The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 15RV277
# Created Fri Apr 19 01:17:36 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting 34 observations of 34
# Arc: 2.36y
# First observation: 2015/07/14
# Last observation: 2017/11/22
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
-0.000135 0.022053 0.000009 0.001920 0.023925 0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit: 8.43 DOF: 62 RMS: 0.09
# Min/Max residuals: -0.40 0.20
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
1.475649E-05 2.180349E-02 1.192336E-06 1.906493E-03 2.381819E-02 3.829135E-03
# Covariance matrix:
1.5458E-13 -1.0540E-14 -4.7490E-15 7.0789E-15 1.1472E-13 1.5437E-12
-1.0540E-14 3.1943E-13 -1.5841E-14 4.2311E-14 2.2958E-13 9.0079E-12
-4.7490E-15 -1.5841E-14 9.8549E-14 -7.0758E-14 -1.6643E-14 -5.9213E-13
7.0789E-15 4.2311E-14 -7.0758E-14 9.1625E-14 3.6812E-14 1.6663E-12
1.1472E-13 2.2958E-13 -1.6643E-14 3.6812E-14 3.0376E-13 7.8872E-12
1.5437E-12 9.0079E-12 -5.9213E-13 1.6663E-12 7.8872E-12 3.5420E-10
# lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0
2.815863 12.871427 1.005297 0.007842 -0.157380 2457218.059109
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch: 2457210.5000 = 2015/07/07
Mean Anomaly: 108.56156 +/- 0.186
Argument of Peri: 263.81234 +/- 0.163
Long of Asc Node: 342.59228 +/- 0.004
Inclination: 5.78649 +/- 0.001
Eccentricity: 0.16556209 +/- 0.0006
Semi-Major Axis: 39.20008818 +/- 0.0090
Time of Perihelion: 2430176.9815 +/- 45.3
Perihelion: 32.71003984 +/- 0.0253
Aphelion: 45.69013653 +/- 0.0263
Period (y) 245.4363 +/- 0.08
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X 41.25428435 +/- 0.0009
Ecliptic Y 8.39677604 +/- 0.0002
Ecliptic Z 2.06265609 +/- 0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT -0.00014251 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT 0.00253254 +/- 0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT 0.00024057 +/- 0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO 42.15063908 +/- 0.0009
Geocenter to KBO 41.98472038 +/- 0.0010
# Hcoef: 8.13
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15RV277. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15RV277) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2015 07 14.55832 00 42 56.347 +07 40 34.61 25.1r 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 07 19.53712 00 42 54.464 +07 40 50.20 24.2r 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 08 19.56300 00 41 57.397 +07 37 27.76 24.5r 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 08 20.43842 00 41 54.806 +07 37 14.93 24.2r 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 08 20.48764 00 41 54.645 +07 37 14.23 24.1r 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 09 07.58494 00 40 50.306 +07 31 37.59 24.3w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 09 09.41265 00 40 42.946 +07 30 56.75 24.2r 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 09 09.45371 00 40 42.765 +07 30 55.79 24.5r 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 09 09.49464 00 40 42.601 +07 30 54.84 24.4r 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 09 10.51892 00 40 38.390 +07 30 31.38 24.5w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 09 18.48318 00 40 04.470 +07 27 18.98 24.7w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 10 08.37093 00 38 34.549 +07 18 22.01 24.0w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 10 08.42353 00 38 34.314 +07 18 20.70 24.4w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 10 09.34051 00 38 30.132 +07 17 55.04 25.2w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 11 10.46703 00 36 17.260 +07 03 34.63 24.8w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2015 12 08.26533 00 35 08.334 +06 55 07.35 24.3w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 01 02.27874 00 35 01.620 +06 53 01.30 25.3w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 07 07.58323 00 47 21.862 +08 14 55.66 25.0w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 07 08.56262 00 47 22.285 +08 15 03.88 25.1w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 09 05.48236 00 45 27.199 +08 07 54.01 24.4w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 09 05.57499 00 45 26.837 +08 07 52.05 24.5w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 09 06.43656 00 45 23.471 +08 07 33.80 24.6w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 09 06.47701 00 45 23.313 +08 07 32.93 24.7w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 09 06.52410 00 45 23.122 +08 07 31.96 24.4w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 09 06.56619 00 45 22.948 +08 07 31.02 24.5w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 09 26.43941 00 43 57.930 +07 59 29.09 24.6w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 11 04.28877 00 41 08.253 +07 41 47.21 24.7w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 11 04.34801 00 41 08.021 +07 41 45.64 24.5w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2016 12 29.29357 00 39 25.487 +07 28 21.59 24.1w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2017 01 02.32887 00 39 28.096 +07 28 23.53 24.3w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2017 09 16.50002 00 49 13.896 +08 39 16.06 24.6w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2017 09 17.39915 00 49 10.067 +08 38 54.55 24.8w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2017 09 22.45345 00 48 48.034 +08 36 49.63 24.5w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO 2017 11 22.33845 00 44 38.846 +08 10 30.17 24.6w 15RV277 568 C~2lVO
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.02
2 0.0136 -19.66 0.14 25.30 -0.05
3 0.0986 -879.57 -0.40 171.22 0.20
4 0.1010 -920.04 0.04 174.51 -0.06
5 0.1011 -922.52 -0.06 174.80 0.01
6 0.1507 -1934.62 -0.03 240.26 0.04
7 0.1557 -2051.33 0.20 245.65 -0.02
8 0.1558 -2054.18 0.05 245.82 0.01
9 0.1559 -2056.80 0.13 245.90 -0.05
10 0.1587 -2123.61 0.02 248.90 -0.07
11 0.1805 -2663.18 -0.09 270.04 0.12
12 0.2349 -4104.61 -0.14 302.29 -0.12
13 0.2351 -4108.34 0.06 302.46 -0.02
14 0.2376 -4175.67 0.02 303.36 0.13
15 0.3256 -6333.59 -0.08 292.09 -0.16
16 0.4017 -7478.01 0.07 231.38 -0.11
17 0.4701 -7619.86 0.09 155.07 0.07
18 0.9830 4436.50 0.08 359.27 0.00
19 0.9856 4445.49 0.07 364.41 -0.02
20 1.1470 2703.74 -0.06 633.76 0.04
21 1.1472 2698.03 0.02 634.05 -0.01
22 1.1496 2644.88 -0.02 636.73 -0.02
23 1.1497 2642.38 0.03 636.85 -0.06
24 1.1498 2639.39 0.03 637.06 -0.02
25 1.1499 2636.64 -0.05 637.20 -0.03
26 1.2043 1285.88 0.09 686.35 0.06
27 1.3107 -1449.98 0.04 696.33 0.05
28 1.3109 -1453.77 -0.01 696.23 0.00
29 1.4613 -3171.83 -0.00 555.50 0.06
30 1.4723 -3135.38 -0.11 542.02 0.11
31 2.1764 6536.92 -0.05 1060.06 0.04
32 2.1789 6476.18 0.02 1062.25 0.01
33 2.1927 6126.23 -0.02 1073.81 -0.01
34 2.3594 2103.51 0.01 1057.66 -0.12
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
15RV277 quality flag:3 Type: 3:2E 3:2E 3:2E axisobj 39.541 39.568 39.515 ecceobj 0.162 0.164 0.161 incobj 5.762 5.762 5.762 qmin 31.804 31.688 31.821 qmax 47.638 47.666 47.601 amean 39.456 39.456 39.457 amin 39.061 39.056 39.035 amax 39.928 39.894 39.935 emean 0.176 0.177 0.175 emin 0.158 0.161 0.156 emax 0.194 0.195 0.192 imean 6.352 6.328 6.377 imin 5.779 5.761 5.778 imax 7.007 6.947 6.970 excite_mean 0.208 0.209 0.207 fracstop 1.000 1.000 1.000 cjmean 3.002 3.002 3.003 libcent 0 179.9 180.0 180.7 libamp 0 65.8 57.1 77.3 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 180.3 178.8 180.6 kozaiamp 180.0 180.0 180.0