Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 14TM95

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 14TM95    
# Created Fri Dec  3 02:12:43 2021
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     59 observations of     59
# Arc:   8.10y
# First observation: 2013/10/04
#  Last observation: 2021/11/11
# Chi-squared of fit:    24.51 DOF:    112 RMS:  0.11
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.44    0.44
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.811442E-05  3.865963E-02 -4.188752E-06 -9.582500E-03  3.318572E-02 -4.413418E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  2.4058E-13 -9.8853E-14 -3.5014E-14  2.0702E-14  5.1191E-14 -2.4226E-13
 -9.8853E-14  6.0801E-14  2.1067E-14 -1.4076E-14  1.3541E-14  1.6656E-13
 -3.5014E-14  2.1067E-14  9.5486E-14 -2.5924E-14 -2.5648E-15  6.5007E-14
  2.0702E-14 -1.4076E-14 -2.5924E-14  1.0466E-14 -3.0759E-15 -4.3414E-14
  5.1191E-14  1.3541E-14 -2.5648E-15 -3.0759E-15  1.2940E-13  4.1193E-14
 -2.4226E-13  1.6656E-13  6.5007E-14 -4.3414E-14  4.1193E-14  5.1369E-13
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
  -11.140193   18.417811    0.132744   -0.191462   -0.972839  2456569.695198
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456570.5000  =  2013/10/05
Mean Anomaly:          328.93517 +/-     0.006
Argument of Peri:      263.29646 +/-     0.009
Long of Asc Node:      161.17746 +/-     0.000
Inclination:            17.56871 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.18978579 +/-    0.0000
Semi-Major Axis:     36.60218872 +/-    0.0020
Time of Perihelion: 2463550.0201 +/-       6.1
Perihelion:          29.65561334 +/-    0.0019
Aphelion:            43.54876411 +/-    0.0026
Period (y)              221.4465 +/-      0.02
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           29.03325331 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic Y            9.53135483 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic Z           -5.82224335 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00149773 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00286359 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00070518 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   31.10754294 +/-    0.0003
Geocenter to KBO     30.13354556 +/-    0.0003
# Hcoef:  7.88

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14TM95. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14TM95) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2013 10  04.19442  01 24 50.480  -03 05 35.31  23.5g 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2013 10  04.19442  01 24 50.48   -03 05 35.4   23.7g 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2013 11  08.22276  01 21 31.613  -03 26 34.55  23.0r 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2014 10  01.32966  01 34 12.830  -02 43 24.96  24.0g 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2014 10  01.33103  01 34 12.84   -02 43 25.0   22.8r 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2014 11  17.16106  01 29 49.789  -03 10 19.94  22.9r 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2014 11  17.16106  01 29 49.79   -03 10 20.0   23.1r 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2014 11  27.10444  01 29 05.231  -03 12 59.73  22.0z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2014 11  27.10444  01 29 05.23   -03 12 59.7   22.2z 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2014 11  28.12961  01 29 01.111  -03 13 11.63  22.3z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2014 12  06.10938  01 28 32.243  -03 14 13.45  22.6z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2014 12  16.106123 01 28 05.16   -03 14 13.2   22.5z 14TM95    W84  C~35bu      
2014 12  16.10665  01 28 05.179  -03 14 13.34  21.8z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2015 09  04.33184  01 45 27.478  -02 02 42.50  22.1z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2015 09  04.33184  01 45 27.48   -02 02 42.5   22.1z 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2015 11  01.20290  01 40 23.771  -02 43 13.60  22.5z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2015 11  01.20290  01 40 23.77   -02 43 13.6   22.5z 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2015 11  01.20427  01 40 23.760  -02 43 13.73  22.2i 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2015 11  01.20427  01 40 23.76   -02 43 13.7   22.6i 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2015 11  07.12743  01 39 50.106  -02 46 12.24  23.0r 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2015 11  07.12743  01 39 50.10   -02 46 12.2   23.0r 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2015 12  18.08179  01 36 59.673  -02 54 29.25  22.4z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2015 12  18.08179  01 36 59.67   -02 54 29.3   22.6z 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2015 12  18.13008  01 36 59.575  -02 54 28.85  22.8i 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2015 12  18.13008  01 36 59.57   -02 54 28.9   23.0i 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2016 01  01.08090  01 36 39.806  -02 51 53.49  22.8i 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2016 01  01.08090  01 36 39.81   -02 51 53.5   22.8i 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2016 01  01.08227  01 36 39.808  -02 51 53.35  22.6z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2016 01  01.08227  01 36 39.81   -02 51 53.4   22.6z 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2016 01  01.08365  01 36 39.81   -02 51 53.4   22.6z 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2016 10  28.18556  01 49 55.350  -02 20 55.49  22.5i 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2016 10  28.18556  01 49 55.35   -02 20 55.5   22.7i 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2016 10  28.18693  01 49 55.339  -02 20 55.51  22.8r 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2016 10  28.18693  01 49 55.34   -02 20 55.5   22.8r 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2016 10  28.187778 01 49 55.32   -02 20 55.1   23.6g 14TM95    W84  C~35bu      
2016 10  28.18830  01 49 55.330  -02 20 55.48  23.7g 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2016 11  07.15230  01 48 57.265  -02 26 08.58  22.0z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2016 11  07.15230  01 48 57.26   -02 26 08.6   22.1z 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2016 11  28.16536  01 47 09.651  -02 33 16.80  22.8r 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2016 11  28.16536  01 47 09.65   -02 33 16.7   23.3r 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2016 11  30.08668  01 47 01.340  -02 33 38.32  22.5i 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2016 11  30.08668  01 47 01.34   -02 33 38.3   22.6i 14TM95    W84  C~3co0      
2016 12  06.077789 01 46 37.50   -02 34 24.9   22.3z 14TM95    W84  C~35bu      
2016 12  06.07831  01 46 37.530  -02 34 25.06  22.1z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2017 09  14.30817  02 03 10.608  -01 28 54.11  22.9r 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2017 09  14.37901  02 03 10.304  -01 28 57.43  22.1z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2017 09  25.34521  02 02 20.367  -01 37 13.51  22.7r 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2017 09  25.34659  02 02 20.361  -01 37 13.49  22.2i 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2017 09  25.34796  02 02 20.350  -01 37 13.66  23.4g 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2017 11  16.14741  01 57 23.851  -02 09 04.49  23.9g 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2017 11  23.12484  01 56 47.315  -02 11 22.24  22.9r 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2017 11  23.12621  01 56 47.309  -02 11 22.00  22.7z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2018 10  10.31733  02 10 22.227  -01 26 45.33  22.5i 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2018 10  20.25568  02 09 24.071  -01 33 33.80  22.2z 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2018 11  29.18329  02 05 36.104  -01 51 47.54  22.9r 14TM95    W84  C~4yUj      
2021 11  11.358375 02 35 36.072  -00 40 34.35  22.9w 14TM95    F51  C~5BUh      
2021 11  11.371039 02 35 36.001  -00 40 34.58  22.6w 14TM95    F51  C~5BUh      
2021 11  11.383852 02 35 35.906  -00 40 34.96  23.1w 14TM95    F51  C~5BUh      
2021 11  11.396550 02 35 35.852  -00 40 35.03  22.5w 14TM95    F51  C~5BUh      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.09       0.00    -0.05
     2   0.0000      0.00     0.09       0.00     0.04
     3   0.0959      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.01
     4   0.9915      0.00    -0.23       0.00    -0.06
     5   0.9915      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.04
     6   1.1197      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.04
     7   1.1197      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.10
     8   1.1469      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.10
     9   1.1469      0.00    -0.00       0.00     0.07
    10   1.1497      0.00     0.25       0.00     0.01
    11   1.1716      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.12
    12   1.1989      0.00    -0.44       0.00     0.27
    13   1.1989      0.00    -0.13       0.00     0.12
    14   1.9169      0.00     0.07       0.00    -0.05
    15   1.9169      0.00     0.10       0.00    -0.05
    16   2.0753      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.04
    17   2.0753      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.04
    18   2.0753      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.09
    19   2.0753      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.12
    20   2.0915      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.06
    21   2.0915      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.10
    22   2.2037      0.00    -0.16       0.00    -0.13
    23   2.2037      0.00    -0.12       0.00    -0.08
    24   2.2038      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.02
    25   2.2038      0.00     0.10       0.00     0.07
    26   2.2420      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.07
    27   2.2420      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.06
    28   2.2420      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.01
    29   2.2420      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.06
    30   2.2420      0.00     0.07       0.00    -0.01
    31   3.0664      0.00     0.07       0.00    -0.03
    32   3.0664      0.00     0.07       0.00    -0.04
    33   3.0664      0.00     0.05       0.00     0.01
    34   3.0664      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.00
    35   3.0664      0.00    -0.17       0.00     0.44
    36   3.0664      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.08
    37   3.0937      0.00    -0.07       0.00    -0.11
    38   3.0937      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.09
    39   3.1512      0.00     0.05       0.00     0.08
    40   3.1512      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.02
    41   3.1564      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.02
    42   3.1564      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.00
    43   3.1728      0.00    -0.30       0.00     0.31
    44   3.1729      0.00     0.18       0.00     0.15
    45   3.9456      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.03
    46   3.9457      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.17
    47   3.9758      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.03
    48   3.9758      0.00     0.00       0.00     0.05
    49   3.9758      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.06
    50   4.1176      0.00     0.23       0.00    -0.20
    51   4.1367      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.13
    52   4.1367      0.00     0.05       0.00     0.13
    53   5.0161      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.02
    54   5.0433      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.05
    55   5.1526      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.01
    56   8.1045      0.00    -0.08       0.00    -0.12
    57   8.1045      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.00
    58   8.1046      0.00    -0.19       0.00    -0.03
    59   8.1046      0.00     0.18       0.00     0.25

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

14TM95    quality flag:3

Type:           4:3E      4:3E      4:3E
Type:          8:6II     8:6II     8:6II

axisobj        36.771    36.771    36.771
ecceobj         0.191     0.191     0.191
incobj         17.526    17.526    17.526
qmin           28.279    28.277    28.281
qmax           45.004    45.007    45.001
amean          36.475    36.475    36.475
amin           36.123    36.116    36.123
amax           36.893    36.895    36.894
emean           0.196     0.196     0.196
emin            0.165     0.166     0.165
emax            0.222     0.222     0.222
imean          16.416    16.418    16.423
imin           15.105    15.104    15.106
imax           17.753    17.767    17.757
excite_mean     0.344     0.344     0.344
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          2.896     2.896     2.896

libcent 0       180.5     180.0     180.7
libamp  0        60.0      62.8      62.5
libcent 1       184.9     182.2     184.7
libamp  1       154.3     159.8     155.9
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       270.0     270.0     270.0
kozaiamp         23.7      23.8      23.7