The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 14TH115 # Created Fri Apr 26 01:16:24 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 12 observations of 12 # Arc: 7.99y # First observation: 2013/11/08 # Last observation: 2021/11/05 # Chi-squared of fit: 3.18 DOF: 18 RMS: 0.09 # Min/Max residuals: -0.15 0.17 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.913990E-05 3.545486E-02 -1.969345E-06 -4.645524E-03 3.070262E-02 -2.083957E-03 # Covariance matrix: 4.7680E-13 -2.8203E-13 -3.0576E-14 3.1164E-14 -1.4554E-13 -7.6087E-13 -2.8203E-13 2.6910E-13 3.2352E-14 -3.3177E-14 -9.3251E-14 8.0803E-13 -3.0576E-14 3.2352E-14 2.4032E-13 -4.8105E-14 -1.0775E-14 1.0346E-13 3.1164E-14 -3.3177E-14 -4.8105E-14 2.0783E-14 1.3824E-14 -1.0610E-13 -1.4554E-13 -9.3251E-14 -1.0775E-14 1.3824E-14 3.4163E-12 -3.0973E-13 -7.6087E-13 8.0803E-13 1.0346E-13 -1.0610E-13 -3.0973E-13 2.5841E-12 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -3.312622 15.009587 -0.503938 -0.049070 -0.850217 2456604.694828 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456604.5000 = 2013/11/08 Mean Anomaly: 346.20194 +/- 0.023 Argument of Peri: 222.78756 +/- 0.031 Long of Asc Node: 172.46540 +/- 0.001 Inclination: 8.07800 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.15906121 +/- 0.0002 Semi-Major Axis: 39.44448338 +/- 0.0121 Time of Perihelion: 2460072.6128 +/- 40.5 Perihelion: 33.17039631 +/- 0.0129 Aphelion: 45.71857044 +/- 0.0161 Period (y) 247.7351 +/- 0.11 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 32.09796307 +/- 0.0019 Ecliptic Y 9.13132570 +/- 0.0005 Ecliptic Z -1.88217201 +/- 0.0001 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00102728 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00299780 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00040268 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 33.42461260 +/- 0.0018 Geocenter to KBO 32.57058069 +/- 0.0020 # Hcoef: 8.48
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14TH115. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14TH115) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2013 11 08.19405 01 00 24.247 +02 51 22.17 23.5r 14TH115 W84 C~52UG 2013 11 08.19544 01 00 24.253 +02 51 22.34 23.1i 14TH115 W84 C~52UG 2014 10 02.29273 01 11 36.377 +03 44 25.72 23.0i 14TH115 W84 C~52UG 2014 11 14.07758 01 07 54.835 +03 20 54.94 23.9r 14TH115 W84 C~52UG 2014 11 14.07893 01 07 54.845 +03 20 54.76 23.4i 14TH115 W84 C~52UG 2014 11 15.07745 01 07 50.524 +03 20 29.88 23.5r 14TH115 W84 C~52UG 2015 11 07.11459 01 16 25.911 +03 56 03.46 23.8i 14TH115 W84 C~52UG 2016 10 23.21286 01 25 40.707 +04 35 15.43 23.9r 14TH115 W84 C~52UG 2016 11 05.15757 01 24 31.875 +04 28 18.68 24.2r 14TH115 W84 C~52UG 2016 11 05.15895 01 24 31.859 +04 28 18.68 22.9i 14TH115 W84 C~52UG 2021 11 05.238280 02 05 02.034 +07 02 03.94 23.7G 14TH115 G37 C~5BUi 2021 11 05.293210 02 05 01.724 +07 02 02.28 14TH115 G37 C~5BUi
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.13 0.00 -0.15
2 0.0000 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.06
3 0.8983 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.01
4 1.0154 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.07
5 1.0154 0.00 0.17 0.00 -0.07
6 1.0182 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.15
7 1.9957 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.15
8 2.9569 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.01
9 2.9924 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.06
10 2.9924 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.10
11 7.9919 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.02
12 7.9921 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.02
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
14TH115 quality flag:3 Type: 3:2E 3:2E 3:2E axisobj 39.674 39.674 39.674 ecceobj 0.163 0.163 0.163 incobj 8.056 8.056 8.056 qmin 32.715 32.715 32.714 qmax 46.879 46.836 46.849 amean 39.458 39.458 39.458 amin 38.970 38.969 38.971 amax 40.001 39.986 39.987 emean 0.153 0.153 0.153 emin 0.135 0.135 0.135 emax 0.172 0.172 0.172 imean 8.179 8.180 8.179 imin 7.411 7.411 7.411 imax 8.848 8.849 8.848 excite_mean 0.209 0.209 0.209 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.002 3.002 3.002 libcent 0 179.7 179.8 179.8 libamp 0 111.1 111.4 111.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 180.5 180.4 180.4 kozaiamp 179.9 179.9 180.0