Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15GV56

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15GV56    
# Created Wed May  8 01:17:04 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     30 observations of     30
# Arc:   2.11y
# First observation: 2015/02/17
#  Last observation: 2017/03/29
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000177   0.024071   0.000002  -0.000258   0.023824   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:    13.95 DOF:     54 RMS:  0.12
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.27    0.30
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.606720E-05  2.381931E-02 -3.770112E-08 -2.553781E-04  2.386060E-02 -1.513737E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  2.1637E-13 -1.3194E-13 -6.1198E-16  1.6852E-16  1.2340E-13 -6.6298E-13
 -1.3194E-13  6.0524E-13  4.7260E-16 -4.6891E-15  1.4712E-13  1.3954E-11
 -6.1198E-16  4.7260E-16  9.7578E-14 -7.6832E-14 -5.5183E-16  9.0177E-15
  1.6852E-16 -4.6891E-15 -7.6832E-14  1.2003E-13 -1.8749E-15 -1.3783E-13
  1.2340E-13  1.4712E-13 -5.5183E-16 -1.8749E-15  2.1905E-13  5.3784E-12
 -6.6298E-13  1.3954E-11  9.0177E-15 -1.3783E-13  5.3784E-12  4.0883E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    1.345383 -155.992387    0.814777    0.013156   -0.553860  2457070.998808
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457070.5000  =  2015/02/17
Mean Anomaly:          319.23762 +/-     0.228
Argument of Peri:      164.13758 +/-     0.323
Long of Asc Node:       88.91651 +/-     0.030
Inclination:             1.45296 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.11272832 +/-    0.0007
Semi-Major Axis:     46.12831243 +/-    0.0063
Time of Perihelion: 2470027.5710 +/-      72.5
Perihelion:          40.92834506 +/-    0.0309
Aphelion:            51.32827979 +/-    0.0312
Period (y)              313.2994 +/-      0.06
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -39.11429142 +/-    0.0008
Ecliptic Y          -16.52788779 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic Z            0.98400771 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00126633 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00243188 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00003328 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   42.47431153 +/-    0.0007
Geocenter to KBO     41.91009338 +/-    0.0008
# Hcoef:  8.55

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15GV56. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15GV56) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 02  17.49803  13 30 54.472  -08 03 44.84  24.3r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 02  17.53937  13 30 54.387  -08 03 44.33  24.6r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 02  20.47010  13 30 47.915  -08 03 01.58  25.4r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 03  18.46654  13 29 25.141  -07 54 23.82  24.7r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 04  11.41033  13 27 42.900  -07 44 11.12  25.2r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 04  12.36301  13 27 38.592  -07 43 46.07  24.5r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 04  12.40393  13 27 38.428  -07 43 45.06  24.7r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 04  12.45094  13 27 38.204  -07 43 43.61  24.7r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 04  14.46090  13 27 29.183  -07 42 50.67  24.5r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 04  18.42156  13 27 11.415  -07 41 06.66  24.6r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 04  18.46928  13 27 11.217  -07 41 05.46  24.9r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 05  16.26602  13 25 15.395  -07 30 01.80  24.7r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 05  25.37165  13 24 44.139  -07 27 09.17  25.1r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 05  25.41355  13 24 44.011  -07 27 08.44  25.0r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 05  25.42921  13 24 43.950  -07 27 08.38  24.8r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 06  21.32182  13 23 43.551  -07 21 58.10  24.8r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 06  22.27832  13 23 42.421  -07 21 53.38  25.1r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2015 07  12.27234  13 23 36.294  -07 21 59.77  24.6r 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2016 02  04.57138  13 36 21.284  -08 36 48.48  25.2w 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2016 02  10.55938  13 36 14.532  -08 35 58.63  24.9w 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2016 02  10.60896  13 36 14.452  -08 35 58.09  24.6w 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2016 02  11.58117  13 36 13.073  -08 35 48.35  25.0w 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2016 03  11.56702  13 34 58.016  -08 27 52.10  25.6w 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2016 04  03.45744  13 33 25.498  -08 18 38.29  25.0w 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2016 04  09.43859  13 32 58.891  -08 16 02.37  24.8w 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2016 05  02.31122  13 31 17.430  -08 06 18.10  25.3w 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2016 05  06.32100  13 31 00.606  -08 04 43.02  24.7w 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2017 02  24.64250  13 40 55.649  -09 03 32.10        15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2017 03  29.45933  13 39 00.965  -08 52 01.09  24.8w 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      
2017 03  29.46871  13 39 00.926  -08 52 01.10  24.7w 15GV56    568  C~2nvT      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.03
     2   0.0001     -1.36     0.03       0.01    -0.06
     3   0.0081   -106.47    -0.10       4.50     0.01
     4   0.0793  -1440.31     0.05      34.23    -0.24
     5   0.1449  -3078.72     0.30      44.28     0.27
     6   0.1475  -3147.50    -0.20      43.95    -0.06
     7   0.1476  -3150.13     0.14      43.99    -0.00
     8   0.1477  -3153.76    -0.07      44.11     0.14
     9   0.1532  -3297.96    -0.00      43.86     0.06
    10   0.1641  -3581.90    -0.11      43.08    -0.00
    11   0.1642  -3585.08     0.17      43.10     0.06
    12   0.2403  -5431.42     0.16      23.32     0.05
    13   0.2652  -5927.53    -0.17      11.57    -0.04
    14   0.2653  -5929.57    -0.06      11.55     0.00
    15   0.2654  -5930.43    -0.13      11.27    -0.25
    16   0.3390  -6880.78    -0.09     -33.57     0.00
    17   0.3416  -6898.17    -0.03     -35.42    -0.04
    18   0.3964  -6980.53     0.18     -75.19     0.10
    19   0.9639   5240.89     0.14     -74.13     0.02
    20   0.9803   5129.41     0.02     -64.12     0.03
    21   0.9805   5128.11    -0.09     -64.05     0.04
    22   0.9831   5105.50     0.12     -62.42     0.09
    23   1.0625   3894.54    -0.27     -24.43    -0.26
    24   1.1251   2413.84    -0.03     -10.08     0.09
    25   1.1415   1989.19    -0.08      -9.37     0.01
    26   1.2041    373.40     0.20     -17.48     0.02
    27   1.2151    106.09    -0.02     -20.69     0.05
    28   2.0209   9618.06     0.07     -95.18    -0.12
    29   2.1108   7780.65    -0.09     -65.22     0.14
    30   2.1108   7780.11     0.02     -65.44    -0.08

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15GV56    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        45.668    45.682    45.654
ecceobj         0.108     0.109     0.107
incobj          1.453     1.453     1.453
qmin           40.304    40.303    40.366
qmax           51.927    51.983    51.923
amean          45.989    46.002    45.975
amin           45.607    45.621    45.613
amax           46.403    46.421    46.396
emean           0.107     0.107     0.106
emin            0.093     0.094     0.092
emax            0.120     0.120     0.119
imean           0.530     0.532     0.530
imin            0.034     0.034     0.040
imax            0.845     0.848     0.842
excite_mean     0.107     0.108     0.106
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.112     3.112     3.112

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       174.7     173.9     175.0
kozaiamp        180.0     179.9     180.0