Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 99CM153

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 99CM153   
# Created Fri Mar 29 01:09:52 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     25 observations of     25
# Arc:  16.11y
# First observation: 1999/02/11
#  Last observation: 2015/03/23
# Chi-squared of fit:    84.28 DOF:     44 RMS:  0.32
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.65    0.79
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.745249E-05  2.517550E-02  7.743030E-07  4.823478E-05  2.475956E-02  2.666036E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  3.3639E-13 -1.5260E-13  6.3867E-16 -3.0559E-16  2.0344E-13 -3.7494E-13
 -1.5260E-13  9.2308E-14 -4.0045E-16  1.9291E-16 -1.2432E-13  2.3681E-13
  6.3867E-16 -4.0045E-16  1.0983E-13 -9.4269E-15  7.2802E-16 -1.0615E-15
 -3.0559E-16  1.9291E-16 -9.4269E-15  1.7519E-15 -2.8418E-16  5.0601E-16
  2.0344E-13 -1.2432E-13  7.2802E-16 -2.8418E-16  3.9133E-13 -3.4279E-13
 -3.7494E-13  2.3681E-13 -1.0615E-15  5.0601E-16 -3.4279E-13  6.2068E-13
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    0.168363  148.158082    0.097683    0.002683   -0.988700  2451220.897483
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2451220.5000  =  1999/02/11
Mean Anomaly:           43.08051 +/-     0.022
Argument of Peri:        0.68356 +/-     0.036
Long of Asc Node:       91.92227 +/-     0.025
Inclination:             0.19809 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.13877698 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     45.50579894 +/-    0.0065
Time of Perihelion: 2437802.8366 +/-       7.3
Perihelion:          39.19064163 +/-    0.0069
Aphelion:            51.82095625 +/-    0.0084
Period (y)              306.9788 +/-      0.07
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -35.09056715 +/-    0.0009
Ecliptic Y           21.91201393 +/-    0.0005
Ecliptic Z            0.11871270 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00172081 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00220036 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00000620 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   41.37019084 +/-    0.0008
Geocenter to KBO     40.38840383 +/-    0.0010
# Hcoef:  7.41

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 99CM153. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (99CM153) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

1999 02  11.39674  10 01 32.49   +12 16 19.3   23.3R 99CM153   568  Ca4208      
1999 02  11.47426  10 01 32.12   +12 16 21.5   23.3R 99CM153   568  Ca4208      
1999 03  08.42256  09 59 34.95   +12 26 52.2   23.3R 99CM153   568  Ca4208      
1999 03  08.43773  09 59 34.88   +12 26 52.4   23.3R 99CM153   568  Ca4208      
1999 04  09.38919  09 57 38.38   +12 37 11.8   23.6R 99CM153   568  Ca4507      
1999 04  09.42758  09 57 38.28   +12 37 12.5   23.6R 99CM153   568  Ca4507      
2001 02  25.44983  10 11 22.67   +11 22 44.7   22.3R 99CM153   568  Cd0744      
2001 02  25.49016  10 11 22.46   +11 22 45.9         99CM153   568  Cd0744      
2001 03  24.21485  10 09 26.40   +11 33 28.0   23.2R 99CM153   695  Cd0744      
2001 03  24.32075  10 09 25.99   +11 33 30.1         99CM153   695  Cd0744      
2002 02  04.54321  10 18 26.61   +10 43 10.3   22.8R 99CM153   568  Cf1464      
2002 02  05.53510  10 18 22.20   +10 43 35.0         99CM153   568  Cf1464      
2002 02  05.59774  10 18 21.87   +10 43 37.0         99CM153   568  Cf1464      
2002 12  07.500843 10 26 22.17   +09 57 37.8         99CM153   645  C~1dbz      
2002 12  07.501673 10 26 22.17   +09 57 37.8         99CM153   645  C~1dbz      
2002 12  07.504160 10 26 22.17   +09 57 37.8         99CM153   645  C~1dbz      
2002 12  14.488327 10 26 18.73   +09 57 59.5         99CM153   645  C~1dbz      
2002 12  14.489156 10 26 18.73   +09 57 59.5         99CM153   645  C~1dbz      
2002 12  14.491644 10 26 18.73   +09 57 59.5         99CM153   645  C~1dbz      
2013 03  13.34393  11 12 25.12   +05 19 11.5   23.4R 99CM153   695  C~0uco      
2013 03  14.31830  11 12 20.82   +05 19 38.6         99CM153   695  C~0uco      
2013 03  14.42841  11 12 20.35   +05 19 41.8         99CM153   695  C~0uco      
2015 03  23.17549  11 21 33.81   +04 21 18.6   23.8R 99CM153   695  C~1Q39      
2015 03  23.23942  11 21 33.53   +04 21 20.5         99CM153   695  C~1Q39      
2015 03  23.29869  11 21 33.27   +04 21 22.0         99CM153   695  C~1Q39      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.33       0.00    -0.05
     2   0.0002      0.00    -0.25       0.00     0.16
     3   0.0685      0.00    -0.12       0.00    -0.15
     4   0.0686      0.00    -0.14       0.00    -0.31
     5   0.1560      0.00     0.13       0.00    -0.44
     6   0.1561      0.00     0.17       0.00    -0.26
     7   2.0398      0.00     0.46       0.00     0.64
     8   2.0400      0.00     0.20       0.00     0.79
     9   2.1131      0.00     0.30       0.00     0.52
    10   2.1134      0.00     0.30       0.00     0.42
    11   2.9819      0.00    -0.00       0.00     0.53
    12   2.9846      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.05
    13   2.9848      0.00    -0.55       0.00     0.46
    14   3.8196      0.00    -0.19       0.00    -0.20
    15   3.8196      0.00    -0.19       0.00    -0.20
    16   3.8196      0.00    -0.18       0.00    -0.20
    17   3.8387      0.00     0.10       0.00    -0.63
    18   3.8387      0.00     0.12       0.00    -0.64
    19   3.8387      0.00     0.15       0.00    -0.65
    20  14.0834      0.00    -0.21       0.00    -0.01
    21  14.0860      0.00    -0.34       0.00     0.02
    22  14.0863      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.17
    23  16.1089      0.00     0.18       0.00    -0.08
    24  16.1091      0.00     0.14       0.00     0.08
    25  16.1092      0.00     0.10       0.00    -0.03

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

99CM153    quality flag:3

Type:      CLASSICAL CLASSICAL CLASSICAL

axisobj        45.643    45.643    45.643
ecceobj         0.141     0.141     0.141
incobj          0.199     0.199     0.199
qmin           38.272    38.276    38.263
qmax           53.595    53.589    53.658
amean          45.755    45.755    45.754
amin           45.365    45.366    45.369
amax           46.194    46.199    46.210
emean           0.145     0.145     0.145
emin            0.130     0.130     0.130
emax            0.161     0.161     0.161
imean           1.397     1.397     1.397
imin            0.591     0.591     0.592
imax            2.034     2.033     2.033
excite_mean     0.147     0.147     0.147
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.096     3.096     3.096

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       193.9     193.7     193.6
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     180.0