Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15KD176

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15KD176   
# Created Wed May  8 01:17:11 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     39 observations of     39
# Arc:   2.99y
# First observation: 2014/05/30
#  Last observation: 2017/05/25
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000198   0.027134   0.000023  -0.004716   0.025208   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     3.25 DOF:     72 RMS:  0.05
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.13    0.12
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.654025E-05  2.693676E-02 -2.779924E-06 -4.697663E-03  2.577767E-02 -1.943765E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  1.6683E-13 -1.8952E-13 -9.2724E-15  2.1936E-14 -3.5423E-14 -1.5866E-12
 -1.8952E-13  3.7216E-13  2.2757E-14 -5.4492E-14  7.1958E-14  3.9406E-12
 -9.2724E-15  2.2757E-14  1.1610E-13 -6.2893E-14  9.3059E-15  2.8245E-13
  2.1936E-14 -5.4492E-14 -6.2893E-14  5.4600E-14 -1.5971E-14 -6.6457E-13
 -3.5423E-14  7.1958E-14  9.3059E-15 -1.5971E-14  1.7385E-13  1.1621E-12
 -1.5866E-12  3.9406E-12  2.8245E-13 -6.6457E-13  1.1621E-12  4.8072E-11
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    5.997368 -124.737431   -0.238461    0.103111   -0.980970  2456807.906448
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456800.5000  =  2014/05/23
Mean Anomaly:          339.23165 +/-     0.071
Argument of Peri:      177.47933 +/-     0.101
Long of Asc Node:       85.75403 +/-     0.001
Inclination:            11.52774 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.15074881 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     46.10983932 +/-    0.0039
Time of Perihelion: 2463398.1349 +/-      22.7
Perihelion:          39.15883575 +/-    0.0067
Aphelion:            53.06084290 +/-    0.0074
Period (y)              313.1112 +/-      0.04
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -22.35146003 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Y          -32.64974249 +/-    0.0005
Ecliptic Z            4.05318190 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00243309 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00150798 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00051765 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   39.77463681 +/-    0.0005
Geocenter to KBO     38.79326814 +/-    0.0006
# Hcoef:  7.40

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15KD176. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15KD176) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2014 05  30.40567  15 37 34.686  -13 15 06.68  23.4r 15KD176   568  C~2nvj      
2014 05  31.44364  15 37 29.593  -13 14 53.93  23.5r 15KD176   568  C~2nvj      
2014 06  01.33220  15 37 25.251  -13 14 43.40  23.4r 15KD176   568  C~2nvj      
2014 06  01.37504  15 37 25.036  -13 14 42.93  23.2r 15KD176   568  C~2nvj      
2014 06  01.41793  15 37 24.822  -13 14 42.36  23.4r 15KD176   568  C~2nvj      
2014 06  22.32930  15 35 51.140  -13 11 35.03  23.6r 15KD176   568  C~2nvj      
2014 06  22.37222  15 35 50.970  -13 11 34.81  23.5r 15KD176   568  C~2nvj      
2014 07  19.34581  15 34 29.458  -13 11 08.96  23.5r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 02  23.64017  15 48 47.066  -14 12 54.90  23.5r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 03  22.52231  15 48 23.673  -14 09 01.36  23.5r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 04  18.53999  15 46 55.316  -14 02 35.99  23.3r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 05  17.41261  15 44 37.779  -13 55 08.50  23.3r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 05  17.45472  15 44 37.559  -13 55 07.91  23.0r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 05  17.50638  15 44 37.292  -13 55 07.17  23.2r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 05  24.39782  15 44 02.276  -13 53 31.41  23.3r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 05  24.44391  15 44 02.041  -13 53 30.84  23.0r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 05  24.48500  15 44 01.824  -13 53 30.26  23.1r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 05  26.47305  15 43 51.770  -13 53 04.30  23.1r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 06  18.37201  15 42 03.004  -13 49 08.55  23.4r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 06  18.41299  15 42 02.824  -13 49 08.28  23.4r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 06  21.38764  15 41 50.249  -13 48 47.98  23.2r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 07  10.42338  15 40 42.960  -13 47 47.08  23.3r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2015 07  18.34809  15 40 22.953  -13 47 59.04  23.5r 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2016 02  06.65340  15 54 13.257  -14 48 36.40  23.9w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2016 02  12.63894  15 54 26.120  -14 48 41.70  23.9w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2016 03  17.62205  15 54 28.367  -14 45 35.41        15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2016 04  03.58308  15 53 47.033  -14 42 13.52  23.6w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2016 04  08.63261  15 53 30.095  -14 41 04.25  23.8w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2016 04  09.57656  15 53 26.725  -14 40 50.91  23.6w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2016 04  29.52576  15 52 02.744  -14 35 55.72  23.5w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2016 05  04.49833  15 51 38.903  -14 34 41.07  23.4w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2016 05  30.44177  15 49 27.844  -14 28 47.54  23.2w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2016 07  04.32652  15 46 55.732  -14 24 31.96  23.6w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2016 07  05.39888  15 46 52.125  -14 24 29.82  23.8w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2017 03  30.58668  16 00 00.995  -15 18 38.60  23.9w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2017 05  21.54752  15 56 17.885  -15 06 53.88  23.3w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2017 05  21.56169  15 56 17.810  -15 06 53.79  23.4w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2017 05  24.52991  15 56 02.555  -15 06 16.37  23.2w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      
2017 05  25.53328  15 55 57.405  -15 06 03.96  23.5w 15KD176   568  C~2nvk      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.02
     2   0.0028    -75.29     0.09      -4.92     0.10
     3   0.0053   -139.39    -0.01      -9.45    -0.03
     4   0.0054   -142.55    -0.04      -9.72    -0.07
     5   0.0055   -145.73    -0.07      -9.90    -0.01
     6   0.0628  -1519.63    -0.04    -147.57     0.04
     7   0.0629  -1522.10     0.03    -147.94     0.03
     8   0.1367  -2685.34     0.05    -402.82    -0.04
     9   0.7371  10337.77    -0.02   -1151.72    -0.04
    10   0.8107   9953.30    -0.03    -999.20     0.00
    11   0.8847   8611.58    -0.07    -909.59    -0.12
    12   0.9637   6557.47     0.01    -923.14    -0.03
    13   0.9639   6554.21    -0.02    -923.28    -0.06
    14   0.9640   6550.26    -0.01    -923.44    -0.06
    15   0.9829   6031.48     0.04    -945.43     0.11
    16   0.9830   6028.01     0.09    -945.65     0.07
    17   0.9831   6024.80     0.01    -945.80     0.09
    18   0.9885   5876.20    -0.02    -953.67    -0.02
    19   1.0512   4279.07     0.01   -1084.43    -0.01
    20   1.0514   4276.46     0.02   -1084.77    -0.04
    21   1.0595   4093.42    -0.00   -1106.86     0.05
    22   1.1116   3125.07     0.02   -1272.20     0.02
    23   1.1333   2844.12    -0.06   -1350.85     0.01
    24   1.6899  15448.70     0.03   -2209.22    -0.02
    25   1.7063  15633.03     0.04   -2174.15     0.04
    26   1.7994  15624.59     0.12   -1984.65     0.04
    27   1.8458  14992.00    -0.06   -1916.52    -0.04
    28   1.8596  14735.74    -0.01   -1901.94    -0.04
    29   1.8622  14684.85    -0.00   -1899.49     0.02
    30   1.9168  13425.13    -0.00   -1875.77    -0.01
    31   1.9304  13069.62    -0.03   -1878.36     0.05
    32   2.0015  11128.69     0.06   -1950.99     0.03
    33   2.0970   8912.25     0.06   -2192.22     0.00
    34   2.0999   8860.60    -0.13   -2201.84    -0.06
    35   2.8342  20795.55    -0.06   -2905.56     0.11
    36   2.9764  17461.36    -0.00   -2896.99     0.00
    37   2.9765  17460.27    -0.00   -2897.13    -0.10
    38   2.9846  17234.86     0.01   -2907.64    -0.04
    39   2.9873  17158.82     0.04   -2911.42     0.03

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15KD176    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        45.831    45.842    45.820
ecceobj         0.148     0.148     0.148
incobj         11.528    11.528    11.528
qmin           38.501    38.491    38.485
qmax           54.299    54.328    54.244
amean          46.210    46.219    46.185
amin           45.810    45.832    45.775
amax           46.649    46.670    46.626
emean           0.150     0.150     0.150
emin            0.137     0.137     0.136
emax            0.164     0.164     0.164
imean           9.661     9.663     9.644
imin            9.195     9.198     9.185
imax           10.208    10.210    10.208
excite_mean     0.225     0.225     0.225
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.066     3.066     3.066

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       182.7     182.9     182.4
kozaiamp        179.9     180.0     180.0