Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 21LR44

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 21LR44    
# Created Wed May  8 01:18:44 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     18 observations of     18
# Arc:   1.37y
# First observation: 2021/06/09
#  Last observation: 2022/10/23
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000045   0.026146  -0.000006  -0.003267   0.026175   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     0.14 DOF:     30 RMS:  0.02
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.02    0.03
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.576121E-05  2.629922E-02 -1.966121E-06 -3.348892E-03  2.638794E-02 -4.323557E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  4.4596E-13  6.1654E-13  6.2859E-14 -7.5949E-13  1.2315E-12  1.4554E-10
  6.1654E-13  3.2188E-12  3.1887E-13 -3.8645E-12  5.0985E-12  7.3794E-10
  6.2859E-14  3.1887E-13  2.3063E-13 -6.2645E-13  5.5956E-13  9.0945E-11
 -7.5949E-13 -3.8645E-12 -6.2645E-13  5.9976E-12 -6.7841E-12 -1.1038E-09
  1.2315E-12  5.0985E-12  5.5956E-13 -6.7841E-12  8.7010E-12  1.2949E-09
  1.4554E-10  7.3794E-10  9.0945E-11 -1.1038E-09  1.2949E-09  2.1042E-07
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    1.139731  -72.891185    0.491521    0.017379   -0.884354  2459374.942811
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2459370.5000  =  2021/06/05
Mean Anomaly:          287.86231 +/-     1.578
Argument of Peri:      263.52665 +/-     0.146
Long of Asc Node:      115.08295 +/-     0.003
Inclination:             7.32958 +/-     0.003
Eccentricity:         0.17612435 +/-    0.0172
Semi-Major Axis:     39.75081403 +/-    0.2423
Time of Perihelion: 2477713.7886 +/-     364.6
Perihelion:          32.74972761 +/-    0.7111
Aphelion:            46.75190046 +/-    0.7396
Period (y)              250.6266 +/-      2.29
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           10.94501262 +/-    0.0012
Ecliptic Y          -37.20672977 +/-    0.0041
Ecliptic Z            0.75378399 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00248356 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00123190 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00035650 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   38.79049151 +/-    0.0039
Geocenter to KBO     37.89610615 +/-    0.0042
# Hcoef:  8.50

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 21LR44. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (21LR44) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2021 06  09.44201  19 13 33.974  -21 12 49.88  24.9r 21LR44    266  C~6Ip3      
2021 06  09.52881  19 13 33.561  -21 12 50.69  24.9r 21LR44    266  C~6Ip3      
2021 06  09.61426  19 13 33.155  -21 12 51.47  24.9r 21LR44    266  C~6Ip3      
2021 07  05.35106  19 11 19.994  -21 17 19.61  24.7r 21LR44    266  C~6Ip3      
2021 07  05.43951  19 11 19.501  -21 17 20.61  24.7r 21LR44    266  C~6Ip3      
2021 07  05.52517  19 11 19.024  -21 17 21.56  24.7r 21LR44    266  C~6Ip3      
2021 09  06.23258  19 06 40.238  -21 27 52.99  25.6r 21LR44    266  C~6Ip3      
2021 09  06.31281  19 06 40.045  -21 27 53.56  25.6r 21LR44    266  C~6Ip3      
2021 09  06.39352  19 06 39.853  -21 27 54.11  25.6r 21LR44    266  C~6Ip3      
2022 10  20.21696  19 13 02.564  -21 31 06.26  23.7V 21LR44    266  C~7um8      
2022 10  20.26058  19 13 02.659  -21 31 06.21  23.7V 21LR44    266  C~7um8      
2022 10  20.29842  19 13 02.742  -21 31 06.17  23.7V 21LR44    266  C~7um8      
2022 10  21.20926  19 13 04.853  -21 31 05.44  23.8V 21LR44    266  C~7um8      
2022 10  21.25420  19 13 04.956  -21 31 05.39  23.8V 21LR44    266  C~7um8      
2022 10  21.29846  19 13 05.057  -21 31 05.34  23.8V 21LR44    266  C~7um8      
2022 10  23.20599  19 13 09.776  -21 31 03.19  23.9V 21LR44    266  C~7um8      
2022 10  23.25093  19 13 09.889  -21 31 03.12  23.9V 21LR44    266  C~7um8      
2022 10  23.29489  19 13 09.999  -21 31 03.05  23.9V 21LR44    266  C~7um8      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.01
     2   0.0002     -5.83    -0.00      -0.08    -0.01
     3   0.0005    -11.56     0.01      -0.14    -0.01
     4   0.0709  -1892.07    -0.00     -35.82    -0.00
     5   0.0712  -1899.04    -0.01     -35.97     0.00
     6   0.0714  -1905.77    -0.00     -36.10    -0.00
     7   0.2431  -5848.72    -0.00    -202.35     0.01
     8   0.2433  -5851.47    -0.00    -202.61     0.01
     9   0.2435  -5854.19     0.01    -202.84     0.01
    10   1.3628   -572.50    -0.01   -1032.88    -0.02
    11   1.3630   -571.18    -0.01   -1033.00    -0.02
    12   1.3631   -570.02    -0.00   -1033.10    -0.02
    13   1.3656   -540.71     0.02   -1036.05    -0.01
    14   1.3657   -539.27     0.03   -1036.18    -0.01
    15   1.3658   -537.87     0.02   -1036.31    -0.02
    16   1.3710   -472.26    -0.02   -1042.39     0.03
    17   1.3711   -470.69    -0.01   -1042.52     0.03
    18   1.3713   -469.16    -0.02   -1042.64     0.03

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

21LR44    quality flag:2

Type:           3:2E  SCATNEAR      3:2E

axisobj        39.323    39.781    39.020
ecceobj         0.178     0.219     0.137
incobj          7.350     7.341     7.359
qmin           31.950    30.295    33.021
qmax           47.268    62.401    46.620
amean          39.456    41.353    39.459
amin           39.114    32.549    38.904
amax           39.862    47.526    40.063
emean           0.172     0.216     0.137
emin            0.154     0.001     0.109
emax            0.188     0.318     0.166
imean           5.515     5.095     6.789
imin            5.043     2.516     4.143
imax            6.149     7.113     9.458
excite_mean     0.197     0.238     0.182
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.008     3.003     3.014

libcent 0       180.5    -180.0     180.7
libamp  0        34.5    -180.0     147.1
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       181.3     188.7     180.5
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     180.0