The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 14RO86 # Created Sat Apr 27 01:16:14 2024 # Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism # Fitting 13 observations of 13 # Arc: 4.18y # First observation: 2014/09/03 # Last observation: 2018/11/06 Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 0.000224 0.027726 0.000011 0.000972 0.026568 0.000000 # Chi-squared of fit: 3.21 DOF: 20 RMS: 0.09 # Min/Max residuals: -0.24 0.16 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.654106E-05 2.824064E-02 2.659752E-08 1.032495E-03 2.667738E-02 1.907170E-03 # Covariance matrix: 6.6114E-13 -2.0306E-13 -1.1949E-13 -8.8268E-14 1.3089E-12 -1.9477E-12 -2.0306E-13 6.0544E-13 -7.1954E-14 4.8868E-14 4.4229E-13 5.9518E-12 -1.1949E-13 -7.1954E-14 4.0516E-13 -8.9323E-14 -6.4500E-13 -3.5791E-13 -8.8268E-14 4.8868E-14 -8.9323E-14 8.6598E-14 -3.2138E-13 7.9834E-13 1.3089E-12 4.4229E-13 -6.4500E-13 -3.2138E-13 6.5398E-12 3.1723E-13 -1.9477E-12 5.9518E-12 -3.5791E-13 7.9834E-13 3.1723E-13 6.8382E-11 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -29.416204 -53.058771 -0.556711 -0.414669 -0.735694 2456903.638858 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456900.5000 = 2014/08/31 Mean Anomaly: 38.77595 +/- 0.099 Argument of Peri: 226.14281 +/- 0.132 Long of Asc Node: 32.66089 +/- 0.001 Inclination: 28.89402 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.11948074 +/- 0.0003 Semi-Major Axis: 41.85190143 +/- 0.0181 Time of Perihelion: 2446248.4988 +/- 26.2 Perihelion: 36.85140547 +/- 0.0214 Aphelion: 46.85239739 +/- 0.0248 Period (y) 270.7578 +/- 0.18 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 20.57450171 +/- 0.0019 Ecliptic Y -26.43593010 +/- 0.0025 Ecliptic Z -18.41073713 +/- 0.0018 Ecliptic XDOT 0.00244541 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00155958 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00000371 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 38.22464862 +/- 0.0022 Geocenter to KBO 37.48494142 +/- 0.0036 # Hcoef: 7.58
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14RO86. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14RO86) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2014 09 03.13808 21 18 56.864 -46 40 55.23 22.9i 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw 2014 09 20.09353 21 17 17.178 -46 37 43.77 23.8g 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw 2014 09 24.07015 21 16 57.561 -46 36 20.66 23.6r 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw 2014 10 20.05430 21 15 35.750 -46 21 57.50 23.6i 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw 2016 09 25.99327 21 33 38.301 -45 18 25.08 23.3i 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw 2016 09 27.01134 21 33 33.473 -45 18 03.73 23.4r 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw 2016 09 27.01272 21 33 33.462 -45 18 03.95 23.7g 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw 2016 10 02.06436 21 33 11.125 -45 16 03.59 23.9r 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw 2017 09 28.06012 21 41 35.203 -44 36 09.72 23.0i 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw 2017 09 28.06285 21 41 35.207 -44 36 09.71 23.4i 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw 2017 10 15.09997 21 40 30.053 -44 28 19.73 23.4r 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw 2017 10 22.01831 21 40 13.521 -44 24 01.35 22.7i 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw 2018 11 06.11386 21 47 43.515 -43 30 29.59 23.9r 14RO86 W84 C~52Tw
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.12
2 0.0464 -896.72 -0.05 534.74 -0.01
3 0.0573 -1058.06 0.06 682.15 -0.07
4 0.1284 -1558.64 -0.05 1781.51 0.06
5 2.0639 10372.55 0.04 1199.72 0.05
6 2.0667 10333.93 0.01 1239.34 -0.02
7 2.0667 10333.74 -0.13 1239.18 -0.24
8 2.0806 10163.33 0.03 1442.28 0.01
9 3.0689 16050.69 -0.09 1484.17 0.16
10 3.0689 16050.73 0.06 1484.16 0.04
11 3.1156 15607.40 0.04 2201.51 -0.09
12 3.1345 15551.73 0.08 2510.68 -0.14
13 4.1752 21358.08 -0.04 3390.80 0.12
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
14RO86 quality flag:3 Type: SCATEXTD SCATEXTD SCATEXTD axisobj 41.953 42.010 41.897 ecceobj 0.120 0.121 0.119 incobj 28.919 28.919 28.919 qmin 36.176 36.058 36.044 qmax 48.184 48.367 48.145 amean 42.046 42.097 41.982 amin 41.701 41.748 41.632 amax 42.408 42.466 42.349 emean 0.120 0.121 0.120 emin 0.103 0.101 0.103 emax 0.137 0.140 0.138 imean 28.318 28.323 28.305 imin 27.915 27.855 27.946 imax 28.693 28.689 28.686 excite_mean 0.489 0.490 0.489 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.781 2.781 2.781 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 186.6 193.0 183.3 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 180.0