Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15VJ164

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15VJ164   
# Created Fri Mar 29 01:18:22 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     48 observations of     48
# Arc:   8.11y
# First observation: 2014/11/17
#  Last observation: 2022/12/26
# Chi-squared of fit:    18.43 DOF:     90 RMS:  0.11
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.36    0.31
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.244595E-05  1.936600E-02  1.691738E-06  2.127112E-03  2.270709E-02  2.835080E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  2.4255E-13 -2.0430E-13  2.1723E-14 -2.1946E-14 -6.5474E-14 -1.2148E-12
 -2.0430E-13  2.0193E-13 -2.2223E-14  2.2445E-14  6.8137E-14  1.2424E-12
  2.1723E-14 -2.2223E-14  6.2094E-14 -1.9610E-14 -7.3722E-15 -1.4442E-13
 -2.1946E-14  2.2445E-14 -1.9610E-14  1.2880E-14  7.0186E-15  1.4618E-13
 -6.5474E-14  6.8137E-14 -7.3722E-15  7.0186E-15  9.9745E-14  3.8607E-13
 -1.2148E-12  1.2424E-12 -1.4442E-13  1.4618E-13  3.8607E-13  8.0928E-12
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -1.075792   47.654987   -0.119501   -0.018283   -0.982044  2456978.906378
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456978.5000  =  2014/11/17
Mean Anomaly:          127.02487 +/-     0.037
Argument of Peri:      207.57645 +/-     0.032
Long of Asc Node:       57.30026 +/-     0.000
Inclination:             6.35742 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.20227535 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     39.37018415 +/-    0.0023
Time of Perihelion: 2425141.2276 +/-       9.6
Perihelion:          31.40656648 +/-    0.0030
Aphelion:            47.33380181 +/-    0.0037
Period (y)              247.0355 +/-      0.02
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           30.22944561 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Y           33.35155979 +/-    0.0005
Ecliptic Z           -0.82678557 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00149662 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00182404 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00025011 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   45.02023649 +/-    0.0004
Geocenter to KBO     44.03905863 +/-    0.0006
# Hcoef:  7.63

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15VJ164. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15VJ164) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2014 11  17.40560  03 02 01.293  +16 03 52.43  24.3r 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2014 11  17.51968  03 02 00.726  +16 03 50.35  23.9r 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2014 11  23.41007  03 01 33.456  +16 02 05.13  24.4r 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 08  11.60566  03 10 51.411  +16 46 54.12  24.2w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 08  11.62323  03 10 51.423  +16 46 54.32  24.5w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 09  06.63576  03 10 42.384  +16 46 15.41  24.6w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 09  07.53281  03 10 41.050  +16 46 10.26  24.5w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 09  12.52956  03 10 32.299  +16 45 35.36  24.5w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 10  07.47166  03 09 20.656  +16 40 53.87  24.6w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 10  08.47003  03 09 16.945  +16 40 39.29  24.2w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 10  08.52822  03 09 16.716  +16 40 38.45  24.2w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 11  06.28626  03 07 12.220  +16 32 37.02  24.2r 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 11  06.34963  03 07 11.907  +16 32 36.03  24.2r 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 11  06.42017  03 07 11.560  +16 32 34.85  23.9r 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 11  06.48956  03 07 11.247  +16 32 33.40  23.9r 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 11  07.50772  03 07 06.440  +16 32 15.09  24.3w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 11  17.27960  03 06 20.325  +16 29 19.36  24.2w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 11  17.32888  03 06 20.091  +16 29 18.53  24.3w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 12  06.40182  03 04 54.192  +16 23 57.25  24.2w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 12  13.33636  03 04 26.128  +16 22 14.62  24.3w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 12  13.34220  03 04 26.102  +16 22 14.54  24.3w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 12  13.39494  03 04 25.897  +16 22 13.81  24.0w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2015 12  13.40075  03 04 25.869  +16 22 13.70  24.2w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 01  01.38920  03 03 23.342  +16 18 35.98  24.3w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 01  02.35555  03 03 20.826  +16 18 27.72  24.2w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 01  07.33598  03 03 09.019  +16 17 50.24  24.0w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 01  07.34177  03 03 09.012  +16 17 50.24  24.0w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 02  03.22261  03 02 42.165  +16 17 05.33  24.4w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 02  03.22917  03 02 42.175  +16 17 05.40  24.6w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 02  04.26610  03 02 42.453  +16 17 09.33  24.4w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 02  10.25584  03 02 45.985  +16 17 39.06  24.5w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 02  10.26162  03 02 45.985  +16 17 39.11  24.4w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 09  07.55628  03 14 53.640  +17 10 16.10        15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 09  26.61685  03 14 10.121  +17 07 30.66  24.3w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 10  10.43169  03 13 22.646  +17 04 30.87  24.5w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 10  10.49031  03 13 22.411  +17 04 30.11  24.2w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 10  27.52577  03 12 10.556  +16 59 59.55  24.4w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 11  03.55078  03 11 38.195  +16 57 58.39  24.6w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 12  28.39306  03 07 46.776  +16 43 59.37  25.1w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 12  28.40104  03 07 46.742  +16 43 59.31  24.8w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2016 12  29.35861  03 07 43.946  +16 43 49.95  24.6w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2017 01  01.25561  03 07 35.890  +16 43 23.45  24.3w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2017 01  02.36563  03 07 32.956  +16 43 13.92  24.5w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2017 01  26.25322  03 06 54.814  +16 41 33.19  24.4w 15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2017 01  26.28489  03 06 54.789  +16 41 33.10        15VJ164   568  C~2lVW      
2022 12  26.092060 03 33 21.671  +19 04 27.92  24.7G 15VJ164   G37  C~69cT      
2022 12  26.145210 03 33 21.512  +19 04 26.98        15VJ164   G37  C~69cT      
2022 12  26.207440 03 33 21.273  +19 04 26.96        15VJ164   G37  C~69cT      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.23       0.00     0.02
     2   0.0003      0.00    -0.15       0.00     0.02
     3   0.0164      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.06
     4   0.7316      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.03
     5   0.7316      0.00    -0.04       0.00     0.12
     6   0.8028      0.00    -0.22       0.00    -0.26
     7   0.8053      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.01
     8   0.8190      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.01
     9   0.8872      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.12
    10   0.8900      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.01
    11   0.8901      0.00    -0.12       0.00     0.01
    12   0.9689      0.00     0.22       0.00    -0.04
    13   0.9690      0.00     0.05       0.00     0.10
    14   0.9692      0.00    -0.10       0.00     0.18
    15   0.9694      0.00     0.19       0.00    -0.02
    16   0.9722      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.02
    17   0.9990      0.00     0.00       0.00    -0.01
    18   0.9991      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.03
    19   1.0513      0.00    -0.06       0.00     0.12
    20   1.0703      0.00     0.08       0.00    -0.04
    21   1.0703      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.04
    22   1.0705      0.00     0.10       0.00    -0.03
    23   1.0705      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.06
    24   1.1225      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.04
    25   1.1251      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.03
    26   1.1388      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.20
    27   1.1388      0.00     0.07       0.00    -0.16
    28   1.2124      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.11
    29   1.2124      0.00     0.14       0.00    -0.06
    30   1.2152      0.00     0.20       0.00     0.10
    31   1.2316      0.00    -0.11       0.00    -0.09
    32   1.2316      0.00    -0.18       0.00    -0.07
    33   1.8074      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.09
    34   1.8596      0.00     0.19       0.00     0.03
    35   1.8974      0.00     0.08       0.00    -0.05
    36   1.8976      0.00    -0.00       0.00     0.04
    37   1.9442      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.08
    38   1.9634      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.14
    39   2.1136      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.04
    40   2.1136      0.00    -0.13       0.00     0.06
    41   2.1162      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.03
    42   2.1242      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.05
    43   2.1272      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.01
    44   2.1926      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.06
    45   2.1927      0.00    -0.06       0.00    -0.03
    46   8.1059      0.00    -0.29       0.00    -0.01
    47   8.1061      0.00     0.23       0.00    -0.36
    48   8.1062      0.00     0.05       0.00     0.31

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15VJ164    quality flag:3

Type:           3:2E      3:2E      3:2E

axisobj        39.650    39.650    39.650
ecceobj         0.200     0.200     0.200
incobj          6.340     6.340     6.340
qmin           30.453    30.453    30.449
qmax           49.008    49.002    48.946
amean          39.456    39.456    39.456
amin           39.026    39.026    39.026
amax           39.924    39.932    39.939
emean           0.209     0.209     0.209
emin            0.189     0.189     0.189
emax            0.228     0.228     0.227
imean           5.291     5.292     5.291
imin            4.767     4.768     4.770
imax            6.240     6.240     6.240
excite_mean     0.229     0.229     0.229
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          2.992     2.992     2.992

libcent 0       179.7     179.8     179.6
libamp  0        66.0      66.3      66.4
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       187.5     187.6     187.7
kozaiamp        179.9     179.9     179.9