Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 14MF70

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 14MF70    
# Created Thu Apr 25 01:15:51 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     65 observations of     65
# Arc:  12.05y
# First observation: 2011/05/29
#  Last observation: 2023/06/17
# Chi-squared of fit:    26.02 DOF:    124 RMS:  0.11
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.30    0.29
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.712129E-05  3.071420E-02 -1.042182E-06 -5.421998E-04  2.875274E-02 -7.461658E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  3.5123E-13 -1.2006E-13 -5.3426E-15  2.1183E-15 -1.9628E-14 -2.3876E-13
 -1.2006E-13  4.5910E-14  2.1358E-15 -8.5657E-16  5.7281E-15  9.6019E-14
 -5.3426E-15  2.1358E-15  7.8378E-14 -1.0643E-14  5.7032E-16  4.6497E-15
  2.1183E-15 -8.5657E-16 -1.0643E-14  1.9565E-15  4.6209E-17 -1.8782E-15
 -1.9628E-14  5.7281E-15  5.7032E-16  4.6209E-17  6.1409E-14  9.5383E-15
 -2.3876E-13  9.6019E-14  4.6497E-15 -1.8782E-15  9.5383E-15  2.0983E-13
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    4.761577 -131.388664   -0.325207    0.079773   -0.958430  2455710.858476
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2455710.5000  =  2011/05/29
Mean Anomaly:          304.80121 +/-     0.004
Argument of Peri:      185.11842 +/-     0.007
Long of Asc Node:      126.01320 +/-     0.001
Inclination:             4.75753 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.24491790 +/-    0.0000
Semi-Major Axis:     39.30719072 +/-    0.0015
Time of Perihelion: 2469512.2299 +/-       4.6
Perihelion:          29.68015628 +/-    0.0013
Aphelion:            48.93422516 +/-    0.0020
Period (y)              246.4428 +/-      0.01
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -23.30292510 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic Y          -26.93959960 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic Z            2.88702620 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00265724 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00139980 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00011039 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   35.73671896 +/-    0.0002
Geocenter to KBO     34.77947581 +/-    0.0003
# Hcoef:  6.60

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14MF70. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14MF70) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2011 05  29.35771  15 09 59.372  -12 46 54.61  21.5G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2013 04  15.51376  15 27 58.347  -14 01 50.43  21.2G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2013 05  08.43474  15 25 57.554  -13 53 33.69  22.1w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2013 05  08.44883  15 25 57.474  -13 53 33.40  22.2w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2013 05  08.46292  15 25 57.394  -13 53 33.08  22.0w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2013 05  08.47706  15 25 57.316  -13 53 32.82  22.0w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2013 05  20.42413  15 24 50.118  -13 49 26.99  22.4G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2013 06  04.37344  15 23 28.898  -13 44 56.91  22.5G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2014 05  08.45957  15 33 14.595  -14 22 57.44  22.3G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2014 05  24.37040  15 31 44.412  -14 17 42.35  22.3G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2014 05  24.38303  15 31 44.333  -14 17 42.10  22.0G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2014 05  24.43709  15 31 44.014  -14 17 40.98  21.8G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2014 05  24.44972  15 31 43.947  -14 17 40.81  22.5G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2014 06  03.41443  15 30 49.009  -14 14 46.46  21.1G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2014 06  03.42714  15 30 48.949  -14 14 46.10  22.0G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2014 06  03.43985  15 30 48.876  -14 14 46.37  22.4G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2014 06  21.34599  15 29 20.616  -14 10 42.28  21.9w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2014 06  21.34930  15 29 20.603  -14 10 42.48  21.9w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2014 06  21.35864  15 29 20.567  -14 10 42.23  22.1w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2014 06  21.36192  15 29 20.536  -14 10 42.23  22.0w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2014 06  21.37125  15 29 20.498  -14 10 42.30  21.9w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2014 06  21.38389  15 29 20.448  -14 10 41.93  22.1w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2014 06  21.38720  15 29 20.432  -14 10 41.90  22.0w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2014 07  03.33694  15 28 33.110  -14 09 01.73  22.9G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2014 07  26.26655  15 27 38.247  -14 08 32.50  22.1w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2014 07  26.27855  15 27 38.229  -14 08 32.61  22.2w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2014 07  26.29051  15 27 38.219  -14 08 32.59  22.2w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2014 07  26.30246  15 27 38.186  -14 08 32.56  22.2w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2015 04  25.51271  15 41 50.852  -14 56 18.62  21.8G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2015 04  25.52485  15 41 50.782  -14 56 18.41  21.4G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2015 04  25.53687  15 41 50.729  -14 56 18.21  20.9G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2015 04  25.54894  15 41 50.658  -14 56 17.91  22.1G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2015 06  16.36412  15 37 05.474  -14 40 52.78  22.3w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2015 06  16.37883  15 37 05.403  -14 40 52.40  22.2w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2015 06  16.39346  15 37 05.326  -14 40 52.35  22.0w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2015 06  16.40816  15 37 05.253  -14 40 52.27  22.0w 14MF70    F51  C~1vXb      
2015 06  17.35495  15 37 00.647  -14 40 40.58  22.3G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2015 06  24.35090  15 36 28.344  -14 39 24.23  22.9G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2016 02  19.65303  15 51 53.332  -15 38 59.09  22.3G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2016 03  15.58570  15 51 48.462  -15 35 39.03  22.3G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2016 03  17.59425  15 51 44.894  -15 35 14.17  22.0G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2016 04  01.54954  15 51 04.993  -15 31 35.06  22.1G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2016 05  13.44099  15 47 41.044  -15 18 32.48  21.7G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2016 06  28.35969  15 43 36.185  -15 07 26.15  21.9G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2017 03  07.64189  15 59 33.033  -16 04 02.05  22.2G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2017 03  25.57581  15 59 05.548  -16 00 38.05  22.1G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2017 04  01.59154  15 58 45.216  -15 58 55.61  21.8G 14MF70    F51  C~2kQJ      
2018 04  10.37124  16 06 03.510  -16 23 23.32  22.3R 14MF70    G37  C~2bHC      
2018 04  10.45761  16 06 03.183  -16 23 21.99        14MF70    G37  C~2bHC      
2020 06  23.33898  16 15 25.002  -16 57 13.29  21.9w 14MF70    F51  C~3xr3      
2020 06  23.34866  16 15 24.959  -16 57 12.94  21.8w 14MF70    F51  C~3xr3      
2020 06  23.35839  16 15 24.897  -16 57 12.97  21.9w 14MF70    F51  C~3xr3      
2020 06  23.36828  16 15 24.855  -16 57 12.86  22.0w 14MF70    F51  C~3xr3      
2020 07  23.292119 16 13 21.431  -16 54 53.93  22.5w 14MF70    F51  C~3zub      
2020 07  23.304118 16 13 21.386  -16 54 53.71  22.3w 14MF70    F51  C~3zub      
2020 07  23.316138 16 13 21.358  -16 54 53.88  22.0w 14MF70    F51  C~3zub      
2021 02  16.632574 16 30 42.588  -17 45 02.72  22.2w 14MF70    F51  C~4ZBL      
2021 02  16.637737 16 30 42.586  -17 45 03.16  21.9w 14MF70    F51  C~4ZBL      
2021 02  16.642904 16 30 42.618  -17 45 02.81  21.8w 14MF70    F51  C~4ZBL      
2022 06  24.372765 16 31 59.733  -17 46 48.71  21.7w 14MF70    F52  C~5hWI      
2022 06  24.382279 16 31 59.666  -17 46 48.62  21.8w 14MF70    F52  C~5hWI      
2022 06  24.391808 16 31 59.613  -17 46 48.48  21.5w 14MF70    F52  C~5hWI      
2023 06  17.373597 16 41 14.181  -18 11 05.32  21.6w 14MF70    F52  C~6r7u      
2023 06  17.382515 16 41 14.140  -18 11 05.15  21.6w 14MF70    F52  C~6r7u      
2023 06  17.391421 16 41 14.090  -18 11 05.10  21.7w 14MF70    F52  C~6r7u      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.00       0.00     0.16
     2   1.8813      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.16
     3   1.9441      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.06
     4   1.9441      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.04
     5   1.9442      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.06
     6   1.9442      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.02
     7   1.9769      0.00     0.29       0.00    -0.27
     8   2.0178      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.00
     9   2.9435      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.06
    10   2.9870      0.00     0.09       0.00    -0.10
    11   2.9871      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.09
    12   2.9872      0.00    -0.15       0.00     0.03
    13   2.9872      0.00    -0.07       0.00    -0.04
    14   3.0145      0.00    -0.15       0.00     0.14
    15   3.0146      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.29
    16   3.0146      0.00    -0.07       0.00    -0.18
    17   3.0636      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.15
    18   3.0636      0.00     0.09       0.00    -0.09
    19   3.0637      0.00     0.18       0.00     0.06
    20   3.0637      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.03
    21   3.0637      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.14
    22   3.0637      0.00     0.10       0.00     0.09
    23   3.0637      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.09
    24   3.0965      0.00    -0.27       0.00    -0.30
    25   3.1592      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.04
    26   3.1593      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.03
    27   3.1593      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.04
    28   3.1593      0.00    -0.19       0.00     0.11
    29   3.9073      0.00     0.00       0.00     0.12
    30   3.9074      0.00    -0.09       0.00     0.08
    31   3.9074      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.04
    32   3.9074      0.00    -0.04       0.00     0.10
    33   4.0493      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.01
    34   4.0493      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.19
    35   4.0494      0.00    -0.04       0.00     0.06
    36   4.0494      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.05
    37   4.0520      0.00    -0.05       0.00     0.04
    38   4.0712      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.11
    39   4.7291      0.00    -0.12       0.00    -0.14
    40   4.7973      0.00     0.04       0.00     0.05
    41   4.8028      0.00    -0.07       0.00    -0.07
    42   4.8438      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.16
    43   4.9585      0.00    -0.05       0.00     0.19
    44   5.0842      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.00
    45   5.7749      0.00    -0.07       0.00    -0.10
    46   5.8240      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.14
    47   5.8432      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.17
    48   6.8666      0.00    -0.14       0.00    -0.01
    49   6.8668      0.00     0.13       0.00    -0.04
    50   9.0704      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.12
    51   9.0705      0.00     0.09       0.00     0.15
    52   9.0705      0.00    -0.05       0.00     0.03
    53   9.0705      0.00     0.11       0.00     0.05
    54   9.1525      0.00     0.08       0.00    -0.16
    55   9.1525      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.06
    56   9.1525      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.11
    57   9.7229      0.00     0.11       0.00     0.25
    58   9.7229      0.00    -0.13       0.00    -0.19
    59   9.7229      0.00     0.13       0.00     0.16
    60  11.0719      0.00     0.26       0.00     0.00
    61  11.0719      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.02
    62  11.0720      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.08
    63  12.0521      0.00    -0.28       0.00    -0.06
    64  12.0521      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.03
    65  12.0521      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.00

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

14MF70    quality flag:3

Type:           3:2E      3:2E      3:2E

axisobj        39.175    39.175    39.175
ecceobj         0.245     0.245     0.245
incobj          4.759     4.759     4.759
qmin           29.137    29.137    29.136
qmax           50.211    50.210    50.211
amean          39.455    39.455    39.455
amin           39.109    39.109    39.109
amax           39.878    39.878    39.877
emean           0.225     0.225     0.225
emin            0.197     0.197     0.197
emax            0.260     0.260     0.260
imean           5.974     5.974     5.974
imin            3.187     3.186     3.187
imax            7.752     7.751     7.753
excite_mean     0.249     0.249     0.249
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          2.981     2.981     2.981

libcent 0       179.5     179.5     179.4
libamp  0        26.5      26.5      26.6
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       166.6     166.6     166.6
kozaiamp        180.0     179.9     180.0