Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15KA174

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15KA174   
# Created Thu Apr 25 01:17:13 2024
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     43 observations of     43
# Arc:   3.24y
# First observation: 2014/05/29
#  Last observation: 2017/08/24
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
   0.000264   0.021224  -0.000076  -0.004450   0.023181   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     8.97 DOF:     80 RMS:  0.08
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.22    0.27
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.438966E-05  2.170728E-02 -2.938894E-06 -4.575772E-03  2.344652E-02  2.576631E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  2.1089E-13 -2.5838E-13 -2.7169E-14  4.8981E-14 -1.0066E-13 -3.2210E-12
 -2.5838E-13  4.9164E-13  6.2829E-14 -1.1458E-13  1.7255E-13  7.4422E-12
 -2.7169E-14  6.2829E-14  1.2653E-13 -7.9383E-14  2.2761E-14  1.0578E-12
  4.8981E-14 -1.1458E-13 -7.9383E-14  7.7914E-14 -3.9588E-14 -1.9335E-12
 -1.0066E-13  1.7255E-13  2.2761E-14 -3.9588E-14  1.5067E-13  2.7059E-12
 -3.2210E-12  7.4422E-12  1.0578E-12 -1.9335E-12  2.7059E-12  1.2528E-10
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    6.836634 -128.497443   -0.285611    0.115945   -0.966622  2456806.863358
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456800.5000  =  2014/05/23
Mean Anomaly:           82.04175 +/-     0.079
Argument of Peri:       54.14352 +/-     0.041
Long of Asc Node:       80.66556 +/-     0.001
Inclination:            13.67755 +/-     0.001
Eccentricity:         0.12462300 +/-    0.0005
Semi-Major Axis:     43.69341168 +/-    0.0065
Time of Perihelion: 2432759.3752 +/-      22.6
Perihelion:          38.24820769 +/-    0.0222
Aphelion:            49.13861568 +/-    0.0227
Period (y)              288.8232 +/-      0.06
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -26.74399057 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Y          -34.08057641 +/-    0.0006
Ecliptic Z            5.07697031 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00175299 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00186505 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00049457 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   43.61768389 +/-    0.0005
Geocenter to KBO     42.65026109 +/-    0.0007
# Hcoef:  7.60

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15KA174. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15KA174) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2014 05  29.36258  15 23 34.096  -11 31 48.87  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 05  29.40143  15 23 33.916  -11 31 48.38  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 05  29.44026  15 23 33.741  -11 31 47.87  23.5r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 05  30.47018  15 23 29.125  -11 31 35.87  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 06  21.36572  15 22 00.266  -11 28 32.51  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2014 06  21.40460  15 22 00.121  -11 28 32.35  24.0r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 02  23.64434  15 33 20.096  -12 27 39.54  24.1r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 03  19.58718  15 32 53.578  -12 23 33.78  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 03  21.64578  15 32 49.007  -12 23 06.39  24.0r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 04  12.50451  15 31 41.575  -12 17 34.91  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 04  12.54547  15 31 41.426  -12 17 34.12  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 04  18.52716  15 31 17.982  -12 15 55.99  24.1r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  17.40013  15 29 08.762  -12 08 20.04  24.2r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  17.44183  15 29 08.570  -12 08 19.61  24.2r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  17.49383  15 29 08.328  -12 08 18.42  23.3r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  17.51894  15 29 08.192  -12 08 18.29  23.5r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  24.38557  15 28 36.300  -12 06 45.14  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  24.43166  15 28 36.082  -12 06 44.51  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  24.47270  15 28 35.891  -12 06 43.96  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 05  26.46061  15 28 26.754  -12 06 18.87  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 06  18.35975  15 26 49.509  -12 02 40.70  24.0r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 06  18.40073  15 26 49.355  -12 02 40.43  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 06  21.37538  15 26 38.310  -12 02 23.38  24.0r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 06  21.39181  15 26 38.255  -12 02 23.27  23.9r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 07  18.33583  15 25 23.913  -12 02 07.92  24.1r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2015 08  11.33392  15 25 05.671  -12 05 35.59  23.8r 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 02  05.63894  15 37 36.339  -13 01 03.42  24.5w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 02  11.65084  15 37 45.488  -13 00 56.79  24.5w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 03  15.58199  15 37 35.702  -12 56 58.54  24.4w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 03  15.59592  15 37 35.681  -12 56 58.39  24.2w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 03  17.60128  15 37 31.923  -12 56 34.65  24.7w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 04  03.52641  15 36 47.801  -12 52 44.51  24.2w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 04  08.57595  15 36 30.748  -12 51 28.17  24.4w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 04  29.46161  15 35 06.410  -12 45 59.37  24.1w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 05  04.39669  15 34 44.205  -12 44 42.78  24.2w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 05  30.48629  15 32 43.497  -12 38 47.46  24.1w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 07  03.36242  15 30 33.316  -12 35 03.62  24.6w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 07  04.27794  15 30 30.660  -12 35 02.49  24.4w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2016 07  05.34622  15 30 27.639  -12 35 01.60  24.5w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2017 06  26.27819  15 35 33.543  -13 08 17.46  24.2w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2017 08  20.27119  15 34 15.951  -13 13 01.18  24.3w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2017 08  23.25675  15 34 19.121  -13 13 44.87  24.3w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      
2017 08  24.24127  15 34 20.347  -13 13 59.93  24.3w 15KA174   568  C~2lVI      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.03
     2   0.0001     -2.68     0.01      -0.19    -0.01
     3   0.0002     -5.30     0.03      -0.35     0.05
     4   0.0030    -73.97    -0.05      -5.89    -0.00
     5   0.0630  -1383.95    -0.01    -159.49    -0.04
     6   0.0631  -1386.05    -0.05    -159.87    -0.09
     7   0.7400   9166.95     0.06   -1109.93    -0.06
     8   0.8055   8729.39    -0.19    -966.34     0.11
     9   0.8112   8657.62     0.12    -956.15     0.04
    10   0.8710   7616.77    -0.11    -876.82    -0.12
    11   0.8711   7614.45    -0.01    -876.60     0.03
    12   0.8875   7256.79    -0.11    -865.90     0.00
    13   0.9666   5306.52    -0.04    -891.76    -0.05
    14   0.9667   5303.69     0.09    -892.04    -0.19
    15   0.9668   5299.95     0.05    -891.77     0.27
    16   0.9669   5297.98    -0.13    -892.13    -0.02
    17   0.9857   4821.50     0.02    -917.93     0.00
    18   0.9858   4818.25    -0.01    -918.11     0.03
    19   0.9859   4815.39     0.00    -918.27     0.05
    20   0.9914   4679.28    -0.04    -927.25    -0.05
    21   1.0541   3242.97     0.06   -1071.38     0.01
    22   1.0542   3240.71     0.12   -1071.68     0.04
    23   1.0623   3079.53    -0.07   -1095.68    -0.01
    24   1.0624   3078.72     0.00   -1095.77     0.03
    25   1.1361   2018.89     0.07   -1354.20     0.03
    26   1.2018   1812.05    -0.01   -1622.46    -0.08
    27   1.6900  13302.32     0.00   -2148.99    -0.03
    28   1.7065  13431.07     0.01   -2110.42     0.04
    29   1.7966  13234.13     0.01   -1912.98     0.12
    30   1.7967  13233.79     0.09   -1912.91     0.13
    31   1.8022  13174.52     0.01   -1903.02     0.02
    32   1.8485  12490.32     0.04   -1834.47    -0.01
    33   1.8623  12228.95    -0.02   -1820.39     0.02
    34   1.9195  10948.39    -0.09   -1799.27     0.07
    35   1.9330  10613.74     0.07   -1803.71     0.03
    36   2.0044   8809.99     0.02   -1889.27    -0.19
    37   2.0972   6904.99     0.19   -2140.09    -0.05
    38   2.0997   6866.98    -0.03   -2148.58    -0.02
    39   2.1026   6823.85    -0.00   -2158.63     0.02
    40   3.0771  11659.82     0.14   -3003.68     0.09
    41   3.2277  10626.28    -0.10   -3554.18    -0.22
    42   3.2358  10681.97    -0.13   -3585.39     0.01
    43   3.2385  10703.05    -0.06   -3595.67     0.04

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15KA174    quality flag:2

Type:      CLASSICAL  SCATNEAR CLASSICAL

axisobj        43.408    43.427    43.389
ecceobj         0.121     0.122     0.120
incobj         13.681    13.681    13.681
qmin           34.157    34.337    35.569
qmax           53.677    53.587    52.309
amean          43.727    43.727    43.727
amin           43.328    43.317    43.316
amax           44.198    44.210    44.170
emean           0.145     0.143     0.114
emin            0.051     0.069     0.058
emax            0.216     0.213     0.185
imean          11.380    10.942    11.876
imin            8.514     7.465     9.146
imax           14.317    13.454    13.652
excite_mean     0.250     0.242     0.239
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.023     3.028     3.030

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean        91.9      94.0     120.5
kozaiamp         65.3      50.2     180.0