The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15FV561 # Created Thu Jul 3 01:10:29 2025 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 15 observations of 15 # Arc: 10.88d # First observation: 2015/03/18 # Last observation: 2015/03/29 Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 0.000001 0.047697 0.000000 0.009178 0.031004 0.000000 # WARNING Fitting with energy constraint # Chi-squared of fit: 8.94 DOF: 25 RMS: 0.14 # Min/Max residuals: -0.18 0.47 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.632916E-05 2.771443E-02 5.326592E-06 9.180010E-03 2.783053E-02 1.746427E-03 # Covariance matrix: 4.7882E-11 8.5318E-08 1.6812E-13 -2.9848E-11 1.3494E-08 -9.1186E-08 8.5318E-08 1.5325E-04 3.1562E-10 -5.8959E-08 2.4223E-05 -1.8267E-04 1.6812E-13 3.1562E-10 2.2387E-13 -9.3641E-12 4.9502E-11 -9.0715E-10 -2.9848E-11 -5.8959E-08 -9.3641E-12 7.4340E-10 -9.1687E-09 2.7806E-07 1.3494E-08 2.4223E-05 4.9502E-11 -9.1687E-09 3.8290E-06 -2.8342E-05 -9.1186E-08 -1.8267E-04 -9.0715E-10 2.7806E-07 -2.8342E-05 9.5160E-04 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -0.074442 -178.676008 0.068787 -0.001158 -0.989765 2457099.974968 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2457090.5000 = 2015/03/09 Mean Anomaly: 54.45600 +/- 251.277 Argument of Peri: 298.44282 +/- 25.195 Long of Asc Node: 181.43557 +/- 0.090 Inclination: 18.29071 +/- 7.603 Eccentricity: 0.06970629 +/- 0.8542 Semi-Major Axis: 38.34598674 +/- 19.8155 Time of Perihelion: 2443970.8718 +/- 146918.4 Perihelion: 35.67303010 +/- 37.5878 Aphelion: 41.01894337 +/- 39.0170 Period (y) 237.4587 +/- 184.06 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X -36.91634060 +/- 2.5257 Ecliptic Y -0.78449020 +/- 0.0582 Ecliptic Z -0.04647747 +/- 0.0033 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00011335 +/- 0.0031 Ecliptic YDOT -0.00273547 +/- 0.0010 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00090296 +/- 0.0001 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 36.92470431 +/- 2.5251 Geocenter to KBO 35.93176201 +/- 2.5264 # Hcoef: 8.90
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15FV561. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15FV561) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 03 18.47419 12 04 44.44 -00 35 41.7 24.6r 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 18.50126 12 04 44.31 -00 35 40.6 24.8r 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 18.56444 12 04 44.00 -00 35 38.3 24.5r 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 20.41961 12 04 34.81 -00 34 28.1 23.9i 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 20.45248 12 04 34.63 -00 34 26.7 24.1i 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 20.49142 12 04 34.44 -00 34 25.2 24.2i 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 20.49422 12 04 34.43 -00 34 25.4 24.1i 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 20.53830 12 04 34.21 -00 34 23.7 23.9i 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 25.51323 12 04 09.50 -00 31 14.9 25.5g 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 25.54115 12 04 09.36 -00 31 13.7 25.5g 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 29.25584 12 03 51.03 -00 28 53.5 24.0y 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 29.26907 12 03 50.97 -00 28 53.0 23.8y 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 29.28823 12 03 50.86 -00 28 52.3 23.9y 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 29.33446 12 03 50.67 -00 28 50.8 24.0y 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX 2015 03 29.35626 12 03 50.53 -00 28 49.4 24.6y 15FV561 T09 C~8vFX
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.12 0.00 -0.02
2 0.0001 -2.23 -0.06 0.23 0.09
3 0.0002 -7.41 0.09 0.49 0.05
4 0.0053 -161.80 0.10 10.09 -0.02
5 0.0054 -164.83 -0.15 10.30 0.04
6 0.0055 -168.04 -0.06 10.54 0.10
7 0.0055 -168.10 0.12 10.30 -0.16
8 0.0057 -171.81 0.14 10.54 -0.11
9 0.0193 -586.96 -0.03 36.37 -0.05
10 0.0193 -589.36 -0.08 36.63 0.08
11 0.0295 -897.38 -0.07 55.92 -0.04
12 0.0296 -898.41 0.01 56.02 -0.01
13 0.0296 -900.20 -0.18 56.00 -0.11
14 0.0297 -903.41 0.47 56.25 -0.09
15 0.0298 -905.89 -0.18 56.70 0.26
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.