The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 14RM86 # Created Tue Apr 16 01:16:09 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 16 observations of 16 # Arc: 9.01y # First observation: 2013/12/21 # Last observation: 2022/12/26 # Chi-squared of fit: 3.85 DOF: 26 RMS: 0.09 # Min/Max residuals: -0.19 0.17 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 1.777252E-05 3.160848E-02 -8.328576E-09 1.218194E-03 2.816432E-02 -3.187522E-03 # Covariance matrix: 1.2591E-12 -4.8241E-13 -2.3967E-14 -8.7567E-15 -6.2231E-13 -1.1399E-12 -4.8241E-13 2.3130E-13 1.3064E-15 6.1179E-15 1.9583E-13 6.0983E-13 -2.3967E-14 1.3064E-15 2.3417E-13 -4.4438E-14 3.4646E-14 -9.2205E-15 -8.7567E-15 6.1179E-15 -4.4438E-14 1.3754E-14 -8.2315E-17 1.9277E-14 -6.2231E-13 1.9583E-13 3.4646E-14 -8.2315E-17 5.3386E-13 4.1065E-13 -1.1399E-12 6.0983E-13 -9.2205E-15 1.9277E-14 4.1065E-13 1.7604E-12 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 -19.253710 34.069273 -0.805156 -0.184937 -0.529931 2456647.663838 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456648.5000 = 2013/12/22 Mean Anomaly: 339.05930 +/- 0.011 Argument of Peri: 308.01876 +/- 0.016 Long of Asc Node: 117.35769 +/- 0.001 Inclination: 19.13017 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.18278247 +/- 0.0001 Semi-Major Axis: 43.17154565 +/- 0.0051 Time of Perihelion: 2462675.2554 +/- 17.6 Perihelion: 35.28054384 +/- 0.0053 Aphelion: 51.06254746 +/- 0.0068 Period (y) 283.6642 +/- 0.05 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X 27.77926573 +/- 0.0007 Ecliptic Y 19.76193228 +/- 0.0005 Ecliptic Z -11.70820076 +/- 0.0003 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00193735 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT 0.00240107 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00021411 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 36.04590356 +/- 0.0006 Geocenter to KBO 35.50602242 +/- 0.0009 # Hcoef: 7.90
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14RM86. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14RM86) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2013 12 21.16306 02 32 58.777 -05 17 18.90 22.6z 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2014 09 04.36402 02 47 37.640 -03 58 32.82 24.2r 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2014 09 16.34442 02 47 08.593 -04 05 58.42 23.2i 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2014 10 01.37885 02 46 14.802 -04 15 19.32 23.2i 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2015 12 05.19526 02 47 41.434 -03 58 07.02 23.3r 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2016 11 10.27762 02 56 38.464 -03 12 30.94 22.9z 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2016 11 10.27902 02 56 38.449 -03 12 30.97 23.4i 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2016 11 10.28539 02 56 38.414 -03 12 31.04 23.5r 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2016 12 05.20166 02 54 29.516 -03 16 59.49 23.5r 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2016 12 05.20303 02 54 29.506 -03 16 59.46 23.2i 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2016 12 05.20441 02 54 29.510 -03 16 59.27 24.0g 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2016 12 21.13714 02 53 22.853 -03 15 46.81 23.1i 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2017 12 23.16148 03 00 06.918 -02 34 10.68 23.5r 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2017 12 23.16424 03 00 06.896 -02 34 10.69 23.9g 14RM86 W84 C~52Tw 2022 12 26.099500 03 34 32.685 +00 56 58.02 23.3G 14RM86 G37 C~69bH 2022 12 26.214520 03 34 32.193 +00 56 59.03 14RM86 G37 C~69bH
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.13
2 0.7042 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.06
3 0.7370 0.00 -0.12 0.00 -0.02
4 0.7781 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.03
5 1.9549 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.06
6 2.8887 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.04
7 2.8888 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.04
8 2.8888 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.09
9 2.9570 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.09
10 2.9570 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.06
11 2.9570 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.13
12 3.0006 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.19
13 4.0055 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.06
14 4.0055 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.10
15 9.0128 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.05
16 9.0131 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.04
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
14RM86 quality flag:2 Type: SCATEXTD SCATNEAR SCATNEAR axisobj 43.432 43.431 43.432 ecceobj 0.186 0.186 0.186 incobj 19.134 19.134 19.134 qmin 34.232 34.102 34.198 qmax 52.433 52.636 52.503 amean 43.038 43.097 43.079 amin 42.665 42.646 42.672 amax 43.488 43.626 43.628 emean 0.182 0.184 0.183 emin 0.163 0.163 0.163 emax 0.206 0.208 0.205 imean 17.631 17.617 17.607 imin 16.728 16.598 16.710 imax 18.557 18.542 18.545 excite_mean 0.354 0.354 0.354 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 2.941 2.941 2.941 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 176.5 176.0 177.3 kozaiamp 179.9 180.0 180.0