Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15GL57

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15GL57    
# Created Wed May  8 01:17:04 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     35 observations of     35
# Arc:   2.35y
# First observation: 2015/02/17
#  Last observation: 2017/06/25
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000118   0.023123   0.000001  -0.000420   0.023727   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:    11.13 DOF:     64 RMS:  0.10
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.25    0.27
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.588558E-05  2.306113E-02 -2.749349E-07 -4.194763E-04  2.379127E-02  6.361228E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  2.0474E-13  1.0077E-15  1.1275E-16 -2.1553E-15  1.5808E-13  3.0982E-12
  1.0077E-15  2.5357E-13  8.7316E-16 -5.2434E-15  1.6274E-13  7.1883E-12
  1.1275E-16  8.7316E-16  9.3591E-14 -7.6218E-14  6.3747E-16  4.8511E-14
 -2.1553E-15 -5.2434E-15 -7.6218E-14  1.1193E-13 -5.3141E-15 -2.7392E-13
  1.5808E-13  1.6274E-13  6.3747E-16 -5.3141E-15  2.5660E-13  7.4294E-12
  3.0982E-12  7.1883E-12  4.8511E-14 -2.7392E-13  7.4294E-12  3.7384E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    0.715047 -153.691086    0.836212    0.006649   -0.521060  2457071.015468
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457070.5000  =  2015/02/17
Mean Anomaly:           30.18407 +/-     2.002
Argument of Peri:      114.11518 +/-     2.098
Long of Asc Node:       59.72037 +/-     0.021
Inclination:             1.24526 +/-     0.001
Eccentricity:         0.01960241 +/-    0.0005
Semi-Major Axis:     43.29323518 +/-    0.0027
Time of Perihelion: 2448346.7391 +/-     578.6
Perihelion:          42.44458326 +/-    0.0200
Aphelion:            44.14188710 +/-    0.0200
Period (y)              284.8645 +/-      0.03
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -38.51596299 +/-    0.0008
Ecliptic Y          -18.10904543 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Z            0.52452928 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00110640 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00241722 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00004726 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   42.56397611 +/-    0.0007
Geocenter to KBO     42.03223193 +/-    0.0009
# Hcoef:  7.85

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15GL57. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15GL57) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 02  17.51469  13 38 39.088  -09 29 15.65  23.7r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 02  20.48657  13 38 32.913  -09 28 38.19  24.1r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 03  18.49249  13 37 12.428  -09 20 42.21  24.1r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 03  18.53407  13 37 12.269  -09 20 41.28  24.6r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 03  20.53726  13 37 04.446  -09 19 55.67  24.0r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 04  11.47256  13 35 30.329  -09 10 50.92  24.0r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 04  12.37938  13 35 26.263  -09 10 27.50  24.0r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 04  12.42509  13 35 26.044  -09 10 26.15  24.2r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 04  12.46730  13 35 25.843  -09 10 25.51  24.1r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 04  18.43790  13 34 58.811  -09 07 50.25  24.5r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 04  18.48560  13 34 58.619  -09 07 49.04  24.2r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 05  16.28656  13 33 00.204  -08 56 37.26  23.9r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 05  17.24686  13 32 56.553  -08 56 16.82  24.0r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 05  25.38864  13 32 27.658  -08 53 35.81  23.8r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 05  25.44647  13 32 27.462  -08 53 34.62  24.2r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 06  21.33827  13 31 22.280  -08 47 44.28  24.3r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 06  22.29486  13 31 20.955  -08 47 37.80  24.2r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 07  12.28879  13 31 10.808  -08 47 04.30  24.1r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 07  15.27909  13 31 12.221  -08 47 16.49  23.9r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2015 07  19.27863  13 31 15.358  -08 47 40.14  24.4r 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 02  04.61430  13 43 54.635  -10 00 56.51  24.5w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 02  11.59752  13 43 47.453  -10 00 10.60  24.5w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 03  11.60487  13 42 35.610  -09 53 05.83  23.8w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 04  03.47768  13 41 04.137  -09 44 20.97  24.5w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 04  09.45883  13 40 37.530  -09 41 49.41  24.3w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 05  01.46556  13 38 58.722  -09 32 31.24  24.4w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 05  02.33963  13 38 54.924  -09 32 09.99  23.9w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 05  07.34298  13 38 33.571  -09 30 10.42  24.2w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 05  28.31649  13 37 15.150  -09 22 56.50  24.0w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 05  29.32340  13 37 11.957  -09 22 39.27  24.4w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 06  04.38582  13 36 54.103  -09 21 02.76  24.7w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 06  27.31141  13 36 10.732  -09 17 18.93  24.5w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2016 07  07.30770  13 36 05.111  -09 16 59.19  24.4w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2017 02  27.64150  13 48 13.807  -10 26 32.08        15GL57    568  C~2nvW      
2017 06  25.27303  13 41 10.671  -09 47 28.81  24.4w 15GL57    568  C~2nvW      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.12       0.00    -0.00
     2   0.0081    -98.72     0.03       1.89    -0.06
     3   0.0793  -1381.30    -0.08      14.39    -0.02
     4   0.0795  -1383.83    -0.01      14.41    -0.00
     5   0.0849  -1508.28    -0.12      14.94    -0.02
     6   0.1450  -3004.54    -0.06      16.60     0.10
     7   0.1475  -3069.16     0.22      16.53     0.10
     8   0.1476  -3072.67     0.04      16.60     0.21
     9   0.1477  -3075.68     0.11      16.12    -0.25
    10   0.1641  -3505.16    -0.21      15.11    -0.06
    11   0.1642  -3508.24     0.19      15.20     0.06
    12   0.2403  -5387.49     0.27       1.23    -0.07
    13   0.2429  -5445.36    -0.08       0.50    -0.10
    14   0.2652  -5903.11    -0.00      -6.08    -0.04
    15   0.2654  -5906.26    -0.05      -6.04     0.07
    16   0.3390  -6934.55     0.06     -33.48     0.05
    17   0.3416  -6955.23     0.01     -34.65    -0.03
    18   0.3964  -7107.64    -0.02     -58.59     0.04
    19   0.4046  -7083.65    -0.24     -62.26     0.05
    20   0.4155  -7031.66    -0.02     -67.23    -0.01
    21   0.9640   5037.31    -0.04     -95.60     0.00
    22   0.9831   4921.75     0.01     -90.70    -0.07
    23   1.0625   3778.06     0.05     -74.56     0.26
    24   1.1252   2327.42     0.00     -70.61    -0.11
    25   1.1415   1905.81    -0.03     -70.84     0.01
    26   1.2018    341.51     0.12     -77.40     0.10
    27   1.2042    281.45     0.03     -77.88    -0.00
    28   1.2179    -56.30    -0.02     -80.58     0.06
    29   1.2753  -1295.07     0.06     -96.17     0.10
    30   1.2781  -1345.36     0.04     -97.24    -0.06
    31   1.2947  -1626.63    -0.05    -103.10    -0.20
    32   1.3574  -2306.13    -0.06    -127.53    -0.02
    33   1.3848  -2390.84     0.01    -139.36    -0.11
    34   2.0291   9164.16    -0.01    -167.17    -0.03
    35   2.3512   2485.15    -0.04    -211.12     0.06

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15GL57    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        42.894    42.903    42.885
ecceobj         0.011     0.012     0.010
incobj          1.248     1.248     1.248
qmin           41.460    41.430    41.501
qmax           45.054    45.112    44.982
amean          43.170    43.180    43.162
amin           42.848    42.853    42.832
amax           43.504    43.516    43.491
emean           0.018     0.019     0.017
emin            0.000     0.000     0.000
emax            0.036     0.037     0.035
imean           1.060     1.057     1.064
imin            0.000     0.000     0.000
imax            1.672     1.671     1.677
excite_mean     0.028     0.029     0.028
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.091     3.091     3.091

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       179.9     178.6     180.5
kozaiamp        179.9     179.9     180.0