Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15KF459

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15KF459   
# Created Wed May 21 01:10:33 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     14 observations of     14
# Arc:  55.96d
# First observation: 2015/05/17
#  Last observation: 2015/07/12
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000004   0.037544  -0.000014   0.002704   0.029530   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     3.72 DOF:     22 RMS:  0.09
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.16    0.18
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.872324E-05  3.288753E-02  7.758283E-07  1.258469E-03  2.882005E-02  2.115675E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  3.9295E-13  2.3310E-11 -3.4020E-14  6.7677E-12  6.9107E-12  2.5508E-10
  2.3310E-11  2.4477E-08 -6.5529E-11  7.4908E-09  4.0715E-09 -5.3593E-07
 -3.4020E-14 -6.5529E-11  3.4975E-13 -2.1650E-11 -1.0462E-11  1.5662E-09
  6.7677E-12  7.4908E-09 -2.1650E-11  2.3316E-09  1.2363E-09 -1.6750E-07
  6.9107E-12  4.0715E-09 -1.0462E-11  1.2363E-09  7.1723E-10 -7.8091E-08
  2.5508E-10 -5.3593E-07  1.5662E-09 -1.6750E-07 -7.8091E-08  1.4946E-05
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   16.077821 -141.647485   -0.307589    0.266373   -0.923863  2457159.863358
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457150.5000  =  2015/05/08
Mean Anomaly:           17.38217 +/-    23.472
Argument of Peri:       56.47065 +/-    36.988
Long of Asc Node:      136.42956 +/-     0.129
Inclination:            15.77857 +/-     0.004
Eccentricity:         0.19820894 +/-    0.0522
Semi-Major Axis:     43.67617615 +/-    0.6200
Time of Perihelion: 2452059.9257 +/-    6873.2
Perihelion:          35.01916755 +/-    2.3351
Aphelion:            52.33318475 +/-    2.3995
Period (y)              288.6524 +/-      6.15
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -26.71225971 +/-    0.0243
Ecliptic Y          -21.52621317 +/-    0.0192
Ecliptic Z            9.60945546 +/-    0.0089
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00181027 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00255548 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00017061 +/-    0.0001
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   35.62673584 +/-    0.0217
Geocenter to KBO     34.69806717 +/-    0.0322
# Hcoef:  8.26

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15KF459. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15KF459) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 05  17.36258  14 44 22.34   +00 58 11.0   24.8g 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 05  17.42671  14 44 22.03   +00 58 12.2   25.5g 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 05  17.46091  14 44 21.83   +00 58 12.7   25.5g 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 05  17.50119  14 44 21.63   +00 58 13.2   25.6g 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 05  26.29019  14 43 37.96   +01 00 21.3   23.1y 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 05  26.30476  14 43 37.90   +01 00 21.3   22.9y 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 05  26.31657  14 43 37.84   +01 00 21.3   23.3y 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 05  26.31942  14 43 37.82   +01 00 21.4   23.0y 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 05  26.33417  14 43 37.75   +01 00 21.6   23.2y 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 05  26.34893  14 43 37.68   +01 00 21.9   22.9y 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 05  26.36367  14 43 37.61   +01 00 21.9   23.7y 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 07  12.27172  14 41 03.79   +00 57 09.8   23.1z 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 07  12.29941  14 41 03.76   +00 57 09.3   23.1z 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      
2015 07  12.32113  14 41 03.72   +00 57 08.8   23.0z 15KF459   T09  C~8r6l      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.14       0.00    -0.02
     2   0.0002     -4.79     0.17      -0.31     0.18
     3   0.0003     -7.80    -0.11      -0.77    -0.01
     4   0.0004    -10.80     0.08      -1.23    -0.15
     5   0.0244   -673.04    -0.16     -83.84     0.14
     6   0.0245   -673.89     0.06     -84.12     0.03
     7   0.0245   -674.75     0.07     -84.40    -0.11
     8   0.0245   -675.06    -0.03     -84.40    -0.07
     9   0.0246   -676.12    -0.01     -84.54    -0.04
    10   0.0246   -677.21    -0.01     -84.58     0.10
    11   0.0246   -678.21     0.07     -84.91    -0.06
    12   0.1531  -2810.42    -0.03    -986.91    -0.02
    13   0.1531  -2810.69     0.08    -987.53     0.07
    14   0.1532  -2811.11    -0.04    -988.19    -0.05

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15KF459    quality flag:1

Type:       SCATNEAR  CENTAURR  SCATEXTD

axisobj        43.187    53.048    42.356
ecceobj         0.189     0.464     0.154
incobj         15.791    15.785    15.778
qmin           34.474    28.208    35.444
qmax           53.046    82.090    50.263
amean          43.542    54.018    42.699
amin           43.134    53.048    42.282
amax           44.006    55.264    43.107
emean           0.181     0.471     0.147
emin            0.156     0.460     0.128
emax            0.207     0.485     0.167
imean          14.526    14.463    14.807
imin           13.464    14.302    13.899
imax           15.760    14.672    15.694
excite_mean     0.309     0.533     0.295
fracstop        1.000     0.005     1.000
cjmean          2.981     2.850     2.983

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       178.2      19.5     179.9
kozaiamp        180.0       1.5     180.0