Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 10TS195

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 10TS195   
# Created Thu Dec  9 02:11:02 2021
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     81 observations of     81
# Arc:  11.15y
# First observation: 2010/10/07
#  Last observation: 2021/12/01
# Chi-squared of fit:   188.01 DOF:    156 RMS:  0.27
# Min/Max residuals:    -1.62    0.76
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.839144E-05  3.279403E-02 -4.432630E-06 -7.677436E-03  2.971855E-02 -1.875228E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  1.8544E-13 -5.3259E-14 -2.1581E-14  9.4073E-15 -1.2279E-14 -1.0529E-13
 -5.3259E-14  2.1160E-14  9.8287E-15 -4.3818E-15  1.4723E-14  4.8815E-14
 -2.1581E-14  9.8287E-15  1.0588E-13 -1.7494E-14  4.1470E-15  2.6893E-14
  9.4073E-15 -4.3818E-15 -1.7494E-14  3.8119E-15 -2.5096E-15 -1.1842E-14
 -1.2279E-14  1.4723E-14  4.1470E-15 -2.5096E-15  6.8227E-14  2.6440E-14
 -1.0529E-13  4.8815E-14  2.6893E-14 -1.1842E-14  2.6440E-14  1.3226E-13
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -8.339402   33.603669    0.334192   -0.136067   -0.928086  2455476.896766
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2455476.5000  =  2010/10/07
Mean Anomaly:          354.34471 +/-     0.004
Argument of Peri:      219.32337 +/-     0.005
Long of Asc Node:      182.05358 +/-     0.000
Inclination:            15.47727 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.12960269 +/-    0.0000
Semi-Major Axis:     39.69312800 +/-    0.0016
Time of Perihelion: 2456911.4077 +/-       5.4
Perihelion:          34.54879188 +/-    0.0017
Aphelion:            44.83746412 +/-    0.0021
Period (y)              250.0813 +/-      0.01
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           28.69950401 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic Y           18.66600837 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic Z           -4.88048218 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00177158 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00245642 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00069732 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   34.58180331 +/-    0.0002
Geocenter to KBO     33.64904722 +/-    0.0003
# Hcoef:  7.28

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 10TS195. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (10TS195) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2010 10  07.39600  02 16 48.632  +04 51 42.23  22.3G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2010 10  07.41146  02 16 48.556  +04 51 41.75  22.2G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2010 10  07.42824  02 16 48.490  +04 51 41.01  22.4G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2010 10  07.44529  02 16 48.406  +04 51 40.44  22.6G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2010 10  15.35796  02 16 08.132  +04 46 58.56  22.3G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2011 10  18.40078  02 23 37.181  +04 57 55.49  22.7G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2011 10  20.37616  02 23 26.709  +04 56 47.57  21.2G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2012 10  08.44271  02 32 08.066  +05 15 28.29  21.9G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2012 12  07.22995  02 27 00.922  +04 47 59.75  22.1G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2012 12  07.24581  02 27 00.875  +04 47 59.61  23.0G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2012 12  07.27592  02 27 00.733  +04 47 59.18  22.3G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2014 10  02.44589  02 48 05.007  +05 42 17.14  22.2G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2014 10  02.45647  02 48 04.953  +05 42 16.87  22.6G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2014 10  02.45779  02 48 04.948  +05 42 16.69  22.6G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2014 10  02.46836  02 48 04.908  +05 42 16.53  22.7G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2014 10  02.46967  02 48 04.892  +05 42 16.37  22.4G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2014 10  02.48026  02 48 04.865  +05 42 16.23  22.4G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2014 10  02.48157  02 48 04.863  +05 42 16.13  22.7G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2014 11  21.35899  02 43 44.632  +05 16 34.55  23.0G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2014 12  11.29075  02 42 08.608  +05 10 39.87  22.5G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 08  21.56527  02 57 23.132  +06 13 54.02  22.2G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 08  21.57719  02 57 23.130  +06 13 53.73  22.6G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 08  21.58916  02 57 23.123  +06 13 53.65  22.4G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 08  21.60113  02 57 23.148  +06 13 53.45  22.9G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 09  23.48771  02 56 22.835  +05 58 16.30  19.6G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 09  23.49972  02 56 22.776  +05 58 15.96  21.5G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 09  23.51184  02 56 22.735  +05 58 15.44  23.0G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 09  23.52399  02 56 22.704  +05 58 15.36  23.7G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 10  12.43568  02 55 04.083  +05 47 38.88  22.6G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 11  06.43355  02 52 51.994  +05 34 18.09  22.2G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 11  06.44534  02 52 51.933  +05 34 17.78  22.2G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 11  06.45712  02 52 51.868  +05 34 17.25  22.5G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 11  06.46893  02 52 51.787  +05 34 16.72  22.8G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 11  07.43282  02 52 46.445  +05 33 48.94  22.5G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 12  08.31171  02 50 04.402  +05 22 29.78  23.1G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 12  08.31302  02 50 04.402  +05 22 29.49  23.1G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 12  08.32291  02 50 04.364  +05 22 29.62  22.7G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 12  08.32420  02 50 04.347  +05 22 29.74  22.5G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 12  08.33414  02 50 04.289  +05 22 29.33  22.4G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 12  08.33545  02 50 04.287  +05 22 29.33  22.2G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 12  08.34537  02 50 04.240  +05 22 28.93  22.5G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2015 12  08.34668  02 50 04.228  +05 22 29.69  22.8G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 01  04.24815  02 48 29.369  +05 19 54.91  22.2G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 01  04.25162  02 48 29.343  +05 19 55.16  22.7G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 01  04.26099  02 48 29.331  +05 19 54.80  22.5G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 01  04.26448  02 48 29.310  +05 19 53.67  22.9G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 01  04.27379  02 48 29.301  +05 19 54.94  22.7G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 01  04.27730  02 48 29.211  +05 19 53.25  23.0G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 01  04.28662  02 48 29.277  +05 19 54.91  22.5G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 01  04.29014  02 48 29.198  +05 19 53.89  22.9G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 01  14.23011  02 48 11.791  +05 20 54.17  22.6G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 11  05.40599  03 00 37.872  +05 45 04.55  22.6G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 11  05.41910  03 00 37.803  +05 45 04.03  22.3G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 11  05.43219  03 00 37.735  +05 45 03.61  22.8G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2016 11  05.44533  03 00 37.667  +05 45 03.32  22.8G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 09  18.58700  03 11 57.202  +06 20 53.56  22.8G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 09  30.57280  03 11 18.174  +06 14 28.47  21.9G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 10  01.55243  03 11 14.432  +06 13 56.40  22.8G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 10  29.48195  03 09 01.509  +05 58 49.83  22.4G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 10  29.49456  03 09 01.440  +05 58 49.49  22.3G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 10  29.50733  03 09 01.367  +05 58 49.03  22.9G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 10  29.51987  03 09 01.291  +05 58 48.60  22.6G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 11  13.37387  03 07 38.769  +05 51 47.10  22.1G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 11  13.38641  03 07 38.697  +05 51 46.69  22.7G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 11  13.39897  03 07 38.637  +05 51 46.39  22.5G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 11  13.41163  03 07 38.551  +05 51 46.08  22.2G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 11  22.37625  03 06 48.667  +05 48 10.83  22.1G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 11  22.38889  03 06 48.610  +05 48 10.81  22.1G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 12  11.36297  03 05 11.400  +05 42 45.71  22.5G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 12  11.37367  03 05 11.354  +05 42 45.64  22.9G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2017 12  11.38451  03 05 11.294  +05 42 45.44  22.7G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2018 01  05.24153  03 03 40.083  +05 40 58.10  23.0G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2018 01  05.25288  03 03 40.047  +05 40 58.43  22.8G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2018 01  05.26422  03 03 40.026  +05 40 58.18  22.8G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2018 01  05.27557  03 03 39.998  +05 40 58.14  22.7G 10TS195   F51  C~345H      
2021 11  26.315498 03 37 21.157  +06 24 00.24  22.4w 10TS195   F52  C~5H9h      
2021 11  26.327755 03 37 21.065  +06 23 59.91  22.3w 10TS195   F52  C~5H9h      
2021 11  26.339970 03 37 21.010  +06 23 59.79  22.3w 10TS195   F52  C~5H9h      
2021 12  01.26725  03 36 53.512  +06 22 31.06  22.4G 10TS195   G37              
2021 12  01.31689  03 36 53.246  +06 22 30.01        10TS195   G37              
2021 12  01.39249  03 36 52.831  +06 22 28.76        10TS195   G37              

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.21       0.00     0.00
     2   0.0000      0.00    -0.18       0.00     0.08
     3   0.0001      0.00     0.09       0.00    -0.06
     4   0.0001      0.00     0.12       0.00    -0.03
     5   0.0218      0.00     0.15       0.00    -0.31
     6   1.0294      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.17
     7   1.0349      0.00     0.10       0.00     0.37
     8   2.0042      0.00    -0.40       0.00     0.04
     9   2.1679      0.00     0.00       0.00    -0.14
    10   2.1680      0.00     0.31       0.00    -0.06
    11   2.1680      0.00     0.10       0.00    -0.07
    12   3.9864      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.02
    13   3.9865      0.00    -0.09       0.00     0.11
    14   3.9865      0.00    -0.08       0.00    -0.02
    15   3.9865      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.18
    16   3.9865      0.00    -0.14       0.00     0.06
    17   3.9865      0.00     0.15       0.00     0.28
    18   3.9865      0.00     0.20       0.00     0.23
    19   4.1231      0.00    -0.14       0.00     0.07
    20   4.1777      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.11
    21   4.8711      0.00    -0.16       0.00    -0.02
    22   4.8711      0.00    -0.16       0.00    -0.04
    23   4.8712      0.00    -0.23       0.00     0.15
    24   4.8712      0.00     0.19       0.00     0.22
    25   4.9612      0.00     0.14       0.00    -0.08
    26   4.9613      0.00    -0.11       0.00    -0.03
    27   4.9613      0.00    -0.09       0.00    -0.15
    28   4.9613      0.00     0.09       0.00     0.17
    29   5.0131      0.00    -0.24       0.00     0.06
    30   5.0816      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.00
    31   5.0816      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.03
    32   5.0816      0.00     0.11       0.00    -0.16
    33   5.0817      0.00    -0.10       0.00    -0.34
    34   5.0843      0.00     0.20       0.00    -0.28
    35   5.1688      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.36
    36   5.1688      0.00     0.21       0.00     0.09
    37   5.1689      0.00     0.34       0.00     0.36
    38   5.1689      0.00     0.17       0.00     0.50
    39   5.1689      0.00     0.00       0.00     0.23
    40   5.1689      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.24
    41   5.1689      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.02
    42   5.1689      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.76
    43   5.2426      0.00     0.15       0.00     0.12
    44   5.2426      0.00    -0.11       0.00     0.36
    45   5.2426      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.02
    46   5.2426      0.00    -0.15       0.00    -1.16
    47   5.2426      0.00     0.05       0.00     0.08
    48   5.2427      0.00    -1.17       0.00    -1.62
    49   5.2427      0.00     0.15       0.00     0.01
    50   5.2427      0.00    -0.90       0.00    -1.02
    51   5.2699      0.00     0.25       0.00     0.02
    52   6.0808      0.00    -0.06       0.00     0.25
    53   6.0808      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.11
    54   6.0809      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.07
    55   6.0809      0.00     0.22       0.00     0.16
    56   6.9492      0.00    -0.22       0.00    -0.40
    57   6.9820      0.00     0.24       0.00    -0.16
    58   6.9847      0.00     0.17       0.00    -0.01
    59   7.0612      0.00     0.05       0.00     0.04
    60   7.0612      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.08
    61   7.0612      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.02
    62   7.0613      0.00    -0.07       0.00    -0.03
    63   7.1019      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.09
    64   7.1020      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.00
    65   7.1020      0.00     0.10       0.00     0.03
    66   7.1020      0.00    -0.11       0.00     0.05
    67   7.1266      0.00    -0.15       0.00    -0.15
    68   7.1266      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.10
    69   7.1786      0.00     0.15       0.00    -0.03
    70   7.1786      0.00     0.22       0.00     0.03
    71   7.1786      0.00     0.09       0.00    -0.04
    72   7.2467      0.00     0.15       0.00    -0.04
    73   7.2467      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.25
    74   7.2467      0.00     0.19       0.00    -0.04
    75   7.2468      0.00     0.22       0.00    -0.12
    76  11.1374      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.10
    77  11.1374      0.00    -0.26       0.00    -0.00
    78  11.1374      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.11
    79  11.1509      0.00    -0.13       0.00     0.14
    80  11.1510      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.07
    81  11.1513      0.00     0.17       0.00    -0.05

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

10TS195    quality flag:3

Type:           3:2E      3:2E      3:2E

axisobj        39.816    39.815    39.816
ecceobj         0.132     0.132     0.132
incobj         15.464    15.464    15.464
qmin           33.795    33.793    33.796
qmax           45.477    45.471    45.483
amean          39.458    39.458    39.458
amin           39.064    39.064    39.064
amax           39.895    39.895    39.895
emean           0.116     0.116     0.116
emin            0.093     0.093     0.093
emax            0.143     0.143     0.143
imean          15.523    15.523    15.523
imin           14.894    14.894    14.895
imax           16.145    16.145    16.145
excite_mean     0.292     0.292     0.292
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          2.954     2.954     2.954

libcent 0       180.1     180.0     180.1
libamp  0        76.9      76.8      77.1
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       180.3     180.3     180.3
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     180.0