Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 21CK46

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 21CK46    
# Created Wed May  8 01:18:39 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     21 observations of     21
# Arc:  10.93y
# First observation: 2013/03/10
#  Last observation: 2024/02/11
# Chi-squared of fit:     4.66 DOF:     36 RMS:  0.08
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.20    0.23
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.521942E-05  2.102484E-02  5.171673E-06  7.787544E-03  2.229009E-02 -9.032115E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  4.4483E-13 -1.2979E-13  6.6217E-14 -3.3740E-14  9.8708E-16 -3.4494E-13
 -1.2979E-13  6.1974E-14 -3.8323E-14  1.9184E-14 -3.9240E-14  1.9730E-13
  6.6217E-14 -3.8323E-14  2.9468E-13 -4.7432E-14  2.1075E-14 -1.3513E-13
 -3.3740E-14  1.9184E-14 -4.7432E-14  1.2282E-14 -7.8434E-15  6.8071E-14
  9.8708E-16 -3.9240E-14  2.1075E-14 -7.8434E-15  3.2612E-13 -9.0108E-14
 -3.4494E-13  1.9730E-13 -1.3513E-13  6.8071E-14 -9.0108E-14  6.9860E-13
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
  -10.011444  104.050802   -0.904722   -0.071315   -0.404490  2456361.589553
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456362.5000  =  2013/03/11
Mean Anomaly:          335.78165 +/-     0.007
Argument of Peri:       41.13304 +/-     0.010
Long of Asc Node:      130.09632 +/-     0.000
Inclination:            22.56535 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.48425728 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     69.97069897 +/-    0.0131
Time of Perihelion: 2470744.3513 +/-      56.2
Perihelion:          36.08687871 +/-    0.0083
Aphelion:           103.85451923 +/-    0.0200
Period (y)              585.3054 +/-      0.16
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -11.70326049 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic Y           43.03922189 +/-    0.0011
Ecliptic Z           -7.79901037 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00228657 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00152482 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00113497 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   45.27902543 +/-    0.0010
Geocenter to KBO     44.86331274 +/-    0.0011
# Hcoef:  5.82

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 21CK46. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (21CK46) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2013 03  10.088775 06 56 45.32   +12 44 18.4         21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2013 03  10.090841 06 56 45.32   +12 44 18.4         21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2015 03  09.117927 07 07 13.48   +13 22 42.3         21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2015 03  09.119991 07 07 13.47   +13 22 42.3         21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2015 03  09.122049 07 07 13.46   +13 22 42.3         21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2016 03  05.116410 07 12 42.35   +13 41 00.7         21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2016 03  05.118477 07 12 42.34   +13 41 00.7         21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2019 01  11.188222 07 33 07.06   +14 21 28.3         21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2019 01  13.181779 07 32 57.36   +14 22 00.9         21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2019 02  06.191839 07 31 05.24   +14 29 19.3         21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2019 12  09.330556 07 41 28.01   +14 32 46.5   21.6i 21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2019 12  09.332280 07 41 28.00   +14 32 46.5   21.5i 21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2019 12  31.257759 07 39 54.21   +14 37 01.2   22.2V 21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2020 03  09.131485 07 35 07.90   +14 58 29.8   21.8i 21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2021 02  15.28351  07 42 15.166  +15 09 47.31  22.8R 21CK46    568  C~6VLf      
2021 02  16.29780  07 42 11.148  +15 10 07.94  22.7R 21CK46    568  C~6VLf      
2021 03  01.083404 07 41 26.11   +15 14 26.6   21.7i 21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2021 03  05.079577 07 41 14.43   +15 15 44.8   21.6i 21CK46    W84  C~6VLf      
2024 02  11.474610 08 01 14.812  +16 01 54.50  21.9w 21CK46    F52  C~7n9Z      
2024 02  11.487631 08 01 14.745  +16 01 55.06  21.9w 21CK46    F52  C~7n9Z      
2024 02  11.500642 08 01 14.706  +16 01 55.49  22.1w 21CK46    F52  C~7n9Z      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.06       0.00     0.08
     2   0.0000      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.04
     3   1.9960      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.03
     4   1.9960      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.01
     5   1.9960      0.00    -0.07       0.00    -0.05
     6   2.9871      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.01
     7   2.9871      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.03
     8   5.8401      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.02
     9   5.8456      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.02
    10   5.9113      0.00    -0.10       0.00    -0.03
    11   6.7495      0.00     0.07       0.00    -0.02
    12   6.7495      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.03
    13   6.8095      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.11
    14   6.9981      0.00     0.10       0.00     0.12
    15   7.9376      0.00    -0.04       0.00     0.02
    16   7.9403      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.14
    17   7.9753      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.06
    18   7.9863      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.00
    19  10.9251      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.20
    20  10.9251      0.00    -0.15       0.00     0.08
    21  10.9252      0.00     0.15       0.00     0.23

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

21CK46    quality flag:3

Type:       7:2EEEEE  7:2EEEEE  7:2EEEEE

axisobj        69.692    69.691    69.693
ecceobj         0.481     0.481     0.481
incobj         22.599    22.599    22.599
qmin           35.431    35.431    35.431
qmax          105.164   105.161   105.167
amean          69.408    69.408    69.408
amin           68.531    68.535    68.527
amax           70.667    70.669    70.664
emean           0.451     0.451     0.451
emin            0.403     0.403     0.403
emax            0.490     0.490     0.490
imean          23.547    23.547    23.548
imin           21.020    21.020    21.020
imax           26.430    26.428    26.431
excite_mean     0.603     0.603     0.603
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          2.916     2.916     2.916

libcent 0       174.1     174.6     174.0
libamp  0        59.6      59.1      59.8
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean        41.7      41.7      41.7
kozaiamp          4.3       4.3       4.3