The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.
# Object: 19AJ16 # Created Wed May 8 01:18:16 2024 # Orbit generated by ELGB # -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit # Fitting 85 observations of 85 # Arc: 10.42y # First observation: 2013/11/27 # Last observation: 2024/04/29 # Chi-squared of fit: 108.02 DOF: 164 RMS: 0.20 # Min/Max residuals: -1.00 0.62 # Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot: 2.680719E-05 1.303342E-01 -1.725831E-06 -1.369238E-02 8.182264E-02 -1.745887E-02 # Covariance matrix: 4.1348E-09 -1.8299E-07 5.7825E-10 4.2125E-08 -4.8335E-08 -3.5539E-07 -1.8299E-07 3.5411E-04 -2.3681E-08 -8.8562E-05 2.0562E-06 7.4291E-04 5.7825E-10 -2.3681E-08 8.1630E-11 5.4122E-09 -6.7612E-09 -4.5688E-08 4.2125E-08 -8.8562E-05 5.4122E-09 2.2179E-05 -4.7167E-07 -1.8584E-04 -4.8335E-08 2.0562E-06 -6.7612E-09 -4.7167E-07 5.6515E-07 3.9803E-06 -3.5539E-07 7.4291E-04 -4.5688E-08 -1.8584E-04 3.9803E-06 1.5589E-03 # lat0 lon0 xBary yBary zBary JD0 9.571467 92.955459 0.458575 0.145046 -0.859485 2456624.091668 # Heliocentric elements and errors Epoch: 2456624.5000 = 2013/11/28 Mean Anomaly: 240.64737 +/- 0.004 Argument of Peri: 260.32982 +/- 0.006 Long of Asc Node: 327.79700 +/- 0.000 Inclination: 10.62650 +/- 0.000 Eccentricity: 0.21031386 +/- 0.0001 Semi-Major Axis: 11.56896657 +/- 0.0000 Time of Perihelion: 2461389.5754 +/- 0.2 Perihelion: 9.13585252 +/- 0.0012 Aphelion: 14.00208063 +/- 0.0012 Period (y) 39.3505 +/- 0.00 # Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d) Ecliptic X -0.20944618 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic Y 12.93185122 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic Z 2.03212593 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic XDOT -0.00433566 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic YDOT -0.00072600 +/- 0.0000 Ecliptic ZDOT -0.00054878 +/- 0.0000 # Distances at JD0 (AU) Heliocenter to KBO 13.09226945 +/- 0.0000 Geocenter to KBO 12.22162866 +/- 0.0000 # Hcoef: 11.55
The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 19AJ16. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (19AJ16) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.
2013 11 27.59089 06 13 53.888 +32 58 30.43 22.4G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tA 2013 11 27.60093 06 13 53.750 +32 58 30.84 22.8G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tA 2015 01 14.42617 06 36 31.177 +31 51 44.06 22.3G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tA 2015 01 14.43906 06 36 30.961 +31 51 43.84 22.0G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tA 2015 01 14.45197 06 36 30.727 +31 51 43.94 22.3G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tA 2015 01 14.46478 06 36 30.506 +31 51 43.80 22.7G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tA 2015 01 16.43672 06 35 57.146 +31 51 26.68 22.5G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tA 2015 01 16.44835 06 35 56.939 +31 51 26.49 22.4G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tA 2015 01 16.46000 06 35 56.738 +31 51 25.84 22.9G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tA 2015 01 16.47153 06 35 56.558 +31 51 25.31 23.3G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tA 2015 12 02.64464 07 25 03.399 +29 44 04.75 22.5G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2015 12 04.62987 07 24 38.867 +29 45 18.98 22.5G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2016 02 09.26306 07 06 35.120 +30 04 09.49 22.4G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2016 02 09.27724 07 06 34.939 +30 04 09.53 22.3G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2016 02 09.29147 07 06 34.735 +30 04 08.97 23.1G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2016 02 09.30577 07 06 34.515 +30 04 08.62 21.9G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 01 16.51210 07 50 17.206 +27 31 34.03 21.6G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 01 28.44039 07 46 47.791 +27 36 28.60 22.2G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 01 28.45268 07 46 47.574 +27 36 28.67 22.2G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 01 28.46501 07 46 47.353 +27 36 29.08 22.6G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 01 28.47736 07 46 47.147 +27 36 29.21 22.8G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 12 12.48302 08 36 45.846 +23 41 30.21 21.7G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 12 12.49515 08 36 45.710 +23 41 31.11 22.0G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 12 12.50743 08 36 45.606 +23 41 31.27 22.3G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 12 12.51957 08 36 45.461 +23 41 32.18 22.8G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 12 23.58811 08 34 37.606 +23 49 33.24 22.7G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 12 23.60006 08 34 37.423 +23 49 33.51 23.3G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 12 23.61200 08 34 37.269 +23 49 33.76 23.2G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2017 12 23.62397 08 34 37.095 +23 49 34.58 22.9G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2018 01 16.34915 08 28 28.713 +24 08 33.73 22.0G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2018 01 16.36078 08 28 28.528 +24 08 34.27 22.0G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2018 01 16.37241 08 28 28.338 +24 08 34.67 21.3G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2018 01 16.38409 08 28 28.091 +24 08 35.20 21.6G 19AJ16 F51 C~36tB 2019 01 14.57890 09 07 31.015 +19 52 56.67 22.5w 19AJ16 F51 C~2yhL 2019 01 14.59256 09 07 30.789 +19 52 57.63 22.4w 19AJ16 F51 C~2yhL 2019 01 14.60617 09 07 30.555 +19 52 58.17 22.3w 19AJ16 F51 C~2yhL 2019 01 14.61980 09 07 30.350 +19 52 59.08 22.1w 19AJ16 F51 C~2yhL 2019 02 04.344233 09 01 41.481 +20 12 10.04 21.7G 19AJ16 568 C~2yhL 2019 02 04.345242 09 01 41.464 +20 12 10.09 21.7G 19AJ16 568 C~2yhL 2019 02 04.346248 09 01 41.446 +20 12 10.16 21.7G 19AJ16 568 C~2yhL 2019 02 04.347275 09 01 41.428 +20 12 10.22 21.7G 19AJ16 568 C~2yhL 2019 02 04.358683 09 01 41.230 +20 12 10.75 22.0G 19AJ16 F51 C~2yhL 2019 02 04.371840 09 01 40.994 +20 12 11.54 21.8G 19AJ16 F51 C~2yhL 2019 02 04.385016 09 01 40.758 +20 12 12.23 22.1G 19AJ16 F51 C~2yhL 2019 02 04.398193 09 01 40.521 +20 12 12.98 22.0G 19AJ16 F51 C~2yhL 2019 02 11.15369 08 59 43.87 +20 17 56.3 22.2G 19AJ16 V06 C~2yhL 2019 02 11.16426 08 59 43.68 +20 17 57.1 21.5G 19AJ16 V06 C~2yhL 2019 02 11.17748 08 59 43.44 +20 17 57.6 22.3G 19AJ16 V06 C~2yhL 2019 02 11.18610 08 59 43.30 +20 17 58.1 22.0G 19AJ16 V06 C~2yhL 2019 04 05.149010 08 49 20.511 +20 34 27.89 22.6G 19AJ16 G37 C~34cM 2019 04 05.223200 08 49 20.212 +20 34 26.33 19AJ16 G37 C~34cM 2020 01 21.43826 09 44 56.017 +14 54 49.22 22.1w 19AJ16 F52 C~3d1P 2020 01 21.44884 09 44 55.855 +14 54 50.13 21.8w 19AJ16 F52 C~3d1P 2020 01 21.45955 09 44 55.702 +14 54 50.58 21.8w 19AJ16 F52 C~3d1P 2020 01 21.47036 09 44 55.526 +14 54 51.07 22.0w 19AJ16 F52 C~3d1P 2021 01 15.48895 10 26 05.656 +08 58 15.70 21.7w 19AJ16 F51 C~4UQN 2021 01 15.50066 10 26 05.491 +08 58 16.25 21.9w 19AJ16 F51 C~4UQN 2021 01 15.51257 10 26 05.376 +08 58 16.84 21.7w 19AJ16 F51 C~4UQN 2021 01 15.52455 10 26 05.229 +08 58 17.27 21.7w 19AJ16 F51 C~4UQN 2021 03 19.292792 10 09 51.748 +10 05 46.33 21.5w 19AJ16 F51 C~4gZw 2021 03 19.304435 10 09 51.579 +10 05 47.16 21.6w 19AJ16 F51 C~4gZw 2021 03 19.316091 10 09 51.396 +10 05 47.92 21.8w 19AJ16 F51 C~4gZw 2021 03 19.327839 10 09 51.241 +10 05 48.26 21.9w 19AJ16 F51 C~4gZw 2022 02 09.386861 11 02 37.261 +02 41 02.98 21.9w 19AJ16 F52 C~5SHT 2022 02 09.398375 11 02 37.077 +02 41 03.75 21.5w 19AJ16 F52 C~5SHT 2022 02 09.421174 11 02 36.745 +02 41 05.27 21.8w 19AJ16 F52 C~5SHT 2023 03 18.378348 11 37 55.619 -03 53 58.07 21.2w 19AJ16 F52 C~6VJe 2023 03 18.389988 11 37 55.403 -03 53 56.99 21.1w 19AJ16 F52 C~6VJe 2023 03 18.402030 11 37 55.196 -03 53 55.82 21.0w 19AJ16 F52 C~6VJe 2023 03 18.414785 11 37 54.972 -03 53 54.71 21.2w 19AJ16 F52 C~6VJe 2023 03 25.356216 11 35 56.126 -03 43 36.40 21.1w 19AJ16 F51 C~6c4c 2023 03 25.370147 11 35 55.878 -03 43 34.94 21.4w 19AJ16 F51 C~6c4c 2023 03 25.384056 11 35 55.635 -03 43 33.50 21.5w 19AJ16 F51 C~6c4c 2024 04 04.248119 12 22 24.694 -11 13 44.94 20.4G 19AJ16 G96 C~7xW8 2024 04 04.253675 12 22 24.546 -11 13 44.22 20.5G 19AJ16 G96 C~7xW8 2024 04 04.259228 12 22 24.431 -11 13 43.03 21.3G 19AJ16 G96 C~7xW8 2024 04 04.264778 12 22 24.373 -11 13 42.82 21.1G 19AJ16 G96 C~7xW8 2024 04 16.359034 12 19 01.083 -10 54 08.26 21.1w 19AJ16 F52 C~7xW8 2024 04 16.370752 12 19 00.901 -10 54 06.92 21.0w 19AJ16 F52 C~7xW8 2024 04 16.382470 12 19 00.705 -10 54 05.95 21.0w 19AJ16 F52 C~7xW8 2024 04 16.394184 12 19 00.510 -10 54 04.78 21.1w 19AJ16 F52 C~7xW8 2024 04 29.317336 12 15 52.841 -10 33 20.10 21.2w 19AJ16 F52 C~7zqf 2024 04 29.329078 12 15 52.676 -10 33 18.93 21.3w 19AJ16 F52 C~7zqf 2024 04 29.340848 12 15 52.545 -10 33 18.17 21.0w 19AJ16 F52 C~7zqf 2024 04 29.352633 12 15 52.360 -10 33 17.03 20.9w 19AJ16 F52 C~7zqf
The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.
1 0.0000 0.00 -0.40 0.00 -0.18 2 0.0000 0.00 -0.18 0.00 0.05 3 1.1303 0.00 -0.12 0.00 -0.02 4 1.1303 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.13 5 1.1304 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.08 6 1.1304 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.05 7 1.1358 0.00 0.21 0.00 -0.00 8 1.1358 0.00 0.09 0.00 -0.07 9 1.1358 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.60 10 1.1359 0.00 0.32 0.00 -1.00 11 2.0125 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.29 12 2.0179 0.00 0.62 0.00 0.25 13 2.2003 0.00 -0.21 0.00 -0.07 14 2.2004 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.14 15 2.2004 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.24 16 2.2005 0.00 -0.32 0.00 -0.40 17 3.1374 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.34 18 3.1700 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.07 19 3.1701 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.09 20 3.1701 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.09 21 3.1701 0.00 0.05 0.00 -0.00 22 4.0408 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.08 23 4.0408 0.00 -0.23 0.00 0.33 24 4.0408 0.00 0.09 0.00 -0.01 25 4.0409 0.00 -0.23 0.00 0.40 26 4.0712 0.00 0.40 0.00 0.43 27 4.0712 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.15 28 4.0712 0.00 0.15 0.00 -0.14 29 4.0713 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.13 30 4.1362 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.20 31 4.1363 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.18 32 4.1363 0.00 0.43 0.00 0.03 33 4.1363 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.00 34 5.1307 0.00 0.20 0.00 -0.09 35 5.1307 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.12 36 5.1308 0.00 -0.16 0.00 -0.08 37 5.1308 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.09 38 5.1876 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.02 39 5.1876 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.02 40 5.1876 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.01 41 5.1876 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.00 42 5.1876 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.07 43 5.1876 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.01 44 5.1877 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.00 45 5.1877 0.00 -0.13 0.00 0.05 46 5.2062 0.00 0.22 0.00 -0.06 47 5.2062 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.21 48 5.2063 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.06 49 5.2063 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.13 50 5.3513 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.16 51 5.3515 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.08 52 6.1488 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.09 53 6.1488 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.19 54 6.1489 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.01 55 6.1489 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.14 56 7.1346 0.00 0.18 0.00 -0.16 57 7.1346 0.00 -0.25 0.00 -0.08 58 7.1346 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.04 59 7.1347 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 60 7.3065 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.02 61 7.3065 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.11 62 7.3066 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.17 63 7.3066 0.00 0.17 0.00 -0.20 64 8.2020 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.06 65 8.2021 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.04 66 8.2021 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.24 67 9.3026 0.00 0.10 0.00 -0.15 68 9.3027 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.08 69 9.3027 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.04 70 9.3027 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.04 71 9.3217 0.00 0.16 0.00 -0.19 72 9.3218 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.01 73 9.3218 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.19 74 10.3509 0.00 0.38 0.00 -0.70 75 10.3509 0.00 -0.35 0.00 -0.50 76 10.3509 0.00 -0.59 0.00 0.17 77 10.3509 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.15 78 10.3840 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.01 79 10.3841 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.18 80 10.3841 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.00 81 10.3841 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.01 82 10.4195 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.12 83 10.4195 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.20 84 10.4196 0.00 0.28 0.00 -0.13 85 10.4196 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.08
The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.
19AJ16 quality flag:3 Type: CENTAURR CENTAURR CENTAURR axisobj 11.575 11.575 11.575 ecceobj 0.209 0.209 0.209 incobj 10.627 10.627 10.627 qmin 8.726 8.979 8.890 qmax 14.632 14.423 14.512 amean 11.581 11.530 11.595 amin 11.369 11.135 11.338 amax 11.757 11.752 11.793 emean 0.216 0.200 0.221 emin 0.185 0.177 0.209 emax 0.253 0.228 0.235 imean 11.841 12.101 11.592 imin 11.139 10.706 11.284 imax 12.640 12.940 11.877 excite_mean 0.298 0.290 0.299 fracstop 0.008 0.004 0.002 cjmean 3.785 3.799 3.783 libcent 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 0 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 1 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 2 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 3 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libcent 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 libamp 4 -180.0 -180.0 -180.0 kozaimean 142.6 176.6 216.5 kozaiamp 177.9 178.0 175.7