   0.8711      0.00     0.09       0.00    -0.17
    19   0.8713      0.00    -0.04       0.00     0.19
    20   0.8737      0.00     0.16       0.00    -0.12
    21   0.8740      0.00    -0.21       0.00     0.23
    22   0.8740      0.00    -0.21       0.00    -0.00
    23   1.0489      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.06
    24   1.0489      0.00     0.15       0.00    -0.15
    25   1.0490      0.00     0.12       0.00    -0.03
    26   6.9383      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.05
    27   6.9383      0.00    -0.05       0.00     0.02

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

16CP433    quality flag:3

Type:       CENTAURR  CENTAURR  CENTAURR

axisobj        26.267    26.267    26.268
ecceobj         0.374     0.374     0.374
incobj         22.917    22.917    22.917
qmin           16.199    16.201    16.171
qmax           37.034    37.381    36.089
amean          26.332    26.479    25.978
amin           25.883    25.879    25.694
amax           26.821    27.080    26.268
emean           0.375     0.372     0.369
emin            0.365     0.364     0.358
emax            0.383     0.382     0.375
imean          24.506    24.509    24.704
imin           24.403    24.325    24.481
imax           24.643    24.767    25.001
excite_mean     0.559     0.557     0.557
fracstop        0.002     0.003     0.003
cjmean          2.721     2.721     2.728

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       298.1     299.2     298.6
kozaiamp          5.7       7.4       5.6