Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15GH57

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15GH57    
# Created Wed May  8 01:17:04 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     29 observations of     29
# Arc:   2.11y
# First observation: 2015/02/17
#  Last observation: 2017/03/29
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000116   0.021978   0.000002   0.000191   0.023150   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     8.27 DOF:     52 RMS:  0.09
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.16    0.22
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.515050E-05  2.183359E-02  6.619970E-07  1.907462E-04  2.318040E-02  2.935877E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  2.0896E-13  7.0191E-15 -1.1096E-15  1.8434E-15  1.7284E-13  3.6847E-12
  7.0191E-15  3.3564E-13 -1.6160E-15  4.1562E-15  1.9985E-13  9.3717E-12
 -1.1096E-15 -1.6160E-15  9.5543E-14 -8.5315E-14 -2.1134E-15 -8.1543E-14
  1.8434E-15  4.1562E-15 -8.5315E-14  1.6074E-13  4.3833E-15  2.2934E-13
  1.7284E-13  1.9985E-13 -2.1134E-15  4.3833E-15  2.9845E-13  9.3922E-12
  3.6847E-12  9.3717E-12 -8.1543E-14  2.2934E-13  9.3922E-12  5.2631E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    1.264759 -154.266430    0.830937    0.011833   -0.529341  2457071.015468
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457070.5000  =  2015/02/17
Mean Anomaly:          192.66047 +/-     3.634
Argument of Peri:      235.00806 +/-     3.634
Long of Asc Node:      137.36700 +/-     0.041
Inclination:             1.35426 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.01582235 +/-    0.0002
Semi-Major Axis:     43.01507397 +/-    0.0027
Time of Perihelion: 2504969.3944 +/-    1040.2
Perihelion:          42.33447427 +/-    0.0110
Aphelion:            43.69567367 +/-    0.0110
Period (y)              282.1235 +/-      0.03
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -39.69241123 +/-    0.0009
Ecliptic Y          -18.20756809 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Z            0.95222524 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00108524 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00234343 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00002338 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   43.67962658 +/-    0.0009
Geocenter to KBO     43.13989244 +/-    0.0010
# Hcoef:  8.30

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15GH57. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15GH57) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 02  17.51469  13 37 17.118  -08 46 01.18  24.8r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 02  17.55579  13 37 17.035  -08 46 00.49  24.7r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 02  20.48657  13 37 11.004  -08 45 20.57  24.6r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 03  18.49249  13 35 51.830  -08 37 05.91  24.7r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 03  18.53407  13 35 51.668  -08 37 04.87  24.6r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 03  20.53726  13 35 44.018  -08 36 18.58  24.9r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 04  11.47256  13 34 12.037  -08 27 10.52  24.9r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 04  12.37938  13 34 08.054  -08 26 47.04  24.6r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 04  12.42509  13 34 07.853  -08 26 46.08  24.5r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 04  12.46730  13 34 07.665  -08 26 44.88  24.8r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 04  18.43790  13 33 41.320  -08 24 10.77  24.6r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 04  18.48560  13 33 41.126  -08 24 09.53  26.1r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 05  16.28656  13 31 45.878  -08 13 09.05  23.6r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 05  17.24686  13 31 42.355  -08 12 49.17  24.9r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 05  25.38864  13 31 14.279  -08 10 13.35  24.7r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 05  25.44647  13 31 14.088  -08 10 12.23  24.8r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 06  21.33827  13 30 10.935  -08 04 39.47  25.1r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 06  22.29486  13 30 09.669  -08 04 33.50  25.3r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 07  12.28879  13 30 00.040  -08 04 11.27  24.7r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2015 07  19.27863  13 30 04.554  -08 04 50.06  25.8r 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2016 02  04.61026  13 42 19.257  -09 14 36.61  25.2w 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2016 03  11.60082  13 41 00.834  -09 06 08.51  24.0w 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2016 04  03.47362  13 39 31.260  -08 57 14.10  25.3w 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2016 04  09.45477  13 39 05.286  -08 54 42.07  25.0w 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2016 05  29.32744  13 35 45.269  -08 35 52.05  21.2w 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2016 06  27.32010  13 34 46.168  -08 30 52.63  24.8w 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2016 06  27.32513  13 34 46.150  -08 30 52.34  25.4w 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2016 07  07.31590  13 34 40.873  -08 30 39.03  25.1w 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      
2017 03  29.50900  13 44 41.763  -09 26 05.88  24.6w 15GH57    568  C~2nvV      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.11
     2   0.0001     -1.40    -0.11       0.20     0.04
     3   0.0081    -99.20     0.22       4.98    -0.01
     4   0.0793  -1372.69    -0.04      39.70    -0.01
     5   0.0795  -1375.30    -0.09      39.80     0.06
     6   0.0849  -1497.83     0.00      41.68    -0.01
     7   0.1450  -2968.36    -0.15      55.52     0.03
     8   0.1475  -3031.96    -0.16      55.84     0.07
     9   0.1476  -3035.09    -0.02      55.65    -0.11
    10   0.1477  -3038.12    -0.05      55.75    -0.00
    11   0.1641  -3458.42    -0.10      56.72     0.01
    12   0.1642  -3461.55     0.17      56.83     0.13
    13   0.2403  -5296.01     0.13      46.77     0.03
    14   0.2429  -5352.00     0.13      46.13     0.13
    15   0.2652  -5797.27     0.10      38.55    -0.09
    16   0.2654  -5800.32     0.06      38.55    -0.01
    17   0.3390  -6795.74    -0.01       4.46     0.00
    18   0.3416  -6815.45     0.06       3.12     0.08
    19   0.3964  -6956.79    -0.07     -28.68     0.01
    20   0.4155  -6880.11    -0.10     -40.18    -0.00
    21   0.9640   4794.49     0.00      16.03    -0.04
    22   1.0625   3527.63     0.15      72.30    -0.15
    23   1.1251   2096.96     0.02      92.12    -0.12
    24   1.1415   1683.11     0.06      94.82     0.05
    25   1.2781  -1490.19    -0.07      73.14    -0.07
    26   1.3574  -2415.78     0.16      33.12    -0.16
    27   1.3575  -2416.13    -0.12      33.29     0.02
    28   1.3848  -2493.90    -0.07      17.18     0.03
    29   2.1109   7012.47    -0.06     128.98     0.22

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15GH57    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        42.632    42.640    42.623
ecceobj         0.025     0.025     0.026
incobj          1.357     1.357     1.357
qmin           40.672    40.709    40.672
qmax           45.281    45.318    45.310
amean          42.902    42.911    42.895
amin           42.578    42.575    42.570
amax           43.236    43.243    43.234
emean           0.031     0.031     0.032
emin            0.009     0.009     0.009
emax            0.048     0.048     0.048
imean           1.980     1.970     1.987
imin            0.784     0.784     0.784
imax            2.706     2.693     2.720
excite_mean     0.047     0.047     0.047
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.086     3.086     3.086

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       190.3     190.8     190.0
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     179.9