Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15TQ363

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15TQ363   
# Created Tue May 20 01:10:40 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     39 observations of     39
# Arc:   4.20y
# First observation: 2015/10/10
#  Last observation: 2019/12/22
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000195   0.025394  -0.000003  -0.010852   0.026941   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:    15.49 DOF:     72 RMS:  0.11
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.32    0.28
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.554915E-05  2.499710E-02 -6.535815E-06 -1.071157E-02  2.563878E-02 -2.793377E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  1.8475E-13  5.1735E-13  5.0120E-15 -2.4799E-13  4.9256E-13  5.5520E-12
  5.1735E-13  5.7070E-12  5.3145E-14 -2.6083E-12  4.5243E-12  5.8557E-11
  5.0120E-15  5.3145E-14  1.2436E-13 -5.4634E-14  4.1532E-14  5.4720E-13
 -2.4799E-13 -2.6083E-12 -5.4634E-14  1.2058E-12 -2.0524E-12 -2.6838E-11
  4.9256E-13  4.5243E-12  4.1532E-14 -2.0524E-12  3.9960E-12  4.5968E-11
  5.5520E-12  5.8557E-11  5.4720E-13 -2.6838E-11  4.5968E-11  6.0265E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
  -15.035717   27.668868    0.191701   -0.255088   -0.950290  2457306.007012
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457300.5000  =  2015/10/05
Mean Anomaly:          329.72379 +/-     0.143
Argument of Peri:      256.85089 +/-     0.234
Long of Asc Node:      176.93119 +/-     0.001
Inclination:            27.31706 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.18384393 +/-    0.0007
Semi-Major Axis:     46.87642628 +/-    0.0178
Time of Perihelion: 2467159.4174 +/-      46.3
Perihelion:          38.25848004 +/-    0.0370
Aphelion:            55.49437251 +/-    0.0401
Period (y)              320.9519 +/-      0.18
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           34.31707331 +/-    0.0026
Ecliptic Y           17.77837713 +/-    0.0014
Ecliptic Z          -10.11856975 +/-    0.0008
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00175912 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00208597 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00102725 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   39.95144137 +/-    0.0023
Geocenter to KBO     39.00341844 +/-    0.0030
# Hcoef:  8.81

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15TQ363. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15TQ363) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 10  10.506223 02 04 08.471  -03 25 06.01  24.4r 15TQ363   568  C~2TuW      
2015 10  10.537679 02 04 08.332  -03 25 07.13  24.5r 15TQ363   568  C~2TuW      
2015 10  10.539803 02 04 08.320  -03 25 07.23  24.3r 15TQ363   568  C~2TuW      
2015 10  10.566184 02 04 08.198  -03 25 08.19  24.4r 15TQ363   568  C~2TuW      
2015 10  10.600922 02 04 08.044  -03 25 09.47  24.4r 15TQ363   568  C~2TuW      
2015 10  14.508049 02 03 50.298  -03 27 28.70  25.0g 15TQ363   568  C~2TuW      
2015 10  14.539481 02 03 50.159  -03 27 29.90  24.9g 15TQ363   568  C~2TuW      
2015 10  14.541609 02 03 50.147  -03 27 29.92  24.7g 15TQ363   568  C~2TuW      
2015 10  14.602694 02 03 49.865  -03 27 32.05  25.0g 15TQ363   568  C~2TuW      
2015 11  10.39281  02 01 44.86   -03 40 45.0   25.4i 15TQ363   T09  C~8sv7      
2015 11  10.45724  02 01 44.56   -03 40 46.3   24.5i 15TQ363   T09  C~8sv7      
2015 11  10.46548  02 01 44.52   -03 40 46.6   24.3i 15TQ363   T09  C~8sv7      
2019 10  27.29340  02 28 02.03   -03 50 25.3   24.9r 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 10  27.30457  02 28 01.97   -03 50 25.8   25.2r 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 10  27.31576  02 28 01.90   -03 50 25.9   24.8r 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 10  27.43225  02 28 01.34   -03 50 29.5   24.6i 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 10  27.45055  02 28 01.25   -03 50 30.1   24.6i 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 10  27.46883  02 28 01.15   -03 50 30.7   25.1i 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 10  31.52139  02 27 41.64   -03 52 32.4   25.1z 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 10  31.54341  02 27 41.54   -03 52 33.0   24.1z 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 10  31.56158  02 27 41.45   -03 52 33.5   24.5z 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 11  01.36052  02 27 37.61   -03 52 56.5   25.0g 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 11  01.37174  02 27 37.54   -03 52 56.9   25.1g 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 11  01.44090  02 27 37.23   -03 52 58.7   25.4g 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 11  01.45227  02 27 37.17   -03 52 59.1   25.5g 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 11  01.57590  02 27 36.55   -03 53 02.8   25.2g 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 11  27.28028  02 25 37.54   -04 02 04.5   24.0z 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 11  27.32500  02 25 37.34   -04 02 05.1   24.4i 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 11  27.34715  02 25 37.25   -04 02 05.1   24.5i 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 11  27.36927  02 25 37.15   -04 02 05.7   24.2i 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 12  04.28879  02 25 09.09   -04 03 17.9   24.4z 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 12  04.31090  02 25 09.00   -04 03 17.9   24.5z 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 12  04.32949  02 25 08.92   -04 03 18.0   24.4z 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 12  04.35162  02 25 08.81   -04 03 18.2   24.4z 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 12  04.44386  02 25 08.47   -04 03 19.1   25.1i 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 12  04.44735  02 25 08.45   -04 03 19.1   24.9i 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 12  22.27977  02 24 10.25   -04 03 47.6   25.5r 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 12  22.29747  02 24 10.18   -04 03 47.4   25.3r 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      
2019 12  22.36536  02 24 10.03   -04 03 47.3   24.6i 15TQ363   T09  C~7uhu      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.01
     2   0.0001     -2.34     0.05      -0.31    -0.02
     3   0.0001     -2.55     0.01      -0.34    -0.03
     4   0.0002     -4.59    -0.02      -0.60    -0.03
     5   0.0003     -7.20     0.03      -0.98    -0.07
     6   0.0110   -304.95    -0.07     -37.49     0.02
     7   0.0110   -307.32     0.00     -37.88    -0.12
     8   0.0110   -307.50    -0.01     -37.83    -0.05
     9   0.0112   -312.20     0.03     -38.34    -0.06
    10   0.0846  -2343.14     0.01    -120.54     0.04
    11   0.0847  -2347.80     0.03    -120.17     0.23
    12   0.0848  -2348.46    -0.04    -120.24     0.13
    13   4.0460  19584.96     0.16   -9091.44    -0.11
    14   4.0460  19583.93     0.03   -9091.58    -0.22
    15   4.0460  19582.91    -0.11   -9091.29     0.09
    16   4.0463  19573.70     0.02   -9091.63     0.07
    17   4.0464  19572.21    -0.00   -9091.70     0.04
    18   4.0464  19570.59    -0.16   -9091.72     0.06
    19   4.0575  19251.28    -0.11   -9099.86    -0.04
    20   4.0576  19249.66     0.02   -9099.88    -0.04
    21   4.0576  19248.21     0.01   -9099.86    -0.01
    22   4.0598  19185.72     0.01   -9100.57     0.01
    23   4.0599  19184.58    -0.23   -9100.57     0.01
    24   4.0601  19179.56     0.25   -9100.57     0.02
    25   4.0601  19178.57     0.17   -9100.62    -0.03
    26   4.0604  19168.48    -0.10   -9100.72    -0.12
    27   4.1308  17295.27     0.09   -8962.96    -0.14
    28   4.1309  17292.23    -0.01   -8962.44    -0.12
    29   4.1310  17290.96     0.17   -8961.95     0.11
    30   4.1310  17289.34    -0.01   -8961.97    -0.16
    31   4.1500  16868.11     0.05   -8877.64    -0.09
    32   4.1500  16866.85     0.08   -8877.15     0.10
    33   4.1501  16865.68     0.01   -8876.81     0.18
    34   4.1502  16864.06    -0.32   -8876.40     0.28
    35   4.1504  16858.95    -0.04   -8875.40    -0.01
    36   4.1504  16858.67    -0.12   -8875.29     0.05
    37   4.1992  16029.03     0.11   -8587.01     0.00
    38   4.1993  16028.12    -0.16   -8586.45     0.23
    39   4.1995  16026.05     0.21   -8585.54    -0.15

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15TQ363    quality flag:3

Type:       SCATEXTD  SCATEXTD  SCATEXTD

axisobj        47.388    47.426    47.351
ecceobj         0.189     0.191     0.188
incobj         27.199    27.198    27.200
qmin           37.807    37.751    37.854
qmax           56.702    56.770    56.599
amean          47.016    47.052    46.980
amin           46.621    46.651    46.572
amax           47.493    47.516    47.447
emean           0.178     0.179     0.177
emin            0.162     0.164     0.161
emax            0.194     0.195     0.193
imean          27.012    27.017    27.007
imin           26.615    26.626    26.615
imax           27.358    27.372    27.356
excite_mean     0.488     0.488     0.487
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          2.831     2.831     2.831

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       190.7     191.1     190.3
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     180.0