Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15FA432

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15FA432   
# Created Wed May  8 01:17:00 2024
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     20 observations of     20
# Arc:   8.98y
# First observation: 2015/03/17
#  Last observation: 2024/03/08
# Chi-squared of fit:    49.08 DOF:     34 RMS:  0.28
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.76    0.88
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.260661E-05  1.587019E-02  3.328388E-06  6.862581E-04  1.935657E-02 -5.328303E-04
# Covariance matrix:
  4.8831E-13 -1.4489E-13  3.8598E-15 -3.9814E-15 -1.1841E-13 -6.3501E-13
 -1.4489E-13  1.0665E-13 -4.1382E-15  4.1746E-15  4.3321E-14  7.1249E-13
  3.8598E-15 -4.1382E-15  3.8533E-13 -5.2839E-14 -1.5541E-15 -3.0420E-14
 -3.9814E-15  4.1746E-15 -5.2839E-14  9.4288E-15  1.9957E-15  3.0468E-14
 -1.1841E-13  4.3321E-14 -1.5541E-15  1.9957E-15  3.9746E-13  1.2318E-13
 -6.3501E-13  7.1249E-13 -3.0420E-14  3.0468E-14  1.2318E-13  5.3114E-12
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
    6.933262 -177.551708    0.107729    0.119160   -0.978732  2457098.839188
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2457098.5000  =  2015/03/17
Mean Anomaly:          201.23837 +/-     0.071
Argument of Peri:      232.68174 +/-     0.066
Long of Asc Node:      112.34478 +/-     0.003
Inclination:             7.23630 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.10225623 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     48.01071244 +/-    0.0052
Time of Perihelion: 2510684.1743 +/-      26.5
Perihelion:          43.10131808 +/-    0.0068
Aphelion:            52.92010679 +/-    0.0076
Period (y)              332.6714 +/-      0.05
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -52.23019419 +/-    0.0017
Ecliptic Y           -2.12544578 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic Z            6.23646214 +/-    0.0002
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00017891 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00224475 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00008735 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   52.64415032 +/-    0.0017
Geocenter to KBO     51.66210636 +/-    0.0017
# Hcoef:  6.87

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15FA432. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15FA432) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2015 03  17.33841  12 20 02.112  +05 23 13.58  24. r 15FA432   568  C~444Y      
2015 03  17.44084  12 20 01.730  +05 23 15.94        15FA432   568  C~444Y      
2015 03  17.59807  12 20 01.147  +05 23 20.01        15FA432   568  C~444Y      
2015 04  18.09628  12 18 08.201  +05 35 06.40        15FA432   304  C~444Y      
2015 04  18.21231  12 18 07.801  +05 35 08.20  23.9r 15FA432   304  C~444Y      
2015 04  20.21468  12 18 01.170  +05 35 44.18        15FA432   304  C~444Y      
2020 02  27.23493  12 38 09.58   +03 36 14.6   23.9r 15FA432   W84  C~7xQW      
2020 02  27.28473  12 38 09.43   +03 36 15.7         15FA432   W84  C~7xQW      
2020 02  27.38435  12 38 09.12   +03 36 18.2         15FA432   W84  C~7xQW      
2020 02  28.29501  12 38 06.36   +03 36 40.5         15FA432   W84  C~7xQW      
2020 02  28.34470  12 38 06.22   +03 36 41.6         15FA432   W84  C~7xQW      
2020 02  28.39440  12 38 06.07   +03 36 42.9         15FA432   W84  C~7xQW      
2023 03  21.37054  12 47 09.010  +02 45 20.81  24.0r 15FA432   568  C~7xQW      
2023 03  21.58822  12 47 08.225  +02 45 26.15  23.9r 15FA432   568  C~7xQW      
2023 05  16.05219  12 44 00.953  +03 03 12.51  24.0r 15FA432   304  C~7xQW      
2023 05  23.21331  12 43 43.986  +03 04 13.73        15FA432   G37  C~7xQW      
2023 05  23.22071  12 43 43.975  +03 04 13.79        15FA432   G37  C~7xQW      
2023 05  24.20806  12 43 41.854  +03 04 20.47        15FA432   G37  C~7xQW      
2024 03  07.28974  12 51 19.555  +02 19 36.10  24.1r 15FA432   304  C~7xQW      
2024 03  08.29865  12 51 16.294  +02 20 00.88  24.0r 15FA432   304  C~7xQW      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.16       0.00    -0.55
     2   0.0003      0.00    -0.24       0.00    -0.76
     3   0.0007      0.00    -0.31       0.00    -0.63
     4   0.0869      0.00     0.26       0.00     0.88
     5   0.0873      0.00     0.18       0.00     0.55
     6   0.0927      0.00     0.18       0.00     0.37
     7   4.9498      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.14
     8   4.9499      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.02
     9   4.9502      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.09
    10   4.9527      0.00    -0.13       0.00     0.11
    11   4.9528      0.00     0.09       0.00    -0.00
    12   4.9529      0.00     0.16       0.00     0.08
    13   8.0110      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.00
    14   8.0116      0.00     0.13       0.00    -0.09
    15   8.1635      0.00     0.10       0.00     0.02
    16   8.1831      0.00    -0.08       0.00    -0.04
    17   8.1831      0.00     0.00       0.00    -0.03
    18   8.1858      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.05
    19   8.9745      0.00    -0.09       0.00     0.04
    20   8.9773      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.16

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15FA432    quality flag:3

Type:           2:1E      2:1E      2:1E

axisobj        47.588    47.588    47.588
ecceobj         0.112     0.112     0.112
incobj          7.240     7.240     7.240
qmin           41.251    41.252    41.250
qmax           54.913    54.913    54.913
amean          47.797    47.797    47.797
amin           47.297    47.297    47.296
amax           48.328    48.329    48.327
emean           0.107     0.107     0.107
emin            0.078     0.078     0.078
emax            0.136     0.136     0.136
imean           5.580     5.580     5.579
imin            4.884     4.884     4.884
imax            6.406     6.406     6.406
excite_mean     0.145     0.145     0.145
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          3.123     3.123     3.123

libcent 0       180.8     180.5     181.0
libamp  0       137.1     136.8     137.5
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       125.8     125.8     125.8
kozaiamp         94.9      94.9      94.9