Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 19AU138

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 19AU138   
# Created Wed May  8 01:18:16 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     15 observations of     15
# Arc: 119.77d
# First observation: 2018/11/15
#  Last observation: 2019/03/15
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000002   0.035808   0.000015  -0.009334   0.032917   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     5.76 DOF:     24 RMS:  0.11
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.22    0.21
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.610156E-05  3.441644E-02 -4.217608E-06 -9.068399E-03  3.185539E-02  1.597284E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  3.6427E-13 -3.2360E-12 -2.2220E-16 -4.3086E-13 -1.9385E-13  3.5607E-11
 -3.2360E-12  2.6238E-10  3.8179E-12  1.3761E-12  1.0189E-10  5.9080E-09
 -2.2220E-16  3.8179E-12  3.5865E-13 -1.2154E-12  1.8857E-12  1.3466E-10
 -4.3086E-13  1.3761E-12 -1.2154E-12  8.2485E-12 -4.2010E-12 -5.6640E-10
 -1.9385E-13  1.0189E-10  1.8857E-12 -4.2010E-12  4.8196E-11  3.3254E-09
  3.5607E-11  5.9080E-09  1.3466E-10 -5.6640E-10  3.3254E-09  2.5969E-07
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
  -10.621382  146.746029    0.992784    0.011668    0.061646  2458438.043951
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2458430.5000  =  2018/11/08
Mean Anomaly:          123.81765 +/-    34.867
Argument of Peri:       90.50560 +/-    34.802
Long of Asc Node:      290.57912 +/-     0.023
Inclination:            18.42160 +/-     0.010
Eccentricity:         0.01467679 +/-    0.0111
Semi-Major Axis:     31.08271644 +/-    0.0331
Time of Perihelion: 2436660.5747 +/-    6130.2
Perihelion:          30.62652207 +/-    0.3454
Aphelion:            31.53891082 +/-    0.3455
Period (y)              173.2952 +/-      0.28
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -25.20461147 +/-    0.0056
Ecliptic Y           17.70688133 +/-    0.0037
Ecliptic Z           -5.78625969 +/-    0.0013
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00160704 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00248070 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00079154 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   31.34145636 +/-    0.0050
Geocenter to KBO     31.39186210 +/-    0.0068
# Hcoef:  7.73

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 19AU138. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (19AU138) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2018 11  15.54315  09 41 26.99   +02 35 42.0   22.7z 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2018 11  15.55808  09 41 27.00   +02 35 41.6   22.5z 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2018 11  15.59379  09 41 27.01   +02 35 40.4   22.6z 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2018 11  15.61997  09 41 27.05   +02 35 39.8   22.5z 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 01  06.45953  09 39 39.78   +02 22 35.8   23.3g 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 01  06.56568  09 39 39.25   +02 22 36.3   23.3g 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 01  06.58698  09 39 39.15   +02 22 36.7   23.3g 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 01  06.61913  09 39 38.99   +02 22 36.7   23.5g 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  08.26245  09 33 39.81   +02 44 14.0   22.8r 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  08.29600  09 33 39.63   +02 44 15.0   22.6r 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  08.32553  09 33 39.46   +02 44 16.2   22.6r 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  08.33611  09 33 39.40   +02 44 16.4   22.7r 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  15.28996  09 33 02.21   +02 47 58.4   22.2y 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  15.31422  09 33 02.08   +02 47 59.4   22.3y 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      
2019 03  15.31689  09 33 02.07   +02 47 59.4   22.2y 19AU138   T09  C~7n6l      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.20       0.00    -0.06
     2   0.0000      0.27     0.11      -0.33     0.01
     3   0.0001      0.82    -0.22      -1.41    -0.12
     4   0.0002      1.58    -0.09      -1.78     0.21
     5   0.1421  -1253.41     0.11   -1276.13    -0.15
     6   0.1424  -1261.07    -0.03   -1278.30    -0.14
     7   0.1425  -1262.61    -0.06   -1278.42     0.18
     8   0.1426  -1264.88    -0.04   -1279.22     0.04
     9   0.3086  -6775.19    -0.05   -1843.54    -0.04
    10   0.3087  -6778.06     0.12   -1843.49    -0.05
    11   0.3088  -6780.87     0.00   -1843.20     0.18
    12   0.3088  -6781.78     0.05   -1843.31     0.05
    13   0.3278  -7381.79     0.02   -1818.60    -0.14
    14   0.3279  -7383.97    -0.11   -1818.30     0.05
    15   0.3279  -7384.11    -0.02   -1818.35    -0.01

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

19AU138    quality flag:2

Type:        REMOVED  CENTAURR  CENTAURR

axisobj        31.193    31.631    30.839
ecceobj         0.020     0.051     0.029
incobj         18.374    18.342    18.407
qmin           30.574    29.736    29.640
qmax           31.812    33.235    31.789
amean          31.166    31.311    30.790
amin           31.139    30.972    30.635
amax           31.193    31.631    30.897
emean           0.018     0.043     0.030
emin            0.017     0.032     0.029
emax            0.020     0.051     0.032
imean          19.954    19.961    19.988
imin           19.951    19.919    19.969
imax           19.957    20.006    20.012
excite_mean     0.342     0.344     0.343
fracstop        0.000     0.000     0.000
cjmean          2.877     2.876     2.877

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       101.9     132.5       6.7
kozaiamp          1.3      10.7       2.7