Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 16AE193

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 16AE193   
# Created Sun Oct 22 01:38:39 2017
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting  101 observations of  101
# Arc:  15.42y
# First observation: 2001/08/28
#  Last observation: 2017/01/27
# Chi-squared of fit:   303.93 DOF:  196 RMS:  0.31
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.87    1.00
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  2.367841E-05  7.407551E-02 -1.132541E-06 -3.151676E-03  4.915192E-02 -2.433963E-02
# Covariance matrix:
  1.0304E-12 -1.2978E-12  1.3488E-14  1.0416E-14 -4.5628E-13 -1.8329E-13
 -1.2978E-12  3.4939E-12 -4.0219E-14 -2.9582E-14  1.5053E-12  5.2033E-13
  1.3488E-14 -4.0219E-14  6.2415E-13 -1.4698E-13 -2.4015E-14 -6.1579E-15
  1.0416E-14 -2.9582E-14 -1.4698E-13  1.9026E-13 -1.2214E-14 -4.6979E-15
 -4.5628E-13  1.5053E-12 -2.4015E-14 -1.2214E-14  1.4336E-12  2.1392E-13
 -1.8329E-13  5.2033E-13 -6.1579E-15 -4.6979E-15  2.1392E-13  8.2661E-14
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   10.278874   36.827495    0.892344    0.084303   -0.465613  2452149.870053
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2452150.5000  =  2001/08/29
Mean Anomaly:          334.27499 +/-     0.000
Argument of Peri:      170.71386 +/-     0.001
Long of Asc Node:      292.47833 +/-     0.001
Inclination:            10.24907 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.47194641 +/-    0.0000
Semi-Major Axis:     31.33268644 +/-    0.0000
Time of Perihelion: 2456728.2061 +/-       0.0
Perihelion:          16.54533771 +/-    0.0000
Aphelion:            46.12003518 +/-    0.0000
Period (y)              175.3899 +/-      0.00
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           16.93971010 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic Y           11.57456465 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic Z            3.63036830 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00352461 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00252315 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00041445 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   20.83533953 +/-    0.0000
Geocenter to KBO     20.34526929 +/-    0.0000
# Hcoef:  8.08

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 16AE193. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (16AE193) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2001 08  28.36931  02 03 20.22   +23 28 23.3   20.2R 16AE193   644  C~1l5p      
2001 10  13.44504  01 58 07.61   +23 15 45.5   19.3R 16AE193   644  C~1l5p      
2001 10  20.51772  01 57 02.53   +23 10 42.2   20.2R 16AE193   644  C~1l5p      
2002 11  14.24348  02 11 43.78   +24 11 40.6   20.4R 16AE193   644  C~1l5p      
2002 11  24.10461  02 10 17.61   +24 02 21.1   20.2R 16AE193   644  C~1l5p      
2003 11  14.26094  02 31 38.53   +25 29 58.6   21.1R 16AE193   644  C~1l5p      
2003 11  14.32406  02 31 37.91   +25 29 54.9   20.2R 16AE193   644  C~1l5p      
2003 11  14.39986  02 31 37.08   +25 29 51.0   20.0R 16AE193   644  C~1l5p      
2004 12  01.33947  02 50 09.28   +26 25 49.1   21.4R 16AE193   644  C~1l5p      
2004 12  01.36046  02 50 09.04   +26 25 47.7   21.0R 16AE193   644  C~1l5p      
2004 12  01.38902  02 50 08.80   +26 25 46.2   21.5R 16AE193   644  C~1l5p      
2006 10  26.80914  03 44 04.83   +28 42 17.9   21.9R 16AE193   D35  C~1l5p      
2006 10  26.82525  03 44 04.71   +28 42 17.0   21.3R 16AE193   D35  C~1l5p      
2006 11  20.32823  03 39 42.30   +28 29 21.3   20.4V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2006 11  20.33719  03 39 42.19   +28 29 21.4   20.4V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2006 11  20.34623  03 39 42.08   +28 29 20.9   20.1V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2006 11  20.35514  03 39 41.97   +28 29 20.5   20.2V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2006 11  21.31423  03 39 31.21   +28 28 41.5   20.2V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2006 11  21.32479  03 39 31.10   +28 28 41.2   20.3V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2006 11  21.47751  03 39 29.37   +28 28 34.6   20.4V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2006 11  21.48781  03 39 29.24   +28 28 34.1   20.5V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2007 11  19.23959  04 06 12.94   +29 05 03.1         16AE193   691  C~1l5p      
2007 11  19.25725  04 06 12.74   +29 05 02.3         16AE193   691  C~1l5p      
2007 11  19.27235  04 06 12.56   +29 05 01.6         16AE193   691  C~1l5p      
2009 12  18.30685  04 56 51.64   +29 03 30.0   19.7V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2009 12  18.31512  04 56 51.54   +29 03 29.8   19.6V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2009 12  18.32345  04 56 51.43   +29 03 29.5   19.7V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2009 12  18.33182  04 56 51.32   +29 03 29.2   19.8V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2013 09  14.60681  06 59 08.808  +24 54 06.00  20.8w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2013 09  14.61242  06 59 08.862  +24 54 05.92  20.7w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2013 09  14.61804  06 59 08.913  +24 54 05.93  20.7w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2013 09  14.62363  06 59 08.972  +24 54 05.80  20.6w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2013 12  04.42701  06 58 50.296  +24 48 28.81  20.5w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2013 12  04.44100  06 58 50.157  +24 48 28.86  20.5w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2013 12  04.45500  06 58 50.015  +24 48 28.91  20.5w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2013 12  04.46900  06 58 49.879  +24 48 29.07  20.6w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2014 11  18.45014  07 29 11.182  +22 44 46.84  20.6w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2014 11  18.46342  07 29 11.115  +22 44 47.06  20.9w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2014 11  18.47668  07 29 11.038  +22 44 46.79  20.7w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2014 11  18.48994  07 29 10.984  +22 44 46.79  20.7w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2014 11  26.44802  07 28 24.575  +22 45 10.20  20.6w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2014 11  26.46068  07 28 24.488  +22 45 10.30  20.5w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2014 11  26.47333  07 28 24.402  +22 45 10.29  20.5w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2014 11  26.48598  07 28 24.312  +22 45 10.38  20.5w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2015 01  13.33967  07 20 12.453  +22 52 46.88  20.2w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2015 01  13.35324  07 20 12.288  +22 52 47.03  20.2w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2015 01  13.36676  07 20 12.123  +22 52 47.19  20.2w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2015 01  13.38029  07 20 11.961  +22 52 47.34  20.2w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2015 01  16.33421  07 19 36.941  +22 53 17.03  20.3w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2015 01  16.34641  07 19 36.794  +22 53 17.18  20.2w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2015 01  16.35861  07 19 36.645  +22 53 17.24  20.2w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2015 01  16.37085  07 19 36.498  +22 53 17.39  20.2w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2015 02  10.20017  07 15 09.89   +22 56 03.7   20.2V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2015 02  10.21334  07 15 09.78   +22 56 03.8   20.1V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2015 02  10.22183  07 15 09.67   +22 56 03.8   20.1V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2015 02  10.23103  07 15 09.59   +22 56 03.8   20.1V 16AE193   G96  C~1l5p      
2015 02  20.23470  07 13 47.446  +22 56 14.67  20.7w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2015 02  20.24784  07 13 47.336  +22 56 14.67  20.7w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2015 02  20.26100  07 13 47.240  +22 56 14.60  20.6w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2015 02  20.27415  07 13 47.140  +22 56 14.44  20.6w 16AE193   F51  C~1vZo      
2016 01  14.44566  07 47 56.50   +20 36 18.3   21.1V 16AE193   691  C~1jB0      
2016 01  14.46459  07 47 56.27   +20 36 18.3   20.4V 16AE193   691  C~1jB0      
2016 01  14.48353  07 47 56.05   +20 36 18.6   20.4V 16AE193   691  C~1jB0      
2016 01  14.93090  07 47 50.92   +20 36 26.7   20.0R 16AE193   J95  C~1jB0      
2016 01  14.96044  07 47 50.59   +20 36 26.9   19.8R 16AE193   J95  C~1jB0      
2016 01  15.23540  07 47 47.38   +20 36 31.8   21.0V 16AE193   I52  C~1jB0      
2016 01  15.26041  07 47 47.06   +20 36 32.5   20.2V 16AE193   I52  C~1jB0      
2016 01  15.28493  07 47 46.74   +20 36 32.5   20.5V 16AE193   I52  C~1jB0      
2016 01  15.28742  07 47 46.76   +20 36 33.6   19.4R 16AE193   291  C~1jB0      
2016 01  15.31011  07 47 46.47   +20 36 33.7   20.0V 16AE193   I52  C~1jB0      
2016 01  15.34287  07 47 46.03   +20 36 34.0   19.0R 16AE193   291  C~1jB0      
2016 01  18.02033  07 47 14.76   +20 37 20.7   19.3R 16AE193   106  C~1jB0      
2016 01  18.03902  07 47 14.57   +20 37 21.5   19.3R 16AE193   106  C~1jB0      
2016 01  18.05787  07 47 14.37   +20 37 21.4   19.3R 16AE193   106  C~1jB0      
2016 01  18.33891  07 47 11.13   +20 37 27.4   20.6V 16AE193   I52  C~1jB0      
2016 01  18.36379  07 47 10.81   +20 37 27.6   20.7V 16AE193   I52  C~1jB0      
2016 01  18.44249  07 47 09.83   +20 37 28.5   20.9V 16AE193   I52  C~1jB0      
2016 01  20.07552  07 46 50.91   +20 37 57.5         16AE193   J95  C~1jB0      
2016 01  20.09844  07 46 50.65   +20 37 58.0   20.1R 16AE193   J95  C~1jB0      
2016 01  27.96187  07 45 20.47   +20 40 13.4         16AE193   J95  C~1l5p      
2016 01  28.09586  07 45 18.90   +20 40 16.0   20.1R 16AE193   J95  C~1l5p      
2016 02  05.82111  07 43 43.96   +20 42 33.7   20.4R 16AE193   461  C~1l5p      
2016 02  05.83091  07 43 43.84   +20 42 34.2   19.5R 16AE193   461  C~1l5p      
2016 02  05.84073  07 43 43.73   +20 42 34.1   19.9R 16AE193   461  C~1l5p      
2016 02  10.79639  07 42 53.44   +20 43 42.6         16AE193   J95  C~1lxz      
2016 02  10.81413  07 42 53.25   +20 43 43.3   20.5R 16AE193   J95  C~1lxz      
2016 02  10.83041  07 42 53.13   +20 43 43.0   20.4R 16AE193   J95  C~1lxz      
2016 02  10.86622  07 42 52.72   +20 43 43.9   20.3R 16AE193   J95  C~1lxz      
2016 12  09.25736  08 20 07.45   +17 56 16.9   19.6R 16AE193   291  C~23MW      
2016 12  09.30215  08 20 07.17   +17 56 17.5   19.8R 16AE193   291  C~23MW      
2016 12  09.34046  08 20 06.90   +17 56 17.3   20.0R 16AE193   291  C~23MW      
2016 12  20.43511  08 18 41.21   +17 58 07.7   20.2R 16AE193   691  C~24DM      
2016 12  20.44585  08 18 41.14   +17 58 07.8   20.3R 16AE193   691  C~24DM      
2016 12  20.45661  08 18 41.02   +17 58 07.9   20.6R 16AE193   691  C~24DM      
2017 01  22.82544  08 12 50.80   +18 09 28.3         16AE193   621  C~263o      
2017 01  22.86088  08 12 50.39   +18 09 29.3         16AE193   621  C~263o      
2017 01  22.90930  08 12 49.82   +18 09 30.4         16AE193   621  C~263o      
2017 01  22.94474  08 12 49.41   +18 09 31.0   20.7V 16AE193   621  C~263o      
2017 01  27.37021  08 11 59.31   +18 11 19.1   20.1R 16AE193   691  C~263o      
2017 01  27.38711  08 11 59.15   +18 11 20.3   20.0R 16AE193   691  C~263o      
2017 01  27.40398  08 11 58.93   +18 11 20.4   20.3R 16AE193   691  C~263o      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

  1   0.0000      0.00    -0.48       0.00     1.00
  2   0.1261      0.00    -0.17       0.00     0.00
  3   0.1455      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.22
  4   1.2125      0.00     0.09       0.00    -0.29
  5   1.2395      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.02
  6   2.2119      0.00     0.42       0.00     0.96
  7   2.2121      0.00     0.56       0.00     0.60
  8   2.2123      0.00    -0.58       0.00     0.75
  9   3.2607      0.00     0.73       0.00     0.30
 10   3.2608      0.00     0.05       0.00     0.07
 11   3.2608      0.00     0.42       0.00     0.17
 12   5.1621      0.00    -0.57       0.00     0.62
 13   5.1621      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.08
 14   5.2292      0.00     0.54       0.00    -0.74
 15   5.2292      0.00     0.42       0.00    -0.27
 16   5.2292      0.00     0.32       0.00    -0.40
 17   5.2293      0.00     0.19       0.00    -0.43
 18   5.2319      0.00    -0.14       0.00    -0.17
 19   5.2319      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.03
 20   5.2323      0.00     0.07       0.00    -0.20
 21   5.2324      0.00    -0.14       0.00    -0.26
 22   6.2255      0.00     0.00       0.00     0.29
 23   6.2256      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.05
 24   6.2256      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.17
 25   8.3065      0.00     0.19       0.00    -0.02
 26   8.3065      0.00     0.18       0.00     0.04
 27   8.3065      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.00
 28   8.3065      0.00    -0.11       0.00    -0.04
 29  12.0472      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.04
 30  12.0472      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.03
 31  12.0472      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.08
 32  12.0472      0.00     0.05       0.00     0.04
 33  12.2685      0.00     0.27       0.00    -0.02
 34  12.2685      0.00     0.26       0.00    -0.06
 35  12.2685      0.00     0.20       0.00    -0.10
 36  12.2686      0.00     0.23       0.00    -0.02
 37  13.2240      0.00     0.15       0.00     0.05
 38  13.2241      0.00     0.16       0.00     0.25
 39  13.2241      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.05
 40  13.2241      0.00     0.21       0.00    -0.08
 41  13.2459      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.04
 42  13.2460      0.00     0.09       0.00     0.07
 43  13.2460      0.00     0.11       0.00    -0.01
 44  13.2460      0.00     0.08       0.00     0.02
 45  13.3771      0.00     0.12       0.00    -0.04
 46  13.3771      0.00     0.11       0.00    -0.04
 47  13.3771      0.00     0.10       0.00    -0.02
 48  13.3772      0.00     0.13       0.00    -0.02
 49  13.3853      0.00     0.23       0.00     0.06
 50  13.3853      0.00     0.23       0.00     0.08
 51  13.3853      0.00     0.19       0.00     0.02
 52  13.3854      0.00     0.20       0.00     0.04
 53  13.4533      0.00     0.13       0.00    -0.05
 54  13.4534      0.00     0.32       0.00     0.01
 55  13.4534      0.00    -0.14       0.00    -0.02
 56  13.4534      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.04
 57  13.4808      0.00     0.29       0.00     0.06
 58  13.4808      0.00     0.11       0.00     0.07
 59  13.4809      0.00     0.14       0.00     0.00
 60  13.4809      0.00     0.11       0.00    -0.15
 61  14.3794      0.00    -0.23       0.00     0.40
 62  14.3795      0.00    -0.33       0.00     0.07
 63  14.3795      0.00    -0.28       0.00     0.05
 64  14.3807      0.00     0.46       0.00     0.29
 65  14.3808      0.00     0.75       0.00    -0.05
 66  14.3816      0.00     0.61       0.00    -0.21
 67  14.3816      0.00     0.26       0.00     0.03
 68  14.3817      0.00    -0.17       0.00    -0.41
 69  14.3817      0.00     0.56       0.00     0.64
 70  14.3818      0.00     0.27       0.00     0.34
 71  14.3819      0.00    -0.50       0.00     0.05
 72  14.3892      0.00    -0.87       0.00    -0.78
 73  14.3892      0.00    -0.41       0.00    -0.30
 74  14.3893      0.00    -0.07       0.00    -0.73
 75  14.3901      0.00     0.33       0.00     0.14
 76  14.3901      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.10
 77  14.3903      0.00    -0.79       0.00    -0.55
 78  14.3948      0.00     0.23       0.00    -0.31
 79  14.3949      0.00     0.37       0.00    -0.20
 80  14.4164      0.00    -0.10       0.00    -0.30
 81  14.4168      0.00    -0.74       0.00     0.10
 82  14.4407      0.00     0.23       0.00     0.22
 83  14.4407      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.57
 84  14.4407      0.00    -0.09       0.00     0.32
 85  14.4543      0.00     0.49       0.00    -0.33
 86  14.4543      0.00     0.29       0.00     0.13
 87  14.4544      0.00     0.92       0.00    -0.40
 88  14.4545      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.02
 89  15.2824      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.14
 90  15.2825      0.00     0.43       0.00     0.43
 91  15.2826      0.00     0.31       0.00    -0.04
 92  15.3130      0.00     0.15       0.00     0.18
 93  15.3130      0.00     0.54       0.00     0.13
 94  15.3130      0.00     0.17       0.00     0.09
 95  15.4044      0.00     0.26       0.00     0.09
 96  15.4045      0.00     0.20       0.00     0.21
 97  15.4046      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.11
 98  15.4047      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.17
 99  15.4168      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.47
100  15.4169      0.00     0.53       0.00     0.32
101  15.4169      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.02

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

16AE193    quality flag:3

Type:       CENTAURR  CENTAURR  CENTAURR

axisobj        31.356    31.356    31.357
ecceobj         0.471     0.471     0.471
incobj         10.251    10.251    10.251
qmin           16.347    16.350    16.345
qmax           46.572    46.297    46.129
amean          30.795    31.109    31.043
amin           28.993    30.783    30.756
amax           31.880    31.658    31.672
emean           0.453     0.462     0.459
emin            0.417     0.453     0.438
emax            0.472     0.472     0.471
imean          13.355    12.464    12.774
imin           11.632    11.620    11.626
imax           15.848    13.954    15.326
excite_mean     0.509     0.510     0.510
fracstop        0.016     0.011     0.012
cjmean          2.734     2.729     2.730

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       215.0     203.8     206.8
kozaiamp         42.0      29.9      31.7